Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 23 21 tweets 16 min read
#Finland @NATO membership-"#Turkey's objection...we are still in the assessment phase, trying to figure out how serious the demands & objections are" @FINambUS Mikko Hautala tells @BrookingsInst

"We intend to discuss w/the Turks...This process is going on right now"
"This is a discussion we are having w/the Turkish gvt right now" per @SWEambUSA Karin Olofsdotter tells @BrookingsInst re: #Tukrey's objection to @NATO membership

"#Sweden of course is a very strong ally in all issues that deals w/terrorism & anti-terrorism" she adds
"The #EuropeanUnion has had #PKK on its terrorist list since 2002, so we have always been there for that" per @SWEambUSA

"We have been operating w/some of these organizations in #Syria, as the #UnitedStates has done, as many other Europeans have done"
"We really hope we can see eye-to-eye w/the Turkish, with their views & our views" per @SWEambUSA "That's the discussion we are having right now both when it comes to terrorism but also the weapon embargo issues"
"We take joining @NATO very seriously" per @SWEambUSA "We really see ourselves as a partner strengthening the whole alliance, all of its territory"
"We want to become members as soon as possible bcs we see what's going on in #Ukraine & in our region" per @SWEambUSA on @NATO membership
"We are the two missing pieces in the jigsaw puzzle of northern security" per @SWEambUSA on #Sweden #Finland seeking to join @NATO

"Maybe you [America] can sleep a little bit better at night bcs we are there"
#Finland (@nokia) & #Sweden (@ericsson) "do bring additional technological capability" per @FINambUS, also noting #ArtificialIntelligence & #Quantum

"If you want to have a totally safe network solution...come to us"
#Russia's decision to wage war vs #Ukraine - "It's in one guy's head [#Putin] but it's also shared by actually much of the elite & it's also shared I think by a majority of the ppltn when it happened" per @FINambUS
"The historical mission idea, the idea that #Russia kind of has to gather the lands & become a center of this newly gathered, as they say it, ancient Russian lands, I think its gained a lot of acceptance" per @FINambUS

"It was widely disseminated by the propaganda"
#Russia|n thinking about gathering ancient lands "largely sort of went without us fully realizing the potential" per @FINambUS

"I think almost none of us took it full seriousness that this would lead to a great war"
"It's a much deeper problem than we'd perhaps like to think" per @FINambUS re #Russia mindset on territory
@NATO troops in #Sweden? "We're not asking for that" per @SWEambUSA "There's no discussion on troops or things like that"

"The most important part is operation planning...That needs to go very quickly" she says
If #Sweden gets into @NATO, key benefot would be intelligence sharing, per @SWEambUSA

"We really hope that we bring good knowledge abt our region given how our intelligence services operate"
#Sweden in @NATO - "We really see a role as strengthening in the #BalticSea" per @SWEambUSA

"We have quite strong navy, or very strong navy....we are building new submarines that are tailored-made just for the Baltic"
"We have strong armed forces so we are not taking this decision out of some kind of military desperation" @FINambUS

"A lot of these needs will depend on what the situation looks like down the road..."
"If the #Russia|n reaction stays relatively muted, as it has so far, I don't think we have an interest in kind of demanding divisions here & there" per @FINambUS

"If it [threat environment] increases, I think then we have to have a discussion"
Finnish-#Turkey talks:"Anything that would jeopardize or put in question our role as a rule of law country or would question our freedom of speech...of political opinion,I think that would be impossible" per @FINambUS

"#Finland is Finland...going to stay Finland no matter what"
"A weak #Russia is also dangerous" per @FINambUS

"Historically for #Finland, a strong Russia has been a problem but weak Russia has been also a problem" he says
"What we need is a Russia whose ppltn at least...sees that this kind of policy of land acquisitions & attack war, this has to stop" per @FINambUS
As for what will happen w/#Russia-#Ukraine - "The optimum outcome for all this...is all kind of a surprise wrapped in mystery" per @FINambUS

