Thread by @HotlineJosh

NEW Against the Grain: "The Five Biggest House Bellwethers"

The five blue-chip races to track in 2018 to see if Democrats will retake the majority.
njour.nl/s/662832?unloc…

1. Illinois Rep. Peter Roskam
"A sr GOP strategist shared internal polling that showed Roskam leading a generic Democrat, but only hanging around the mid-40s in a ballot test."
nationaljournal.com/s/662832?unloc…

2. Pennsylvania Rep. Ryan Costello
"Costello’s reelection bid is the most instructive, as his sharp political instincts are being tested by one of the Democrats’ leading recruits, military veteran Chrissy Houlahan."
nationaljournal.com/s/662832?unloc…

3. Texas Rep. John Culberson
"If the GOP brand is tanking in the suburbs, Culberson will be badly exposed."
nationaljournal.com/s/662832?unloc…

4. New York Rep. Lee Zeldin
"Zeldin hasn’t done much to distance himself from the more controversial elements of the Trump White House."
nationaljournal.com/s/662832?unloc…

5. Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon
"If outside GOP groups' vote-targeting and get-out-the-vote efforts can reelect Bacon, it would give Republicans hope that outside spending and opposition efforts can make the difference in other close races."
nationaljournal.com/s/662832?unloc…