ISW Profile picture
Sep 13 3 tweets 3 min read
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukraine’s #Kakhovka Operational Group announced that Ukrainian forces have penetrated the front line at depths between 4 and 12km in unspecified areas, amounting to over 500 square kilometers of liberated territory. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

#Russian forces did not conduct any ground attacks in #Zaporizhia Oblast west of Hulyaipole and continued routine fire throughout #Mykolaiv Oblast on September 12. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

The International Atomic Energy Agency (#IAEA) announced the restoration of the second reserve power transmission line to the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) on September 12. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Sep 14
#Kremlin officials and state media propagandists are extensively discussing the reasons for the #Russian defeat in #Kharkiv Oblast, a marked change from their previous pattern of reporting on exaggerated or fabricated Russian successes with limited detail.🧵
The Kremlin never admitted that Russia was defeated around Kyiv or, later, at Snake Island, framing the retreat from Kyiv as a decision to prioritize the “liberation” of Donbas and the withdrawal from Snake Island as a “gesture of goodwill.” 2/
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) originally offered a similar explanation for the Russian failure in Kharkiv, claiming that Russian forces were withdrawing troops from Kharkiv Oblast to regroup, but this false narrative faced quick and loud criticism online. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 14
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian troops likely continued ground attacks along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line in northern #Donetsk Oblast and may be conducting limited ground attacks across the #Oskil River in #Kharkiv Oblast. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely hope to take advantage of recent gains in #Sviatohirsk to move east on #Russian positions in #Lyman. Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian forces are fighting around #Bilohorivka. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

A #Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian troops forded the #Oskil River at #Borova, indicating that Ukrainian forces are continuing localized ground assaults to threaten Russian positions behind the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 6 tweets
Sep 13
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces are failing to reinforce the new frontline following Ukrainian gains in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast and are actively fleeing the area or redeploying to other axes. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Social media footage shows lines of cars stretching for kilometers near Schastia and Stanysia Luhanska, which are both along the border of long-held LNR territory and close to the #Russian border. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Certain proxy forces are also reportedly already redeploying from #Kharkiv Oblast to southwestern Donetsk Oblast, indicating that the Russian command is not prioritizing reinforcing vulnerable positions east of the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
A new🗺️from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats depicts total liberated Ukrainian territory as of September 11, 2022.

#Ukraine has liberated over 60,000 square km of territory since the Russians began retreating from around Kyiv in early April. Quick🧵below.
Ukrainian forces have liberated about 9,000 square km across all of #Ukraine since August 29.

However, the Ukrainian counter-offensive in #Kharkiv is not an anomaly but part of the long drive of the Ukrainian people to free their country from #Russian occupation. 2/
The Russian flight from #Kharkiv differs from their flight from #Kyiv for a few reasons:

#Putin chose to withdraw from Kyiv when he realized he could not take it.

In #Kharkiv Oblast, #Ukraine forced Russian troops to flee from attacks the Russians could not stop. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

The success of recent #Ukrainian counteroffensives likely contributed to the Russian announcement that annexation referenda will be indefinitely postponed. /1
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

Occupation authorities may be fleeing from occupied #Ukraine to #Russia as Ukrainian forces advance towards Russian rear areas. /2
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

#Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin and #DNR Mayor of #Mariupol Konstantin Ivashchenko reportedly did not attend a military parade in Mariupol on September 11 and their current whereabouts are unknown. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian troops are likely to continue counter-offensive operations in #Kherson Oblast based on the limited reporting that is available. /1
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Footage taken by residents of #Kherson Oblast on September 10 and 11 corroborates statements made by #Ukrainian officials regarding the continued Ukrainian interdiction campaign along the Southern Axis. /2
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Social media users reported explosions near Kakhovka and Nova Kakhovka which substantiates statements made by #Ukrainian military officials that Ukrainian troops hit an ammunition depot and ferry crossing in this area. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 6 tweets

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