Charles Lister Profile picture
Feb 6, 2023 34 tweets 31 min read Read on X
Northwestern #Syria#Idlib & #Aleppo in particular — have suffered 12yrs of brutal conflict. More than 65% of the basic infrastructure of the area is destroyed or heavily damaged.

Tonight’s earthquake couldn’t have hit a more vulnerable region.

An absolute disaster.
Utterly horrific reports coming from all across NW #Syria - every town I’ve heard from has dozens of buildings flattened. People stuck under the rubble.

Any many, many casualties — including children.

@SyriaCivilDefe will be heroes tonight, working amid heavy rain & sleet.
I’ve heard from x3 hospitals in #Idlib & N. #Aleppo — all are full, every bed taken by emergency cases following tonight’s earthquake.

As rescuers & civilians seek to extract people & belongings from rubble, there’s mass panic about aftershocks.

@SyriaCivilDefe stretched thin.
NW #Syria is home to the world’s biggest & most acute humanitarian crisis — & thanks to #Russia, the international community can provide aid through only one crossing point, to 4.5 million people.

Disaster response isn’t part of that equation & #Assad’s regime won’t give any.
#Turkey has requested international emergency assistance & they should get it ASAP.

But a major global effort needs to mobilize *now* to assist #NW #Syria - a semi-besieged, war-scarred region with 4.5 million of the worlds most vulnerable people.

But it’ll require bold action.
If #Assad’s regime had its way, NW #Syria would be besieged into brutal submission. It opposes *any* humanitarian aid.

An international disaster relief operation would require acting unilaterally — otherwise this population will remain abandoned to fend for themselves. Again.
One single hospital in one town of NW #Syria (in #Atareb) has reported 18 deaths already — per @sams_usa.

At a rough count, I’ve seen ~25 more deaths reported elsewhere, but expect these numbers to rise, I fear considerably.
BREAKING - sustained and very strong aftershock just now at the epicenter of last night’s earthquake in S #Turkey & NW #Syria.

That’s what everyone feared, as rescues continue & structures struggled to stand.
The latest death tolls from #Syria total 850+ dead — but the number is likely to rise markedly, as rescue operations continue apace & that aftershock will have made things a lot worse.

What an unfathomable disaster, amid winter & a spiraling economic collapse.
The Turkish Army, which has 70+ positions across #Idlib, is dispatching rescue teams with heavy equipment to rescue civilians under the rubble.

One source told me “100s” probably “1,000s” are buried under collapsed buildings - many alive & screaming for help.
One @sams_usa hospital in Atareb in W. #Aleppo has reported 89 dead with "many more" serious cases evacuated to Bab al-Hawa on the #Turkey border.

That's from one town, 150km from the epicenter.
@sams_usa This is what remains of an orphanage in #Sarmada, #Idlib -- one young child was killed & 5 injured.

50 others, by some miracle, managed to escape unhurt.
@sams_usa #Turkey death toll has reach 1,121 & 7,634 more wounded. A total of 2,834 buildings have been completely destroyed.

In #Syria, we're looking at 900+ dead, but the rescue efforts are struggling capacity-wise & the infrastructure was far more vulnerable.

What a tragedy.
@sams_usa In #Salqin, #Idlib -- this boy was trapped under the collapsed upper floor of a multi-story building, his body hanging over the edge.

By some miracle, he's been extracted alive.
@sams_usa Here are 2 comments I've heard this morning from NW #Syria, that place this catastrophe in its broader horrific context:

- "Those living in tents are the lucky ones."

- "At least we're not being bombed this time, while we rescue people in the rubble."
@sams_usa Bear in mind that NW #Syria is currently home to ~2.8 million displaced people -- a majority of whom reside in IDP camps.

Most of the camps were already over-capacity, but the scale of destruction caused by this earthquake is going to see camps swell more than ever before.
@sams_usa I'm seeing lots of pledges of international support & disaster relief to #Turkey -- & a #Russia mission to help #Damascus.

But no indication of any international effort to assist the 5 million most vulnerable people in NW #Syria.

Yes it's complex, but it's urgently needed.
@sams_usa This is a residential area on the outskirts of Harem in #Idlib.

