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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
It's because the deputy speakers don't vote, but because they retain their original party membership (unlike The Speaker) they don't show up separately in the party lists.
And when you want to work out how many voting MPs each side has got, you have to know how many deputy speakers came from which particular party.
And the clarity on these details is non-existent on the parliament website.
Anyway, all; sorted now, thankyou.

Tory + DUP: 320

Opposition: 319

Government working majority: 1.
And now we know we're getting a general election this autumn.
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
The date of the election depends on whether the government initiates the vote, or if it comes from a no confidence vote.
But according to the Parliament website, the earliest possible date for a general election is now October 24th.
And the Tories will have to ask for an extension to cover that. They wouldn't dare fight an election on an imminent no deal Brexit.
We talked about knowing things without official announcement, and what we know since yesterday is this:

This government can no longer survive. The election will force them to ask for an extension. And at least one party we know of will offer a second referendum.
Read 4 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Should we explain or is it too much?
Of 650 MPs, Sinn Fein have 7 who never take their seats.
So parliament has 643 sitting MPs

Of those 643, the Speaker sits as an independent, and he never votes except to break a tie, when he votes for the status quo.
It's already too much. I can tell.

Of 642 voting MPs, the Tories and DUP have 322, and the Opposition have 319.

But there are three deputy speakers who don't vote as well. One is Tory, and two are opposition. Which leaves 321 - 317.
So the Tories+DUP have an effective majority of 4. With one seat vacant.
If the Lib Dems win Brecon and Radnor today that will add one MP to the opposition, making the tally 321 - 318.

A Tory-DUP operating majority of 3.
Read 6 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
But the BBC doesn't matter very much. Especially with Brexit.

It's fact that will determine the course of Brexit, not bluff and bluster. The BBC can't bring itself to report fact any more, so they're redundant.
I keep reporting fact. Three facts.

1. Parliament won't vote for the withdrawal agreement.

2. Europe won't provide another

3. We can't leave Europe without one
The BBC is obsolete. In three years, with all their journalists and all their money, they couldn't figure out what I've been able to put in a single tweet.
Read 3 tweets

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