Anas Alhajji Profile picture
Jun 14 5 tweets 3 min read
1-5 Now it is official: President Biden to visit #SaudiArabia on July 15 and 16, during his Middle East tour.
After meeting with the Saudi leadership, he will meet with the leaders of what some experts call “the Arab NATO”: GCC leaders, Egypt, Jordan, (& Iraq). #OOTT #COM #EFT
2-5 Oil is not among top issues given the importance of security issues in the region. My guess is that Saudis are more interested in highlighting their climate change plans & efforts while showing that they actually have been increasing oil production & will continue to do so
3-5 While mega commercial deals are expected, nuclear deals will attract media attention. Saudi Arabia, in its carbon reduction efforts, needs nuclear energy. It remains to be seen if Saudis will continue to invest in the US refining sector
4-5 It remains to be seen what the Biden Administration will do regarding Huthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Some experts think the US might side with Saudi Arabia against Huthis in Yemen. This will be a significant change #Oil
5-5 Back to #2 above: the Biden Administration knows not to waste political capital on oil: Saudis are increasing production anyway. Any additional increase will arrive in markets after the mid- term elections. The impact on #gasoline is limited because of refining issues. #OPEC

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More from @anasalhajji

May 20
Short thread: As China reopens, oil prices may NOT increase!
1-4 Will oil prices increase as #China opens up?
a- It depends on how the increase in demand is met: If China uses the SPR that was built in recent weeks, then the impact on prices is limited.
#Oil #OOTT #COM #Rusia
2-4
b- If China increases imports, prices might increase as long as the imports are from countries other than Russia. If crude inventories start building up, Russian discounts will start affecting prices globally, especially if competition for market share in China heats up
3-4
c- The most likely scenario is a combination of all the above, leading to a very limited increase in prices.

d- In case of a recession in the US or EU or both, reopening in China will NOT increase oil prices.
#China #Russia #OIl #OOTT
Read 4 tweets
May 16
Thread on the risks of Europ's increased dependence on US LNG
1- Among the pillars of energy security:
a- Diversification of energy sources
b- Diversification of energy imports
c- Low volatility of energy prices
d- Affordability and reliability
#Russia #Natgas #LNG #EU
2- Answer the following:
a- Who benefited the most from stopping Nordstearm 2?
b- Who was the Marketing-in-Cheif of US LNG?
c- Who took advantage of Russian invasion of Ukraine to secure US LNG market share in Europe?
d- Which country is the largest gas exporter to Europe now?
3- Europe has not learned its lesson... yet!

- All they are doing now is shifting dependence from the "mined" fossil fuels to the "mined" minerals needed for the "claimed" carbon neutrality.
and most importantly: shifting Europe's dependence from Russian gas to US gas!
#Russia
Read 13 tweets
May 13
Short thread on inflation
1- I have been listening to what experts have been saying about inflation & its impact on various parts of the economy in recent weeks. Many think inflation is a modern phenomenon & somehow the FED, fiat money, or capitalism created it. #Inflation
2- Inflation is old.. thousands of years old, when people used all kinds of things as money. Inflation existed even when gold & silver were used as money.
The main reason for my thread today is this:
Anglosaxon experts must read about inflation in other languages & cultures.
3- The quantity theory of money was NOT introduced in Europe in the 17th century as European books claim. It was introduced in Egypt 300 years earlier in a book written by a scholar called: Al-Maqrizi
#Inflation #Money #Egypt #Economics
Read 15 tweets
May 12
Ready for some fun?
On this day, May 11, 2007
The fastest motorized Sofa was recorded and registered in the Guinness Book of World Records
The rear-engined couch was commissioned by sofa .com and built by Auto Trader TV show presenter Edd China.
see videos below
#Cars #Fun
Guinness World Records Day 2008 - Edd China Drives The Fastest Bed
Read 4 tweets
May 11
Thread of news items related to #NOPEC
#OPEC #OOTT #COM #Oil
1- Trump calls on Russia and Saudi Arabia to cut oil production
politico.com/news/2020/04/0…
2- Trump told Saudi: Cut oil supply or lose U.S. military support - sources
reuters.com/article/us-glo…
3- OPEC and allies’ oil production cut is Trump’s ‘biggest and most complex’ deal ever: Dan Yergin

cnbc.com/2020/04/13/ope…
Read 6 tweets
Apr 1
سلسلة تغريدات تتعلق بوقف أوبك الاعتماد على بيانات وكالة الطاقة الدولية، وهي من مقال نشر في 29 سبتمبر، 2009، في جريدة الاقتصادية السعودية:
1- ماحصل أمس كان يجب أن يحصل منذ سنوات طويلة.. لأن بيانات وتوقعات الوكالة كانت خاطئة، مجيّرة، وعلميا غير مقبولة.
#النفط #أوبك
2- نجح الغرب في منهجة بعض الكتابات حتى اكتسبت الصفة الأكاديمية والعلمية, رغم أنها كتابات تفتقر إلى أصول البحث العلمي. لقد استطاع الغرب أكدمة العداء للعالم العربي من خلال هذه الكتابات، لدرجة أن رسائل الدكتوراة التي يكتبها الطلاب العرب في الجامعات الغربية أصبحت ''من فمك أدينك''!
3- أما مؤتمرات النفط الخليجية التي عقدت في الأعوام الماضية في العواصم الخليجية فقد أصبحت مجالاً للتندر لأنها تعقد في عقر دار الدول النفطية وتتبنى آراء وكالة الطاقة الدولية والدول الغربية وأغلب متحدثيها من مؤصلي الفكر الغربي المعادي للعرب!
Read 7 tweets

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