, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Some big disparities between Quinnipiac Poll and others post-debate. Not sure @JoeBiden slipped THAT much. But if so, here's why.

White Ds: Biden 21% vs. Harris 20% vs. Warren 20%
Black Ds: Biden 31% vs. Harris 27%

Harris also leads 24/22 w/ women.

Best Policies: Warren at 31%
The biggest takeaway from the Quinnipiac Poll is this...

Ignore media hype RE: candidates THEY like, i.e. @PeteButtigieg, @BetoORourke, etc., It is wishful-thinking nonsense.

Over-educated white liberal elites don't pick Democratic nominees. No black coalition, no nomination.
Take 2008.

Yes, Barack Obama captured the attention and saliva of those over-educated white liberal political elites BEFORE he snagged the black coalition from Hillary Clinton.

They gave him Iowa.

But he essentially snagged enough of Clinton's black support by South Carolina.
A coalition of black primary voters (largely in South and Midwest) returned to save her from Bernie Sanders in 2016, along of course with the DNC handicap.

Without appeal in that bloc, Warren, Mayor Pete, etc. will go nowhere.

It's just simple math.

Now, Joe Biden's biggest...
Now, Joe Biden's biggest red flag right now is that his drop isn't just stemming from undecided voters who didn't like his debate performance. These polls show previous preference actually changed. In other words, he lost voters to Harris, largely, as well as Warren and Sanders.
Pretty remarkable when you exclude everyone else from the @PPDNews graphic. Like I said, even excluding the Q Poll, it is clear Joe Biden lost support TO Kamala Harris, as opposed to just previously declared undecideds.
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