Thread by @VABVOX

As I first wrote several weeks ago would happen, the Democratic debates have restructured the polling, putting, as I predicted, @KamalaHarris and @ewarren within striking distance of @JoeBiden.

Biden 22%
Harris 17%
Warren 15%
Sanders 14%
Buttigieg 4%

cnn.com/2019/07/01/pol… …

Months of assertions that #Biden was "inevitable" have been eviscerated. Unable to stand up to #Harris at the debates, Biden appeared tired, confused and unprepared, despite having been kept away from major events for weeks by his handlers. Harris has been campaigning daily.

#Warren won the first debate handily, with only @JulianCastro and @CoryBooker offering any other strong moments in the two hour debate.
The new rankings put #Harris and Warren in the lead for most electable and many are already talking about Harris/Warren as the 2020 ticket.

#Harris and #Warren currently rank as the top 2 most progressive senators & bring a broad history of diverse accomplishments. #Harris's command of the stage at the second debate stood out as the most powerful of both nights and made it easy to see her as a challenger to Trump.

As the poll asserts, other candidates continue to lose ground.
Booker 3%
O’Rourke 3%
Klobuchar 2%
Everyone else 1% or less

cnn.com/2019/07/01/pol… … …

While the 1st vote is still 6mos out, there's no evidence that anyone who's continued to plummet in the polls can resurrect, particularly in a field with others struggling for ascendancy. The only candidates who've continued to rise are Harris & Warren.

Post-debate, @ewarren had a huge rally of thousands. And @KamalaHarris went back home for her own huge rally during #SFPride2019 where she also was treated like a rock star.

Electability has been the top issue for Democratic voters in the era of Trump. That has been #Biden's strong suit in the polls. But even there Biden has slipped markedly, with Warren and Harris now edging him on that.
huffpost.com/entry/elizabet… …

The drop for #Biden is the rise for #Harris.
The drop for #Sanders is the rise for #Warren.
As voters continue to get to know #Harris and #Warren and their clearly defined policies, those numbers will continue to rise.

Meanwhile, those who watched the debates got a look at the strengths of #Harris and #Warren (despite Warren being shut out of questions by terrible moderating for 34mins in the 1st debate) and liked what they saw.
huffpost.com/entry/elizabet… …

The candidates who gained the most traction were #Harris and #Warren, who had far less name recognition than Biden and Bernie, both with 100%.
The ones who lost the most were #Biden, #Bernie and #Beto, who in May was in 3rd place after Biden and Bernie.