Deepening Russo-Iranian ties will almost certainly threaten US and allied interests in Europe, the Middle East, and around the globe. Read @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar’s update on the #Russia-#Iran strategic partnership. 1/3 criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
#Russia and #Iran have increased their military cooperation in #Ukraine, #Syria, and #Venezuela in recent months. Iranian material support to Russia may help the Kremlin achieve some of its military objectives in Ukraine and eastern Europe. 2/3
#Iran is providing weapons and possibly conducting cyberattacks to support the Russian invasion of #Ukraine. @criticalthreats previously summarized the variety and basic capabilities of the most common and/or significant Iranian drones. 3/3 criticalthreats.org/analysis/irans…

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More from @criticalthreats

Aug 12
NEW | The US called on #Russian forces to cease all military activity surrounding the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) amidst new reports of shelling at the ZNPP. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian forces conducted ground attacks east of #Siversk and northeast and southeast of #Bakhmut. Russian forces also continued ground attacks on the north and southwestern outskirts of #Donetsk City. Image
#Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground assaults along the #Kharkiv City Axis on August 11. Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 10
NEW | Western media has reported that a #Ukrainian counteroffensive is underway near #Izyum, but the Ukrainian General Staff was notably completely silent about the area in its evening report. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian forces ground attacks north of #Donetsk City and southwest of Donetsk City near the #Zaporizhia-Donetsk Oblast border. Image
#Russian forces conducted no confirmed ground assaults near #Kharkiv City on August 9. Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
#Russian occupation officials may be accelerating their preparations for illegitimate pseudo-referenda on the Russian annexation of occupied #Ukrainian territory. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
#Russian forces have likely made incremental gains in settlements on the northwestern and southwestern outskirts of #Donetsk City and continued efforts to break #Ukrainian defensive lines along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line of contact.
#Russian forces did not make confirmed ground assaults near #Kharkiv City on August 7.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 6
#Ukrainian officials confirmed that #Russian forces are using #Iranian-provided drones in #Ukraine. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian forces conducted several limited ground assaults to the north, northwest, and southwest of #Donetsk City. Image
#Russian forces continued to focus on preventing #Ukrainian forces from creating conditions to resume a counteroffensive on the #Kharkiv City Axis on August 5. Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 5
NEW REPORT | Salafi-jihadi groups linked to #alQaeda and the #IslamicState are spreading in #Africa, posing new threats to countries that have either suppressed or not yet experienced significant and sustained jihadist violence, warns @EmilyCEstelle. 1/5 criticalthreats.org/analysis/the-u…
This proliferation and expansion of African Salafi-jihadi groups will fuel regional disorder, humanitarian crises, and a persistent and likely increasing global terror threat. 2/5
Identifying risk factors and tracking them over time can allow analysts to forecast potential Salafi-jihadi insurgencies and better understand the dynamics leading to worst-case security scenarios and the policies that can avert them. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Aug 5
#Iran may direct its proxies to attack American and partner targets in the Middle East in the coming weeks. 1/7 criticalthreats.org/analysis/irani…
Iran and its proxies are responding to a growing political crisis in Baghdad that they have also been fueling. IRGC Quds Force Commander Esmail Ghaani traveled to Baghdad on July 27 to deescalate tensions but reportedly (and evidently) failed. 2/7
Ghaani likely seeks to achieve at least four objectives in attacking US and partner forces: 3/7
Read 7 tweets

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