1) Some excellent ideas being developed here by @RichardElwes and @sjwrenlewis
Will just add a few thoughts on the #Brexit trap for either party
There are no good #Brexits economically but neither are there politically, for either party
Will just add a few thoughts on the #Brexit trap for either party
There are no good #Brexits economically but neither are there politically, for either party
@RichardElwes @sjwrenlewis 2) (sorry, 2 "either"s there....)
As with Richard, this is not about my beliefs but public perception
Soft Brexit = Betrayal/Vassal state portrayal from Leavers, instant political cost
Hard Brexit = economic cost, which obviously leads to political cost in short order
As with Richard, this is not about my beliefs but public perception
Soft Brexit = Betrayal/Vassal state portrayal from Leavers, instant political cost
Hard Brexit = economic cost, which obviously leads to political cost in short order
@RichardElwes @sjwrenlewis 3) the public are fickle, and even if for example lucrative Free Trade Deals were out there the leaver vote is as likely to be more protectionist in nature.
Many leavers may see Free trade as "everyone else buying our stuff, with no downside on our industry in return"
Many leavers may see Free trade as "everyone else buying our stuff, with no downside on our industry in return"
@RichardElwes @sjwrenlewis 4) Corbyn is reaching out to this protectionist feeling in the latest "bring the jobs back" Labour video.
There will be hostility to wide ranging FTAs which could disrupt farming & manufacturing still further post Brexit
There will be hostility to wide ranging FTAs which could disrupt farming & manufacturing still further post Brexit
@RichardElwes @sjwrenlewis 5) so neither version of Brexit can likely succeed & the party that delivers it will be blamed, sooner or later.
Even if the Tories deliver it & Labour try to pick up the pieces there will be significant Remainers who will be angry at Labour's inaction before implementation
Even if the Tories deliver it & Labour try to pick up the pieces there will be significant Remainers who will be angry at Labour's inaction before implementation
@RichardElwes @sjwrenlewis 6) ultimately any Brexit will destroy any party that puts it in place. The only sensible path is to seek a clear mandate through a people's vote, this is not ideal but all other paths lead to destruction for either major party
