Thread by @Staedtler

I've been hesitant because of the oddity, but the logic is leading to one conclusion. That Boris Johnson is going to resign.

I don't think Johnson wants to resign, and I don't think he intends to.
But the logic of his behaviour - just like Theresa May's before - is pushing him relentlessly towards his resignation.

This is what it looks like to me.

Johnson forced May out of her job to grab it for himself. And that's fair. I don't see he did anything wrong there. May couldn't get anything through parliament, and so she resigned. That's the nature of the job.

But if that was the nature of the job for Theresa May, that is also the nature of the job for Boris Johnson.
He made her resign when she couldn't win a vote in parliament. he will have to do the same.

The policy Boris Johnson has chosen - God only knows whose advice he's paying for, but it wasn't mine - is to try and blackmail Europe into giving him a new treaty.

This, by the way, exactly what Theresa May thought she could do.

He's going to threaten the peace process in Ireland. He'll threaten security co-operation. All he can do is go through the same series of gestures as Theresa May.

And then resign.

It just seems ridiculous, doesn't it? That Johnson would spend so much time and energy getting the job, only to resign after a couple of months.
But ridiculous or not, that is the logical outcome of his behaviour.

Boris Johnson has now fixed his future and his credibility on being able to remove the Irish border protocol from the withdrawal agreement.
That is now his defining policy. And when it fails, he will have to resign.

And the only way he can avoid resignation is by holding a general election. He can't put a no deal Brexit in his manifesto because he knows we'll never vote for it.
So he'll have to put a referendum in it instead.

I don't know how much of this Boris Johnson or Shorty Cummings are aware of yet, but maybe someone will tell them.
We are getting a general election, and the Tories will - if their survival instinct kicks in - have a second referendum.