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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The DUP objects to the backstop clause.
So even if she brought it back to the Commons a hundred times she would still not get it through.
You see what I mean? How stupid the Tories are behaving.
It's not John Bercow that's blocking the withdrawal agreement, so getting it past him is not even beginning to solve the problem.
The problem for the withdrawal agreement is that parliament will not vote for it.

I don't think Theresa May has got the intellectual capacity to understand that she's got no majority
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
If we go back to the indicative votes, we put them in two categories. One group was exit terms, and the other group was for future relations.

Any future relation still needs a withdrawal agreement, which has been rejected.
So things like "customs union" we can put aside because that would still need a withdrawal agreement.

What we need is just the options for how to deal with the withdrawal agreement itself.
Option 1. No deal Brexit. (Ignore the withdrawal agreement and leave anyway)

Option 2. Revoke Article 50

Option 3. Confirmatory referendum

And that's it, just those three. They're the only ones that deal with the withdrawal agreement itself.
Read 4 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
What we know is that may's withdrawal agreement will never work. She's tried everything with it, and it just won't get through.

Whatever happens now is not going to be that.
May's deal has failed in every form she's tried.

Parliament or country will never accept no deal. We all know this, and it's not going to happen.

So the only option is that we are going to abandon it. Revoke Article 50.
And looking through the indicative votes from earlier in the week, the most support was for a confirmatory referendum.
Read 3 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
What's not going to happen is May's deal. Twice with the political declaration, and once in the bare bones.
Her withdrawal agreement will never get through parliament.
Let's make a few decisions, then. we're not crashing anywhere. So we're going to ask for the long extension.
Which means we are now bound to have European elections.
Which means we're not going to leave.
It was a bit of an anticlimax, really, but I think we just saw Brexit die.

No withdrawal agreement, no leaving without one, staying for elections. All that's left is to admit publicly that Brexit has failed.
Read 3 tweets

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