Despite impressive achievements made to test and treat #HIV/#AIDS, there are still significant inequities in access to care globally. Investment is key to addressing these gaps in care. #WorldAIDSDay According to the Global Burden of Disease (#GBDstudy): Since the 1980s more than 30 million people have died from #AIDS-related illnesses

All US states struggled during the pandemic, but were outcomes across states equal? Not according to analysis from @UW’s IHME examining state-by-state comparisons of health outcomes, education loss, & economic performance from Jan 1, 2020-July 31, 2022 🧵 bit.ly/COVID_By_State The research examined how 5 🔑 areas affected each state’s pandemic performance:
-Social, racial & economic inequities
-Health care capacity
-Political influence
-COVID-19 mandates
-Economic & educational trade-offs

A previous COVID infection may result in natural immunity against severe disease (hospitalization & death) for all variants (≥ 88% at 10 months post-infection).
This is on par with 2 doses of mRNA vaccines (@moderna_tx, @pfizer), finds new IHME study. bit.ly/COVIDReinfecti… As the most comprehensive analysis to provide evidence on natural immunity protection by COVID-19 variants, the study includes data for ancestral, Alpha, Delta, and Omicron BA.1 variants. The study did not include data on infection from Omicron XBB and its sublineages.

The global burden of cancer in children is often overlooked despite being a distinct subgroup with unique epidemiology, clinical care needs, & societal impact. For International Childhood #Cancer Day, we want to address the burden inequities that exist around the world #ICCD2023 Childhood cancer (affecting ages 0-19) was the #9 leading cause of childhood disease burden globally in 2017. Children in low-income places are most impacted: 82% of global childhood cancer DALYs occurred in low & middle socio-demographic Index locations.
»healthdata.org/research-artic…

What's going on with #China and #COVID-19?

Model 📈 covid19.healthdata.org
Blog 🗨️ bit.ly/IHME-Episodes
Briefings 📊 healthdata.org/covid/updates

Here's the breakdown: a thread 🧵 What we're expecting in #China:
- Major #omicron epidemic in coming months
- According to our reference scenario, we expect 323,000 total deaths by 4/1/23
- Infections to peak around 4/1, but we expect number of susceptible individuals to sustain transmission months after April

🆕 ✨According to a new @theLancet study on excess deaths, IHME’s Haley Comfort, Spencer Pease, & Stefanie Watson discuss there were 18 MILLION #ExcessDeaths due to the pandemic in 2020 & 2021. Read their post about the study in @ThinkGlobalHlth ⤵
thinkglobalhealth.org/article/covid-… 💡What are #ExcessDeaths? It’s a measure comparing the trends of deaths in previous years vs. deaths during the #COVID19 pandemic. The abnormal spike in deaths during 2020 and 2021 → excess deaths

NEW—Global estimates of #ExcessDeaths indicates that 18.2 million people may have died because of the #COVID19 pandemic by December 31, 2021, according to our analysis published in @TheLancet
thelancet.com/journals/lance… The peer-reviewed analysis found over 18 million* deaths as opposed to the reported nearly 6 million deaths, more than 3 times higher.

“COVID effectively increased the global death rate each year by nearly 20% in both 2020 and 2021,” said IHME Director Chris Murray ⤵

🧵For #IWD2022, Emmanuela Gakidou, @luisaflorr, @JosephRFriedman expand on their new @TheLancet study about the #COVID19 pandemic worsening gender gaps in 📚education, 💼employment, and ‼️ gender-based violence. More in @ThinkGlobalHlth thinkglobalhealth.org/article/covid-… 📚In recent years, girls have overtaken boys in educational attainment. But during the #COVID19 pandemic (and previous crises), girls were more likely to drop out of school

On #IWD2022, we hope leaders will address how the pandemic has threatened to reverse progress in #GenderEquality by widening gender gaps that already exist in employment, education & gender-based violence, according to our new study in @TheLancet

🔗thelancet.com/journals/lance… According to our study, political and social leaders can address the gender gap by implementing programs that focus on supporting girls & women returning to school, ensuring women’s growth and empowerment in years to come #InternationalWomensDay2022
🔗thelancet.com/journals/lance…

NEW—The social & economic effects of the #COVID19 pandemic threaten to reverse progress in #GenderEquality by widening gender gaps that already existed in employment, education & gender-based violence, according to our new study in @TheLancet
🔗thelancet.com/journals/lance… 🗣“Based on previous crises, it is also likely men will be rehired at rates higher than women. This combination can result in severe impact to long-term income and career progression for #women globally,” said IHME Postdoctoral Scholar and co-author Dr. @luisaflorr

We just updated our COVID-19 model covid19.healthdata.org with the latest data & updated our policy briefings healthdata.org/covid/updates for over 200+ world locations.

