Thread by @timd_IFG

So the next (and still not final?!) set of #nodeal notices is out. @instituteforgov will of course be diving into the detail so you don't have to - but that's a job for next week

First, here's a thread of some interesting things we've spotted from a quick scan of today's papers:

1 - first up, a line on the #CustomsUnion in the note on exporting mercury - clarification for worried backbenchers?

2 - no deal means no preferential access to the EU market, or to other markets where we currently have access via an EU free trade deal - unless the Govt can roll over those deals before next March. AFAIK, no confirmation that any have been rolled over yet

3 - as well as EU trade deals, the UK also loses access to *all* international agreements that the EU is part of - so no access to international fishing agreements. while we're rejoining (after March next year), UK may have no access to waters governed by those agreements...

4 - Speaking of #fisheries, if there's #nodeal, EU boats won't be able to fish in UK waters - but the same will be true in reverse

5 - There's a risk that #NorthernIreland won't be able to source electricity from the Republic, which could affect security of supply in the north. Generators on barges, anyone?

ft.com/content/dcd8bb…

6 - it's going to get a lot more complicated to move horses from the UK to the EU. The #tripartiteagreement with Ireland and France will no longer be valid - lots more red tape

7 - just as with flights, there's no guarantee that cross-border rail will carry on if there's no deal... the UK needs to get agreement from France and Ireland to ensure services continue. And passengers need to check that they've got the right insurance...

8 - UK pedigree animals would no longer be automatically recognised in the EU (I'm sure this is a problem for someone...)

9 - some good news: overseas territories (OTs) receiving EU funds will fall under the Government's guarantee - so the Treasury will stand behind any funding that OTs successfully bid for until March next year

10 - some lawyers from EEA countries will need to think about reregistering to continue providing services in England, Wales and Northern Ireland (Scotland has a different legal system, so presumably it's up to the govt there to decide)

So what's left? Still nothing on citizens rights, despite the PM's unilateral guarantee; still no clarity on the UK's involvement in EU climate change and emissions trading schemes; and still nothing on turning motorways into carparks (although that's already begun)

This extra detail is welcome, but ultimately doesn't change my judgement from last month: the UK is still not ready to leave with #nodeal

instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/uk-still-…