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Rick Wilson @TheRickWilson
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
1/ Here's why Paul Manafort doesn't flip and squeal: there's a tiny % chance Trump pardons him for the Federal crimes. (Doesn't fix state charges that can hit in NY, VA, FL)
2/ But if Manafort rolls and starts talking about the Trump campaign, Russia, Russian oligarchs and Vladimir Putin, there's close to a 100% he dies a painful death by polonium poisoning.
3/ The calculus is pretty stark. The immovable object of Manafort's fear has met the irresistible force of Mueller's investigation.
4/ As a periodic reminder: there is no difference between what RU/RIS, ROC, and oligarchs can deploy against Manafort. It's all of a piece. A radioactive, deadly piece.
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More from @TheRickWilson see all

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1/ You're a Republican Senator. You're up for reelection in 2020.

Maybe you bought in to the idea that the tax bill would sustain a few cycles of prosperity that would lift you.

Maybe you thought you could trim up the middle on Trump.

Maybe you feared his base.
2/ Maybe you don't want a primary. (Lookin' at you, Lindsay)

Maybe you thought Trumpism is the new normal and just rode the wave.

Maybe you're an actual True Believer. (seek counseling.)

This is your periodic reminder that Trump will screw you over, directly and collaterally.
3/ The Wall fight gains you *nothing* *even* in shrinking, fickle, short-attention-span base of Cletuses and Lurleens.

Remember, they *worship* him and they barely *tolerate* you on a good day.

You're always suspect. The MAGAe don't trust anyone except him.
Read 8 tweets
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1/ A whole bunch of formerly conservative -- now Trumpist -- think tanks better get ready to pull down all their articles opposing eminent domain seizures.
2/ While they're at it, they might want to scrub all the policies about Obama' untrammeled abuse of executive power.
3/ Also, let's skip that whole "rule of law" question from now on, ok?

The new standard of "conservatism" is being set tonight, and since Washington's Vichy GOP policy establishment dropped their petticoats to keep the Trumpists happy, they might as well go all the way.
Read 13 tweets
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1/ In the midst of something close to 2000 emails along the lines of "Suck it, looser" and "I'm going to kill you" there have been a few heartfelt messages expressing hurt over my "ten tooth" line.

Allow me to make a few observations about this current moment.
2/ Obviously, not all Trump supporters are ten-toothed rubes, but I'd bet you a hundred quatloos research would prove all ten-toothed rubes are Trump supporters.

But that's not really the point, is it? The point is that Trump's base proudly endorses the most lavish cruelty.
3/ They adopt this language and attitude of unearned swagger and strength, of "fuck your feelings" and imitation of Trump's own cruelty, vulgarity, unjustified chest-thumping.

Trumpism isn't, for the 1000th time, conservatism. It's a parasitic infection feeding on hatred.
Read 8 tweets

Related threads

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Manafort flipped. This is the "statement of the offenses" in which Manafort confesses to doing the crimes...

assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4883…
This first count #Manafort admits to is violation of 18 USC § 371, "Conspiracy Against the United States."

What does that mean? He conspired to commit a crime against the US or to defraud the US:
A conspiracy, definitionally, requires more than one conspirator. Who did Manafort conspire with? The first paragraph dealing with Count 1 names Richard Gates and Konstantin Kilimnik "and others"
Read 6 tweets
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Trump’s threat to pardon Manafort must be taken seriously. Trump wouldn't pardon Manafort for anything Manafort did in connection with the campaign #manafort
1/ (that would strip Manafort of his Fifth Amendment protection for those matters): only for the financial crimes involved in the two court cases. #manafort
2/ This pardon would thereby remove all the pressure Manafort is under to be a cooperating witness against Trump for collusion, and would still leave Manafort with Fifth Amendment protection over the collusion/conspiracy matter.
Read 5 tweets
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Here’s the deal. #Manafort will be pardoned… eventually.

It will be after the next trials conclusion and after the midterms (if trial is quick)
Given yes, @PaulManafort is a sleaze bag and committed some offenses. Had he been charged when this first came about he might have be wrapping up his lengthy prison sentence right about now. But that didn’t happen, did it?

This trial was politically motivated 💯
Manafort was charged with these crimes,
previously examined and passed on,
to put on pressure to “flip on Trump” and confess all the Russian sins of the campaign.

Of course, that had to of occurred for the ‘flip’ to be feasible absent false testimony...
Read 5 tweets
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Paul Manafort was a "sex addict" who made his wife have sex with other men while he watched. His daughters were not please, his wife hated it.

1/3
#Manafort #Manafortleaks
Read 20 tweets
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Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
National politics correspondent for Newsweek, Nina Burleigh, with a fun find on a TV above the bar at the Trump Hotel DC bit.ly/2E37QRR
Two errors in the 2nd graf of Breitbart's Trump Hotel DC article:
-holdings aren't out of @realDonaldTrump's hands: trust isn't blind & he can profit from it
-Trump Org told Congress it was estimating foreign receipts—not auto donating in full
bit.ly/2CpL7z2
Read 1562 tweets
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#Trump was not elected president because he did not win the electoral vote via @RealTimBlack #TimBlackShow #Resist
#Trump used the same trick as George W did in Florida. By removing voters of color in 28 states, Trump supposedly won the electoral college.
#Trump is not our legitimate president, rather he's the Commander-in-Thief! via @RealTimBlack #TimBlackShow #Resist
Read 29 tweets

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