24hrs ago, there were 25 separate 5-storey buildings -- but today, it's all rubble.

Locals say 500-700 may have died in Harem, altogether.
@sams_usa "Thousands" of homes have been destroyed in NW #Syria -- meaning 10,000s of civilians are likely now homeless, without any form of shelter.

IDP camps look likely to swell, while they're already far beyond capacity.

Meanwhile, the UN says cross-border aid has been hit hard.
@sams_usa Prior to the earthquake, the UN said cross-border aid into NW #Syria was only 40% funded.

Now the main road leading to Bab al-Hawa has been heavily damaged, which will severely curtail meaningful aid flows.

The displacement & humanitarian crisis is spiraling as you read this.
@sams_usa I just saw a video from #Antakya Hospital in southern #Turkey -- there must have been 100+ dead bodies filling multiple hallways, each covered with blankets.

A complete disaster.
@sams_usa The #HTS-linked Salvation Government in #Idlib has issued a public call for foreign journalists & news channels to "cover the disaster left by the earthquake."

"We affirm our readiness to coordinate & arrange media work for all media outlets & journalists," they say.
@sams_usa The death toll in NW #Syria has risen to 700, with 2,000+ wounded.

@SyriaCivilDefe says "hundreds" more bodies remain stuck under rubble, so this toll will continue to rise.
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe For now, official death tolls suggest 3,000+ have died in #Turkey & #Syria combined.

The @WHO just said it's possible 20,000 may have been killed by the earthquake.

Meanwhile, NGOs in NW #Syria have confirmed Bab al-Hawa -- the only aid crossing -- is currently 100% inactive.
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe @WHO To my knowledge, every single hospital in NW #Syria is now over capacity.

Evacuation of critical patients to #Turkey was ended overnight.

The White Helmets are running out of diesel to operate heavy equipment.

IDP camps taking in a mass of newly homeless, displaced people.
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe @WHO When #Russia periodically threatens to end cross-border aid access into NW #Syria, the UN & NGOs warn of an "unimaginable humanitarian catastrophe."

Well, now we have no cross-border aid access AND a catastrophic earthquake, mass destruction & 1,000s of casualties IN WINTER.
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe @WHO A major aftershock just hit southern #Turkey & NW #Syria -- described by locals as equivalent in severity to the first two earthquakes.

It's dark now, very cold & raining.
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe @WHO I don't think we've come anywhere close to hearing the scale of the tragedy in NW #Syria.

Rescue personnel say 733 dead -- but in countless towns, locals are reporting 100s of bodies stuck under rubble.

In Jindires alone, locals say 600-800 are buried (via @SchoenbornTrent).
@sams_usa @SyriaCivilDefe @WHO @SchoenbornTrent As if to make matters worse, pro-#Assad forces appear to have just shelled the opposition-held town of Marea in northern #Aleppo.

The town was hit hard by the earthquake & people are still being rescued.
This child’s entire family were killed in the earthquake — and by some miracle, she survived, but left an orphan.

Born into a 12yr-old war & confronted with the ugly reality this world can represent.

No more words.

Imagine living through 12yrs of horrendous, brutal conflict — like #Ukraine every year, 12 times, with chemical weapons too — then as things calm just slightly, you get hit by a catastrophic earthquake that flattens the little that survived the last decade.

That’s NW #Syria.
Remarkable footage, as 3 young children & their father are rescued from the rubble of their home in NW #Syria.

Absolute heroes, @SyriaCivilDefe.

This baby girl was born under the rubble of her home in #Afrin in NW #Syria — rescuers discovered her this afternoon, still attached by her umbilical cord to her mother, who had tragically died.

I mean, there are no words.
So, #UAE, #Algeria, #Tunisia, #Egypt, #Jordan & #Saudi have all pledged aid to #Syria.

To my knowledge, it'll all be delivered to #Damascus.

That means nothing will get to the northwest, where 4.5 million people are completely alone & cut-off.

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More from @Charles_Lister

Apr 15
When it comes to reports of a US military withdrawal from #Syria, there are many moving parts in play, but it's clearly coming.

