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Story is a good summary of the size and scope of the widening safety gap by race, nationally, with important reference to gun violence solve rates.
Many Chicagoans working on these issues are meeting tomorrow AM, so I do want to add a little local context/data +
Many Chicagoans working on these issues are meeting tomorrow AM, so I do want to add a little local context/data +
Many following local reporting on homicide clearance rates in recent years will not be surprised to locate Chicago at the bottom of this chart, though it is always shocking. + 
However, I was surprised to see clearances this high for assaults. I've looked at the methodology (years, offense types) and downloaded the dataset. This isn't necessarily how I'd count/categorize things, but OK, in order to standardize between cities, choices must be made. +
But -- for those who have heard different (lower) numbers from me and different (higher) numbers from CPD, here is another chart. It uses the same data source as the article, limited to the offense type that includes most nonfatal shooting injuries.
Looking at raw numbers is important when talking about homicides and gun batteries (shootings) because there are so many more of the latter.
Roughly:
about 5x as many people get shot live vs die
arrests are about 5xs as frequent for gun homicide than gun battery
Roughly:
about 5x as many people get shot live vs die
arrests are about 5xs as frequent for gun homicide than gun battery
Factoring fatal and nonfatal gun shootings together, the study indicating that only about 10% of Chicago youth believe they'll be caught if they shoot someone indicates that young people are interpreting the world around them fairly consistent with this data.
On the other end of the reliability spectrum, there are certain claims about CPD performance, like this @ap article citing a 38% homicide clearance rate in Chicago
Or this 47% homicide clearance claim by CPD to City Council, as reported by @heathercherone
The takeaway: by CPD's official data, 9 times out of 10 there will be no arrest when someone is shot in Chicago. And while the racial disparity data is bad nationally, this graph is a much better scenario than Chicago's reality.
Faced with this, many will argue, yet again, that CPD's inability to solve cases is evidence that it needs more resources.
To this, I will reiterate theappeal.org/responses-to-v…
To this, I will reiterate theappeal.org/responses-to-v…
