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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Watching a #Brexit Party rally:

Widdecombe: "I said that Prime Minister Theresa May was the worst Prime Minister since Anthony Eden. Well, I apologise to Mr Eden".

#ep2019
Guest speaker is Václav Klaus
Farage says if Brexit Party wins #ep2019 it puts WTO exit back on the table for October
Reiterates if Brexit Party win the #ep2019 then candidates should have seats in the Brexit negotiation team
Says Brexit Party win could get rid of Prime Minister May but if Brexit Party finishes first across lots of Labour areas it could also finish Corbyn. "Buy one get one free"
Farage clearly prepping attack lines for Boris. "He voted for the deal. You cannot trust the political class". Says Britain should dump House of Lords and Electoral Commission. "Need wholesale political change".
Warns supporters against voting for Brexit because of protest. says it is first step on longer journey to changing the political system
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More from @GoodwinMJ see all

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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Salvini polled 6% in 2014 - just six per cent.
He is about to poll above 25%.

If you only look at recent snapshot polls and not the longer-term trends that are rumbling through Europe then you miss the real story.
What you tend to find is that folks who lean left choose a few of the recent polls, ignore the long-term trends and then present results as "disappointing".
I think this is inaccurate and A misleading way of discussing and understanding longer-term political change in Europe
Take Lega as an example. This once tiny separatist party took only 6% five years ago while at national elections it's never come close to the 25-29% tonight. So, it's far more significant than the snapshot takes have you believe.
Read 4 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
French asked: "How would you vote if Maastricht referendum happened today?"

How they voted in 1992
Yes 51%
No 49%

How all adults would vote today:
Yes 48%
No 52%

How only those eligible to vote in '92 would vote now
Yes 43%
No 57%

ifop May 20-21
#EP2019 #EU #Europeennes2019
Among workers the picture is far starker. Among those who were eligible to vote in 1992, today no less than 87% say that if Maastricht was re-run they would vote "Non".
Here is the link to data in case people would like to explore
ifop.com/wp-content/upl…
Read 3 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
1/ How might the Brexit Party hit the Conservative Party at a general election?

A short thread detailing figures in today's Telegraph bit.ly/2JHFILd

#EP2019 #EUelections2019
#brexit #brexitparty
2/ With Prime Minister May on her way out, the Brexit Party about to surge & the Conservative Party's future unclear we've run some numbers on how the Brexit Party could hit the Conservatives at a general election
3/ This combines constituency level data on 2017 general election with recent Westminster vote intention polls to estimate the flow of voters to the Brexit Party, giving us median and maximum estimates
Read 17 tweets

Related threads

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Sietske Bergsma
@SBergsma
'De huidige EU bevindt zich in een vergelijkbare situatie als het communisme in de laatste fase van haar bestaan: commentaar van het voormalige Tsjechische staatshoofd, Václav Klaus bij de Europese verkiezingen 2019' 👇 #Europawahl2019 jungefreiheit.de/debatte/kommen… via @junge_freiheit
Vertaling:
Read 10 tweets
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Will Chamberlain 🇺🇸
@willchamberlain
Thoughts on the wild @brexitparty_uk rally this evening in London from a foreigner

A thread

First things first: place was PACKED. Standing room only, probably 3-4 thousand people in the room, very high energy
Ann Widdecombe is one hell of a public speaker

She’s a 71-year-old dragon lady, hasn’t lost a step, spitting absolute FIRE

If Hillary has even 10% of Ann’s talent she would be President
Václav Klaus spoke too

Had to follow Ann (not easy)

Still have a beautiful speech on nationalism and the EU
Read 7 tweets
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Sebastian Payne
@SebastianEPayne
Outside the Brexit party’s final rally before the European Parliament elections, Remainers are chanting “Vote Leave broke the law”
Over 3,000 people have turned up to the Brexit party’s final rally in London
Yep there’s a lot of people here, booing the Electoral Commission
Read 14 tweets
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Sywert van Lienden
@Sywert
Tot zover de ‘Europese bekering’ van Mark Rutte. En CDA keert zich ook af van decennia Europese CDA-politiek a la Hans van den Broek, Ben Knapen, De Block etc.
Dit is echt een historische stap van de Tweede Kamer die niet onderschat kan worden. Nederland is het eerste land van de zes oprichtende landen waarvan het parlement afstand neemt van de kern van de Europese integratie ->
De term ‘ever closer union’ vindt haar oorsprong als leidend principe in alle grote Europese verdragen:
- Verdrag van Rome (1957)
- Plechtige verklaring van Stuttgart
- Single European Act
- Verdrag Maastricht
- Verdrag van Amsterdam
- Verdrag van Nice
- Verdrag van Lissabon
Read 15 tweets
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ivina SHAZAM⚡🃏
@merafeelings
TRADUÇÃO DA MATÉRIA DO PAGE SIX COM NOVAS ALEGAÇÕES DA AMBER HEARD SOBRE O PROCESSO JUDICIAL COM DEPP:

"Violento", Johnny tornou-se "o monstro" em drogas e bebida, em seguida, espancou, estrangulou e atormentou sua então esposa, alega Amber Heard em um novo processo judicial.
Amber Heard, que foi casada com Johnny por pouco mais de um ano, afirma em detalhes horríveis que Depp repetidamente a atingiu, arrancou seus cabelos e quase a sufocou em um processo judicial em resposta ao seu processo de difamação de US $ 50 milhões contra ela.
O processo de Depp está relacionado a um artigo de 2018 de Heard para o Washington Post, onde ela descreve ser vítima de abuso doméstico, mas não o menciona na peça. Sua ação alega que ela insinua que ele era o agressor e que as alegações de Heard são uma "fraude".
Read 31 tweets
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Tessa
@ClacesShadow
Shane is fangirling about meeting Rebekah and Kol, the Original vampires, and bragging about not being able to be compelled. Then Bex tells Kol to beat the location of the cure out of him. Lol. Imagine meeting your idols and they beat the shit out of you.
Back to this. "Truth or dare, Elena?"
"Dare." Damn that's brave.
"I dare you to tell Stefan the truth about Damon."
Sweetie, that's truth not dare, but I am here for this.
"Seriously?!" Caroline being there for Stefan again.
Bex is being really childish though
"Being with Damon makes me happy." HSHDFLK YES IT DOES.
"Makes you happy? Clowns make you happy Elena. Dig a little deeper."
Actually, clowns do quite the opposite of making me happy, but to each their own Rebekah. 🙈
Read 1801 tweets

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