We've got good news to confirm about Omicron.🧵 The good news:

As expected, the transmission intensity of Omicron is so great that it sweeps through populations in a very short period of time and then starts to decline.

“Given #Omicron's lower severity, the negative cost of lockdowns and school closures—including financial turmoil, isolation, and lost learning time—far outweigh the benefits.” write @AliHMokdad and @kleachkemon in @ThinkGlobalHlth👇
thinkglobalhealth.org/article/sensib… Estimates suggest that #Omicron is just 3% as deadly as #Delta and 1/10 as likely to cause hospitalization while simultaneously spreading at “stunning” speeds and will likely infect as many people in the next 2 months as SARS-CoV-2 has infected people in the past 2 years

‼️🆕‼️@HEIresearch x IHME study found that coal accounts for the highest #FossilFuel pollution emissions & related deaths 🧵/8⤵️

Read study here »bit.ly/GBDMAPS According to the study, more than 27% of all deaths are from outdoor fine particulate matter (PM2.5), #coal combustion alone was responsible for half of those deaths, with natural gas and #oil combustion accounting for the other half

November 25 is International Day for the Elimination of Violence against Women. #ViolenceAgainstWomen is a human rights violation that remains largely unreported and manifests in physical, sexual and psychological forms #SpreadTheWord @UN_Women 🧵 TW: Abuse
Have you experienced abuse and need help? If you have felt threatened, unsafe or need assistance, please see the list of country help lines. You are not alone.
endvawnow.org/en/need-help

🆕 ✨In recent years, low vaccine coverage has led to an increase in #measles cases in the US and #Europe, even after many countries had previously achieved elimination status.

Read the latest from IHME in @ThinkGlobalHlth ⤵️
bit.ly/3HOvPWL In the US, nearly 1,300 #measles cases were recorded in 2019, with the vast majority occurring in tight-knit communities with low vaccination rates.

The latest United States COVID-19 wave is taking its toll on some states’ intensive-care units, with several parts of the country seeing outbreaks that are as bad as ever. #ICU #COVID19 #DeltaVariant #DeltaSurge bloomberg.com/news/articles/… “Many of our physicians are at a breaking point,” IHME's @AliHMokdad told @business.

“It’s not easy to be day in and day out in an emergency room, in an ICU, looking at someone who is dying because he or she is not vaccinated.” #COVID19 #VaccinesSaveLives #DeltaVariant

✨🆕 IHME researchers published today in @sciencedirect – "Estimating the population at high risk for tuberculosis through household exposure in high-incidence countries: a model-based analysis" using #TB data from the 2019 #GBDstudy. #tuberculosis sciencedirect.com/science/articl… The researchers estimate that in 20 high-incidence countries, 38 million individuals live in a household with someone with pulmonary #tuberculosis — with children under 5 making up 12% of populations with home exposure.

Dr. Stephen Lim, Senior Director of Science & Engineering here at IHME, wrote for @SeaTimesOpinion about @SeaPubSchools decision to cancel remote-learning for grades 6-12 and failures to achieve proper levels of vaccination to protect children. #COVID19 🧵
seattletimes.com/opinion/we-fai… In the United States, these are the stats on children and #COVID19:

▪️>17,000 have been hospitalized
▪️>4,000 have suffered from Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome
▪️>400 have died

📊⚖️ @AliHMokdad & @DrEricDing write for @ThinkGlobalHlth about the data pointing to the need for COVID-19 vaccine boosters & how the U.S. government needs to put the groups who can benefit most from these boosters at the front of the line. #VaccineEquity📄thinkglobalhealth.org/article/time-s… 🇺🇸📝💉The US government should begin rolling out COVID-19 booster shots for:

▪️people who are immunocompromised
▪️adults aged 60 and older
▪️racial and ethnic minority groups
▪️health care workers
▪️other essential workers
▪️people experiencing homelessness
▪️incarcerated people

📣✨ 3 global studies on #smoking published today in @TheLancet & @TheLancetPH using data from 3,625 surveys #GBDstudy.

🚬 Latest data finds nearly 8 million deaths from smoking in 2019 & 90% of new smokers addicted by age 25.

📄➡️thelancet.com/journals/lance… 🚭📊 The global numbers as of 2019:

▪️ Number of smokers increased to 1.1 billion
▪️ Caused 7.7 million deaths
▪️ Over 1/2 of countries showed no progress in reducing smoking among 15-24 year olds
▪️ 1 in 3 current tobacco smokers live in China

Did COVID-19 lockdowns cause opioid deaths to surge? The answer is complicated, writes researcher Alton Lu in @ThinkGlobalHlth.

Read here ⤵️thinkglobalhealth.org/article/opioid… Fortunately, many countries were spared and some may even see decreases, according to early findings. But in the United States and Canada, fentanyl and lockdowns were a deadly combination.