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Tom Holland
@holland_tom
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The foot (actually hand) print of a 50 ton sauropod. Just awesome. “Tracks are an unplayed record of movement. The most difficult vinyl in the world to play” - Professor Phil Manning
The claw imprint left by the hind-leg of a sauropod in what was once soft & oozing mud #JurassicWyoming
Because Phil Manning told me it was
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Tom Holland
@holland_tom
Even though I’m now 51, I still feel a glow of pride at how amazingly grown up I am when I drop off a hire car at an airport
The thing about driving in America that I found weird: the disequilibrium between the hulking musculature of the hire car & the strictness of the speed limits. It felt like riding a Triceratops in stilettos.
Even so, I was amazed how many guys sporting desperado stubble I’d see obediently crawling along a gun-barrel straight road in the middle of an empty prairie at 65 mph. It seemed slightly to lack the Wild West spirit...
Read 4 tweets
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Tom Holland
@holland_tom
For fans of #EliteSport, there’s a thrilling match going on at @BurghleyPark today
It’s a tragedy that this isn’t free to view on TV, of course
The drama that the British public is being denied...
Read 4 tweets
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Tom Holland
@holland_tom
Les Fuck-Offs
Truly, there is no need for inane comparisons to Nazis to contextualise this. Boorish (or robust, depending on your take) displays of contempt for high-falutin foreigners were always the very essence of John Bull.
At least the Brexit party didn’t bare their buttocks & break wind
Read 5 tweets

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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
#Actually, moderate Democrats seem to be more popular with general election voters after all. 53eig.ht/30HJdqf
Bernie's polling is decent, but that he does the 2nd-best against Trump (after Biden) is partly an artifact of name recognition. For instance, Buttigieg polls worse than Bernie vs. Trump. But Buttigieg actually has better favorables than Bernie among voters who know who he is.
It's certainly a messy relationship. Some liberals, including Bernie, have decent (though not great) polling. Some moderates don't. But favorability ratings, which allow voters to say they don't recognize a candidate, are a better way to assess this stuff than head-to-head polls.
Read 3 tweets
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SaraKateW
@SaraKateW
I’m watching S01E01 of Game of Thrones and there’d better be fisting.
This is some Dungeons and Dragons ass shit.
Jamie Lannister can get it.
Read 850 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
#Actually, early presidential primary polls are fairly predictive. 53eig.ht/2PtbSd7
You have to adjust for name recognition, though. Biden, at just south of 30 percent, is still something like a 2:1 underdog. And Bernie's position at 20 percent, as I wrote yesterday, is tenable but not great.
Per the chart above, Buttigieg's position is roughly as good as Bernie's on a "polls only" basis, or maybe a bit better. Empirically, you'd slightly prefer to be polling at ~10% with low name recognition than ~20% with high name recognition.
Read 3 tweets
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Ford Fischer
@FordFischer
Chelsea @xychelsea Manning has entered the United States Courthouse where a judge will decide whether to hold her in contempt for refusing to testify against Assange.

Reporter: "Is it possible that you aren't walking out those doors after this hearing?"

Chelsea: "Yes."
Ahead of the hearing, I asked Manning what she thinks of these hearings being conducted in secret (no press/public allowed in).

"I have a history of having to deal with secrecy and a lot of these sort of secret proceedings. They tend to favor the government," she tells me.
Here's @xychelsea's full Q&A with the abysmally small group of press that showed up. There was one NBC U crew, one anarchist with a camera, one guy I don't know, and me.
Read 37 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
#Actually, the chart actually shows clear evidence of the beer-wine frontier, with certain types of sprits (e.g. scotch, brandy/cognac) straddling the frontier. 🍺🍷
A few highbrow beers (although there's nothing *truly* highbrow on here) creep over into wineland, but that's sort of what you'd expect.
👏 WINE 👏 TRACK 👏 BEER 👏 TRACK 👏 HAS 👏 BEEN 👏 SCIENTIFICALLY 👏 VALIDATED 👏
Read 3 tweets
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Scott Lincicome
@scottlincicome
Out today! My new, chart-rich paper on trade, globalization & US public opinion:
cato.org/publications/f…
So now a thread on why I wrote this paper - the data for which were surprisingly difficult to gather (thanks, @pewresearch, @Gallup, @ChicagoCouncil, etc for the help!) - and what it reveals /2
The malleability of US public opinion on trade is something I first noticed years ago (and briefly discussed in this paper from 2011: cato.org/publications/f…). Trade polls have long fluctuated depending on politics, rhetoric & the economy. /3
Read 20 tweets

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