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Fascinating that voters who ranked Warren as their 1st choice do not rank Sanders as their 2nd choice—Harris is. And among voters who ranked Sanders 1st, Biden comes in 2nd. We don't have the data 🤓 but my hunch is that this is definitely a class split 1/ fivethirtyeight.com/features/lanes…
You'd think given the candidates' ideological similarities, that Warren/Sanders supporters would rank these candidates as their 1st and 2nd choice. But I think we saw evidence in 2016 that Sanders drew from yes, BK hipster types (hi, Chapo) but also a lot of blue collar people 2/
Anecdotally, it makes sense to me that Warren/Harris people are grouping: they might see themselves as the better informed voter—ie, typically the voter who's college educated/white collar...exactly the kind of Dem who voted Clinton in the primary 3/
My general sense is that people vote with their political pheromones, not by policy specifics, & I do think there's probably something going on here with "Sanders/Biden are of the working class" 4/
And I'm sure there's some "Warren/Harris are the non-polemical progressives". They might be more appealing to high info/well educated voters given their # of concrete plans. And I'm also pretty sure there's some gender stuff going on here! 5/
This is why politics is so fascinating—everyone says they care about policy, but they you see numbers like this and... Anyhow. That's all I care to say on twitter right now about this! 6/6
