Profile picture
Jill Rutter @jillongovt
, 9 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Wtaching #marrshow - here is @instituteforgov on what preparations for no deal need to look like instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/preparing…
@instituteforgov Andrew Marr is completely right that we don't know what would happen to UK citizens in EU -- what's the planning - one of the questions to answer
@instituteforgov this would all fall to a bunch of bilateral agreements....
@instituteforgov 80 per cent of the withdrawal agreement was agreed in March
@instituteforgov @KeithKeith80 she can't make guarantees for British citizens in EU countries... can do for EU citizens here
@instituteforgov @KeithKeith80 as @DominicRaab seems to almost have done
@instituteforgov if you are very untransparent, you create the conditions for "selective snippets" - gtr openness would be a nice change from @DExEUgov
@instituteforgov @DExEUgov Raab now trying to explain the mechanisms on tariffs that the PM struggled to explain to the Liaison Cttee...
@instituteforgov @DExEUgov Dominic Raab does seem much more interested in "technical details" than his predecessor ever was.. which is good.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Jill Rutter
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Related hashtags

#marrshow

More from @jillongovt see all

Profile picture
my suggestion to help the PM - EU agrees to set up a working group of technical experts as soon as WA passed to investigate and make recommendations on "technological and facilitative arrangements"
can include any experts nominated by the UK (so all the ERG's favourite experts) and reps from HMRC and Defra and Irish authorities + EU experts.
set a deadline to report by October 2019 so can be fed into the discussions on the long-run future relationship... and have it chaired by a neutral. Both sides agree to consider conclusions carefully as part of "best endeavours"
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
An eventful day in parliament.. govt went down to a defeat on contempt instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/con… - and will publish AG legal advice
that will look at the NI backstop - and presumably contains some warning on how hard it is to exit instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/no-easy-e… spoiler: it is
the govt then went down on an amendment to the business motion on the meaningful vote instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/par…
Read 15 tweets
Profile picture
Interesting bits from the Prime Minister’s #Brexit letter …bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…. The absolute primacy of ending free movement as the driver of the Referendum result- perhaps the one Leave argument she personally buys..
But ending FOM for EU citizens also removes it from UK citizens. PM does not mention that.
Second the stress on the benefits of ending vast annual payments.. But she knows that direct savings will not be huge as we take over programmes (CAP, replacement structural funds), incur costs of setting up own agencies
Read 21 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Hard brexiteers don't care there is no majority in parlaiment for 'no deal'. They don't care that there is no majority in the country for 'no deal'. Nonetheless, they are ideologically committed to it and will pursue that aim relentlessly now. They can't be appeased.
Lost plenty of Brexiteer followers for my criticism of the 'no deal' or 'WTO option', but it isn't a recent development. I've been warning that this would be a terrible scenario since before the ref. The research I based these stark warnings on was unequivocal about it.
Post-referendum there has been an increase in the prominence in trade experts & legal experts, who have also warned about the consequences of 'no deal', and their expertise has seeped into the writings of some very good political commentators. The facts are out there.
Read 21 tweets
Profile picture
SO. #Brexit boils down to how - or if - the UK can ever leave the dreaded Irish backstop.

There is talk of a "review mechanism". So what might that be? How might it work?

Some thoughts after chats with both sides + experts 1/Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Let's start from the point of agreement.

Both sides say backstop is
a) necessary
b) temporary
c) should be superseded by future relationship

So there does need to be what one EU source calls an "unwinding" mechanism. /2
The problem (before we get to the detail of that mechanism) is that no-one can see what version of the Future Relationship can deliver on UK commitment to no return to a hard border in Ireland.

May's dual tariff or 'MaxFac' unicorns are dead. /3
Read 17 tweets
Profile picture
So the next (and still not final?!) set of #nodeal notices is out. @instituteforgov will of course be diving into the detail so you don't have to - but that's a job for next week

First, here's a thread of some interesting things we've spotted from a quick scan of today's papers:
1 - first up, a line on the #CustomsUnion in the note on exporting mercury - clarification for worried backbenchers?
2 - no deal means no preferential access to the EU market, or to other markets where we currently have access via an EU free trade deal - unless the Govt can roll over those deals before next March. AFAIK, no confirmation that any have been rolled over yet
Read 13 tweets
Profile picture
Few thoughts on the #ERG proposals for the Irish border, an issue @awstojanovic and I wrote about back in June: instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/i…

The paper stresses that the ERG support the principle of no hard border, which will be welcome to all sides

(1)
Also says that customs checks won't be a problem - which is true if the Govt can swing the Facilitated Customs Arrangement, which both the EU and the ERG have problems with...

(2)
The paper points to an EU report, Smart Borders 2.0, as providing solutions to the customs questions. However, that report a) doesn't solve the problem and b) isn't an EU report (it was commissioned by the Parliament, it doesn't represent an EU proposal)

(3)
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
1/ A few clips from this week's sitting of DExEU - am session - focusing on the impact Brexit will have on the UK's service sector. @hilarybennmp: 'What will be the consequences of a no-deal *outcome* for your members?' Adam Minns (Executive Director, CBA) shares some thoughts.
2/ Same question to @huwevans71 (Director General, Association of British Insurers). 'In many countries - in the EU - if you're not authorised to transact business there, it is illegal to pay a claim.'
3/ @stephencrabb4 asks how difficult it will be *for the UK govt* to get the EU to accept enchanced equivalence. 'I think we can all see that it's going to be an uphill task to persuade the EU27...' @City_McGuinness @huwevans71
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
Lots of noise around on #Brexit and customs today. The 'war' cabinet couldn't make decision. Here's what I know from sources in London, Dublin and Brussels. /1
The Olly Robbins presentation to cabinet heavily favoured the idea of a 'customs partnership' over a 'streamlined' or 'MaxFac' solution - still basically the two options outlined in the August customs paper here, and regurgitated at Mansion House /2

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Even though the CP has been dismissed as 'magical thinking' etc, the govt is not giving up on the idea.

Why? Because, if it worked, it's the only way to get an All-UK solution on customs, avoid a goods border in Irish Sea and preserve some independent trade policy /3
Read 15 tweets

Trending hashtags

#FinalSay #LFI #BrexitAnalysis #rulesoforigin #JewishVoiceForLabour #Marr #BrexitDeal #spiritcooker #politicslive #ERG #itvnews #LockThemAllUp #skypapers #Israel #CustomsUnion #bbcqt #marr #AIPAC #IHRA #BrexitImpactStudies #BBCfail #Brexit #UKLabour #BrexitImpactReports #LeaveLiars

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!