The US military's decisive shift in posture & priorities post-#Assad offered the clearest evidence. A 🧵: Image
Since #Assad fell in Dec 2024, the US military has established relations with #Damascus & proactively facilitated & pushed talks between the #SDF & #Syria's new gov't.

For CENTCOM: the #SDF *must* integrate into the new #Syria.

foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/20/syr…
The March 10 framework agreement signed by #Syria President Ahmed al-Sharaa & #SDF leader Mazloum Abdi was a direct result of US mediation -- and from March 6, of *intense* pressure on the #SDF (by @CENTCOM's Gen Kurilla & @CJTFOIR's MG Leahy). Image
Read 8 tweets
Apr 1
For years, #Syria's crisis was a complex geopolitical battleground, involving #Russia, #Iran, #USA, #Turkey, #Israel & more.

With #Assad out, a dangerous geopolitical face-off is intensifying -- between #Turkey & #Israel. A 🧵:
Since #Assad fell 4 months ago, #Israel has launched ~750 airstrikes & 100+ ground incursions into #Syria, seeking to cripple #Syria militarily -- while demanding a complete demilitarization of the south.

See my latest on this: foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/27/isr…
With the #HTS-led military victory in #Syria, #Turkey -- in theory -- has the most to gain, and to a large extent, it's moved methodically to establish its influence.

But for now, the transitional gov't in #Damascus wants to balance its regional relations.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 9
The information space around #Syria has collapsed into a toxic pot of vitriol, wild misinformation and... some facts.

Large numbers of people are tragically dead, but the circumstances & context are far more complex than is being widely conveyed. A 🧵:
In the lead-up to Thursday night, pro-#Assad gunmen had launched 46 attacks on interim gov't forces in 6/14 of #Syria's governorates -- but what happened Thursday night was a whole other level.

3 days later, more than 400 gov't forces are confirmed as dead.
Almost all of those 400 gov't forces were locally-deployed -- many killed by summary execution, burned to death & buried alive.

In the 1st night of fighting, pro-#Assad gunmen also launched attacks on rival villages -- some Sunni, others Alawite.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 8
Suffice to say, the chance of #Syria being granted any sanctions relief by the #Trump admin is now effectively zero.

#Assad loyalists knew exactly what they wanted -- an extension of the long-standing "#Assad or we burn the country" motto.
#Assad fell in an #HTS-led military campaign that demonstrated extraordinary & unprecedented self-restraint -- and in the aftermath, calls for 'reconciliation' & recovery kept a lid on a long-standing boiling pot of anger & grudges.
After a decade+ of pro-#Assad sectarian massacres, 82,000 barrel bombs, starvation sieges, 340+ chemical weapons attacks, industrialized torture & 130k disappeared -- the simmering fury & thirst for revenge was restrained only by the prospect of a new start.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 5
A 🧵-- in the last 10 days, #Israel has:

- Launched ground incursions into x18 localities in SW #Syria, as deep as 12km;
- Conducted x3 airstrikes;
- Threatened a military intervention toward #Damascus;
- Demanded all of south #Syria be demilitarized.
#Israel says it distrusts #Syria's interim gov't & has sought to instrumentalize minorities to justify its interventions -- particularly the #Druze.

Yet the most powerful #Druze actors have publicly rejected #Israel's "interference" & "stoking division."
24hrs before #Israel began publicly linking the #Druze to its actions in #Syria, the "#Suwayda Military Council" began an online PR campaign -- which many took to be too much of a coincidence.

Their flag was also similar in style to the #SDF in NE #Syria. Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 1
NEW -- #Israel is threatening military intervention in #Syria tonight amid rising tensions between interim gov't forces & #Druze militiamen in #Damascus' suburb of #Jaramana.

What's going on? A brief 🧵:
Last night, #Druze militiamen in #Jaramana outside #Damascus attacked a handful of interim gov't forces -- killing one, injuring another & temporarily taking him hostage.

An hour later, the militiamen attacked & ransacked a state police station nearby.
#Druze notables in #Jaramana intervened last night, securing the hostage release & promising the gov't General Security Service to handover the men responsible for the x2 attacks.

That didn't happen & tensions are rising tonight, amid occasional gunfire.
Read 7 tweets

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