I honestly don't understand the "solution" to the #NorthernIreland issue which was caused by the #BrexitDisaster that #RishiSunak seems so excited about.

A short 🧵. Maybe someone can enlighten me.

Apparently the solution is something called the #NorthernIrelandProtocol

(1/8)
Apparently, according to this protocol, there will be a "border at sea." Goods coming from England to Northern Ireland will be marked as those terminating in Northern Ireland or those going on to Ireland (EU checks.)

I don't understand how this will solve the problem. (2/8)
The whole point of the UK coming out of the EU was the implication that the UK will not benefit from the European market rules. That means, for example that French cheese is cheaper for European countries than it is for England.

(3/8)
Suppose French cheese is flown in from Paris to Dublin.

If there is no hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, and no checks, that cheese could be trucked in from Dublin to Belfast with no one checking. And sold in Belfast, within the UK at the same low EU price. (4/8)
You can do this for any product, including cars, computers, and the like. Just tracking goods that arrive in Belfast as to whether they are headed to Ireland or Northern Ireland doesn't solve this problem. (5/8)
What this will do, if the EU accepts it, is make Northern Ireland a giant "duty free zone" for EU goods for the people of the UK. Everyone in the UK will take a trip every six months to Belfast to buy the latest goods from the EU, cheap. (6/8)
Essentially, the UK will get to have its cake and eat it, too. They will make suckers out of the Europeans. I seriously doubt that Europe will agree to this.

This whole problem happened because of the bird brains like #BoJo who pushed Brexit through. (7/8)
Ultimately, the only way for Ireland to be in the #EU and #NorthernIreland not to be in the EU is a hard border between Ireland and NI. And, with it, a return to the Troubles.

Of course, I am willing to be corrected, but this is how it seems to me. (8/8)

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More from @KumarSeshadri

Mar 2
There Will Be No #WWIII !!!

Headlines in the Western media suggest that the US is determined to impose harsh #economicsanctions on China for allegedly "planning to supply Russia with weapons."

This is actually great news. A 🧵 to explain why. (1/n)
China has denied the allegations, which only say that China is "planning to supply Russia with weapons," not that they have actually supplied weapons. But the US doesn't care about reality, only about its own decisions. Ask #Iraq . There were never any #WMD (2/n)
If China is not supplying weapons to Russia, why sanction China? Because China is an economic lifeline for Russia. China buying Russian energy and natural resources is what helps Russians get everything they need in return. As long as this goes on, sanctions will fail. (3/n)
Read 24 tweets
Feb 28
Countries in the Global South are sensible and pragmatic, and act in the best interests of their people, unlike Western nations which, today, are acting on ideological impulses and often against the best interests of their people. A 🧵. (1/16)
That's why #China will support #Russia economically but not provide it with weapons. They know Russia can win this war on their own, so long as they are supported economically. China will continue to provide technological assistance/dual use items, such as semiconductors. (2/16)
They will buy huge quantities of pipeline gas, #LNG, and oil, because that is a win-win strategy. China needs to develop #Tibet and #Xinjiang and needs cheap energy; Russia needs money and goods that China can produce cheaply. This partnership has defeated US sanctions. (3/16)
Read 17 tweets
Feb 25
Germany's de-industrialization (as of all of Europe) is now irreversible. The fact that spot gas prices are now at 50 Eur/MWh does not matter, because that price is still three times what companies were paying for Russian gas.

Ask BASF.

nytimes.com/2023/02/24/wor…
As part of a restructuring announced Friday, BASF will close one of its two ammonia plants and
corresponding fertilizer facilities at the company’s massive manufacturing complex in Ludwigshafen,
in southwestern Germany.
But he also stressed that high energy prices, which the company does not expect to return to the levels
seen before the invasion, were a driving factor. Although natural gas prices have eased considerably
since last summer’s peaks, they remain above long-term averages.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 14
The US had probably its worst chemical disaster in decades on February 3rd, when a train carrying about a million pounds of vinyl chloride (the monomer, not the polymer, PVC) derailed in East Palestine, Ohio.

Vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) is an extremely toxic chemical. (1/n)
So the Hazmat teams decided to burn all that VCM. But burning VCM doesn't solve the problem. It releases hydrochloric acid (HCl), chlorine gas, and phosgene gas. Chlorine and phosgene are poisons which have been used in war. HCl is corrosive, damages eyes, skin, and lungs. (2/n)
HCl also destroys crops, makes soil infertile, kills fish in rivers, and when it pours down as acid rain, ruins homes. VCM is a carcinogen. Dead fish have been seen in a radius of 100 km from the area. Probably several hundred square km are too dangerous to live in. (3/n)
Read 4 tweets
Feb 13
Those of you still laboring under the illusion that Western democracies and their media are "free" need to wake up. Western states decide what can and cannot be talked about - not through forced censorship, but through ownership. (1/n) #ohiotrainderailment #OhioChernobyl A 🧵
The way it works is that politicians are elected via expensive election campaigns requiring huge corporate sponsorship. So they are beholden to big corporates for their survival. The same big corporates own the press. (2/n)
So the big corporates tell politicians (whom they own) what to do and they then tell the press (which they own) to run stories that support the things that the politicians do at their bidding. The system works smoothly and nobody is the wiser. (3/n)
Read 16 tweets
May 5, 2022
These are the only guys profiting from this war. That's exactly why Biden is giving more weapons to Ukraine and telling Europe to stop buying Russian oil and gas.

More money for his friends.

1/n

cnbc.com/2022/05/05/she…
#sheeple
The longer this war goes on, the better for Big Business.

Another 20-year war, another $2 trillion of US taxpayer money down the drain in weapons to kill people.

But wealthy people will make a killing.

2/n

#sheeple
But you guys can keep supporting sanctions and chopping away at the branch you are sitting on. Have fun paying more for oil, gas, wheat, minerals, cars, food, ... everything.

And enjoy the body bags when they start arriving.

3/n

#sheeple
Read 5 tweets

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