Facts:
1. There will be no exoneration letter.
2. The Mueller probe will continue for most of 2018—maybe beyond.
3. Trump is the probe's target.
4. Mueller will refer at least one impeachable offense—maybe more.
All this is clear from the publicly reported information we have.
1. There will be no exoneration letter.
2. The Mueller probe will continue for most of 2018—maybe beyond.
3. Trump is the probe's target.
4. Mueller will refer at least one impeachable offense—maybe more.
All this is clear from the publicly reported information we have.
2/ Public exonerations are unheard of—which is why Trump fired Comey for giving Clinton one. That he's demanding one now is jaw-droppingly hypocritical. But Mueller isn't Comey—and even Comey didn't offer an exoneration letter in mid-investigation. Mueller's in mid-investigation.
3/ A report today said Mueller's probe will continue for most of 2018—maybe beyond. That's no surprise; he's only done one round of interviews of White House staff, is waiting on mountains of documentary evidence, and has indicted only a fraction of those who've committed crimes.
4/ You determine investigative targets—in a case like this—from organization hierarchies. Below Trump was/is Manafort, Flynn, Kushner, Sessions and Trump Jr. The first was indicted; the second, convicted; the third, set up for indictment; the fourth and fifth, clearly indictable.
5/ If Mueller's target was a level below Trump, he wouldn't have rolled Flynn. So the target is either Trump or Pence or both—and there's a mountain of evidence pointing to Trump crimes. There's only an attenuated case—based on partly on speculation—that Pence obstructed justice.
6/ We also know Trump is a target because Mueller has a prima facie case for Obstruction—Comey—and Witness Tampering (Don Jr.). The former is an impeachable offense—and prosecutors are trained to bring all cases they can prove. So Mueller will refer an impeachable offense to DOJ.
7/ So there will be no exoneration letter for Trump this week. Instead, he'll learn—now or soon—he's the target and will continue to be for most of 2018.
Because his attorneys haven't set him up to accept this truth, he'll go ballistic. And at that point, he'll fire Rosenstein.
Because his attorneys haven't set him up to accept this truth, he'll go ballistic. And at that point, he'll fire Rosenstein.
8/ All these events are predetermined based on what's already occurred: Trump's obstruction; Mueller's training; Trump's attorneys' bad advice; Trump's temperament; the basics of investigation; the tactics used in securing cooperation from witnesses.
The only question is timing.
The only question is timing.
9/ The law isn't a Magic Eight Ball—things can be known in advance because the procedures are known in advance, the statutes are known in advance, precedent is known in advance, and—here at least—the personalities of the principals are established in stone. So this IS the future.
10/ The Congressional probes are a sham; the White House's rhetoric is self-serving and false; the mainstream media waits for leaks to report anything significant; Mueller must remain quiet. But legal experts CAN make educated guesses on what will happen and help educate America.
CONCLUSION/ The statements I made atop this thread are all true and will be confirmed as true. They HAVE to be true based on what's already known. I say that on the basis of expertise—not motivated reasoning.
The only remaining question is the timing of these revelations. {end}
The only remaining question is the timing of these revelations. {end}
PS/ Yes, I know Trump fired Comey because of "the Russia thing." My point is that Rosenstein and Sessions could credibly write letters saying Comey issuing a public exoneration was a deviation from protocol because it was—even if Lynch forced the deviation. That's my point here.