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More from @jseldin

May 25
Happening now: "What we are in is an era of unprecedented threats" @NSA_CSDirector Rob Joyce tells @thecipherbrief's Cyber Initiatives Group

Says #Ukraine "has been heavily targeted" despite lack of catastrophic effects so far

"They mount a great incidence response..." he says
"We did see a really sophisticated attack [by #Russia]...the attack on the satellite services" per @NSA_CSDirector

Calls it another case in which Russia didn't care who else was affected - "We saw wide swaths of businesses lose their connectivity"
.@NSA_CSDirector calls the #Russia|n attack on satellite services "fairly sophisticated"
Read 4 tweets
May 24
BREAKING: The Naming Commission recommends renaming 9 @USArmy bases so they are no longer named for Confederate generals:

Fort Bragg -> Fort Liberty
Fort Hood -> Fort Cavazos
Fort Rucker -> Fort Novosel
Fort Polk -> Fort Johnson

(cont.)
MORE: Naming Commission recommendations

Fort Benning -> Fort Moore
Fort Gordon -> Fort Eisenhower
Fort AP Hill -> Fort Walker
Fort Lee -> Fort Gregg-Adams
Fort Pickett -> Fort Barfoot
"We believe these new names will inspire...names that reflect the best of the United States Army" per Naming Commission Vice Chair ret @USArmy BrigGen Ty Seidule
Read 6 tweets
May 23
US, Western backing for #Ukraine something to worry about HASC Chair @RepAdamSmith tells @CFR_org, noting the number of lawmakers who voted against the last aid package

"It's been a solid 3 months...but this is a long term play" he says "What is going to be our attention span?"
Should US back #Ukraine's goals of taking back #Crimea?

"We need a little strategic ambiguity on that one" per @RepAdamSmith "Right now, let's just focus on pushing #Russia out of what they have taken in the last 3 months"
"#Finland & #Sweden are a really good fit" for @NATO, per @RepAdamSmith
Read 8 tweets
May 23
Happening now: US @SecDef Lloyd Austin & @thejointstaff Chairman Gen Mark Milley brief following a virtual meeting of the 40+ member #Ukrainian Defense Contact Group
.@SecDef calls virtual mtg "highly constructive", giving contact group members a chance to hear from key #Ukraine officials, inlcu DefMin @oleksiireznikov

Says attendees got a "a sharper" sense of Ukraine's needs
.@SecDef praised countries for new pledges of security assistance to #Ukraine - "We're intensifying our efforts"

Austin said numerous countries contributing ammo, artillery

Also:
#Denmark: harpoon launcher, missiles

#CzechRepublic: attack helicopters
Read 22 tweets
May 20
"We're constantly monitoring the threat environment w/escalation management clearly in mind" per @PentagonPresSec on US aid to #Ukraine "it would be irresponsible if we didn't do that"
"As we work these pkgs, these weapons & systems that we're sending to #Ukraine...we're doing it mostly with an eye towards what does Ukraine need in the fight that they're in right now" per @PentagonPresSec

"The consistent answer that we get back is they need long range fires"
"Our focus is on making sure that we can advantage #Ukraine on the battlefield & therefore hopefully advantage them when it comes to an ultimate peace there" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 4 tweets
May 20
"We don't have any indication of the use of lasers...weaponized lasers" by #Russia in #Ukraine, per @PentagonPresSec

...this despite Russian claims its used a new generation of lasers to counter drones
US assesses #Russia is behind where it wants to be as far as progress in the #Donbas, w/Russian progress slow, uneven, per @PentagonPresSec

Says every day there are "hamlets towns and villages that are changing hands" between Russia & #Ukraine
US @SecDef Lloyd Austin to virtually host meeting of the #Ukraine Contact Group this coming Monday - more than 40 nations expected to take part, per @PentagonPresSec
Read 10 tweets

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