, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
SandersBrothers can't seem to decide if they should tout how good their polling is or claim that polls are unreliable and should be ignored.
To be fair it's tricky because if you assume that primaries are 100% predictable based on polls, then Biden wins, but if you assume that primaries are totally unpredictable, then Bernie has like a 1/23 chance but it's the same as Bill de Blasio or whatever.
SandersBrothers should therefore embrace the sort of probabilistic thinking espoused by 538, which aptly assesses that he's among the stronger candidates but not the favorite, and that everyone but **maybe** Biden is inherently something of a longshot with 23 runners in the race.
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