Two things that I'm thinking about as very serious issues this weekend:

1. Do you remember how quickly the Soviet Bloc collapsed? We're all thinking about life post-#Brexit as sort of muddling through, business as usual, but I think that's unlikely. >>>
If there's no deal, if the borders clog up - both looking virtually certain just now - there will be a sudden, long lasting, critical shortage of fresh food. Britain isn't used to that. I believe there will be civil disorder. >>>
It means there will be less food in the shops. It means the prices will rise. It means the poor will go without. It means there will be hunger. It means that social inequity will become even more stark. >>>
At the same time, the major UK political parties are likely to fall apart, and, particularly, May's majority will disappear. But you can't run an election campaign while there is widespread civil disorder. >>>
Britain is run more or less by consent. People grumble, but they more or less consent to engage with the system as it is. But when that falls apart, the police and army don't have the manpower to impose order at a national scale, nor do I think they would attempt it. >>>
The British state could fall apart. Not in decades, not in years, not in months, but in weeks. Scotland has to be ready for that. I don't believe we are.

OK, you thought that was apocalyptic? Let's go on to issue 2 >>>
Allegedly, @UKLabour are thinking of adopting a manifesto committment to block a second #indyref (I have this so far from only @BBCWeekendGMS, I dont have a second source) >>>
Suppose, after #Brexit, with the economy in free fall, there's a general election which elects @UKLabour as the UK government, but @theSNP win a majority of Scottish seats. That seems credible, yes? >>>
Then @ScotGovFM goes to UK gov and says 'I have a mandate to call a second #indyref', and UK gov replies 'we have a mandate to block you, permanently'. Where do we go then? We're into the #Catalonia situation. >>>
Now, obviously, UK Gov could be challenged in the courts, because blocking democratic self determination runs directly contrary to their committment as signatories to the UN Charter. But do we really trust the UK courts to uphold that? >>>
Meanwhile, see above, folk are hungry and the economy is doing an impression of a puntured airbed. How do we prevent the emergence of extremism? How do we prevent disaffected people saying 'democray won't work, we have to turn to violence'?

I see trouble ahead.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Simon Brooke 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇪🇺
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!