#Russia and #Iran have increased their military cooperation in #Ukraine, #Syria, and #Venezuela in recent months. Iranian material support to Russia may help the Kremlin achieve some of its military objectives in Ukraine and eastern Europe. 2/3
#Iran is providing weapons and possibly conducting cyberattacks to support the Russian invasion of #Ukraine. @criticalthreats previously summarized the variety and basic capabilities of the most common and/or significant Iranian drones. 3/3 criticalthreats.org/analysis/irans…
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#Russian forces conducted ground attacks east of #Siversk and northeast and southeast of #Bakhmut. Russian forces also continued ground attacks on the north and southwestern outskirts of #Donetsk City.
#Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground assaults along the #Kharkiv City Axis on August 11.
NEW | Western media has reported that a #Ukrainian counteroffensive is underway near #Izyum, but the Ukrainian General Staff was notably completely silent about the area in its evening report. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
#Russian forces ground attacks north of #Donetsk City and southwest of Donetsk City near the #Zaporizhia-Donetsk Oblast border.
#Russian forces conducted no confirmed ground assaults near #Kharkiv City on August 9.
#Russian forces have likely made incremental gains in settlements on the northwestern and southwestern outskirts of #Donetsk City and continued efforts to break #Ukrainian defensive lines along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line of contact.
#Russian forces did not make confirmed ground assaults near #Kharkiv City on August 7.
#Russian forces conducted several limited ground assaults to the north, northwest, and southwest of #Donetsk City.
#Russian forces continued to focus on preventing #Ukrainian forces from creating conditions to resume a counteroffensive on the #Kharkiv City Axis on August 5.
This proliferation and expansion of African Salafi-jihadi groups will fuel regional disorder, humanitarian crises, and a persistent and likely increasing global terror threat. 2/5
Identifying risk factors and tracking them over time can allow analysts to forecast potential Salafi-jihadi insurgencies and better understand the dynamics leading to worst-case security scenarios and the policies that can avert them. 3/5
Iran and its proxies are responding to a growing political crisis in Baghdad that they have also been fueling. IRGC Quds Force Commander Esmail Ghaani traveled to Baghdad on July 27 to deescalate tensions but reportedly (and evidently) failed. 2/7
Ghaani likely seeks to achieve at least four objectives in attacking US and partner forces: 3/7