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<THREAD>There are two basic standards for judging a possible Hanoi agreement: denuclearization or risk reduction.
If you judge it by the former it *will* be a failure; by the latter it *may* be worthwhile. (1/n)
If you judge it by the former it *will* be a failure; by the latter it *may* be worthwhile. (1/n)
If you want to judge it as a denuclearization agreement, fair enough; that is, in fact, the goal that the administration has set itself. It only has itself to blame for creating unreasonable expectations. (2/n)
But I've been arguing for months that denuclearization is a chimera we shouldn't chase and that we should instead focus on risk reduction. So I'll be judging it as such. (3/n)
Of course, there are no guarantees it'll be a good risk reduction agreement. But here are three metrics for assessing whether it is. (4/4)
