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NEW POLL: With @MorningConsult, we re-contacted Dems who we'd already surveyed before the debate.
Headline:🚨WARREN up from 12% to 18% after the first debate.🚨
Most of that support comes from BIDEN and undecided.
Some big caveats in the next tweet.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-deb…
Headline:🚨WARREN up from 12% to 18% after the first debate.🚨
Most of that support comes from BIDEN and undecided.
Some big caveats in the next tweet.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-deb…
The 2 big caveats:
There is likely some selection bias in the voters who have already responded to the survey, i.e. toward liberals/Warren voters who thought she had a big night and may have been more eager to respond.
And obviously.... there's another debate tonight.
There is likely some selection bias in the voters who have already responded to the survey, i.e. toward liberals/Warren voters who thought she had a big night and may have been more eager to respond.
And obviously.... there's another debate tonight.
Although Warren got the best overall ratings and the biggest polling bump, CASTRO did quite strongly relative to his favorability ratings going into the debate while O'ROURKE did poorly by that metric. 
Big jumps in favorability ratings for WARREN and BOOKER and a *really* big jump for CASTRO. Also a decent jump in favorables for KLOBUCHAR, but her unfavorables were up a fair bit too.
