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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
NHC: Hurricane Dorian is now packing max sustained winds of 180 mph, could be the strongest hurricane on modern record.
Pressure dropped from this morning to 913 MB. Falling pressure indicates strengthening.
Gusts exceed 200 MPH.
There was too much confidence in the eastern track yesterday. On TV and in town.

Florida, look at this satellite imagery. The difference between "minor" and "catastrophic" impact is about 20-30 miles.

@RonDeSantisFL: "We can’t let our guard down."
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More from @Peoples_Pundit see all

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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
There is no valid justification for @FoxNews or any other network to cite a horribly inaccurate poll like Q.

Maybe they think it helps them considering they were the only less accurate poll in 2018. IDK.

What do Gov @AndrewGillum or Senator Bill Nelson think?

Oh right.
I am not trying to be mean here. But to lead a segment based on a @QuinnipiacPoll is intentional. You want to mislead people.
If @BretBaier wanted to be transparent and honest, he’d lead with a caveat. It would say, “Quinnipiac actually hasn’t called a race accurately in three cycles.”

A track record about as bad as Fox News.
Read 6 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Richmond was the first sign of trouble for Dan McCready tonight. The flip in Cumberland did him, told us he wouldn't have the juice in Mecklenburg, where that margin will shrink. All in all, Republicans flexed their Election Day muscle. And NC3, our second home, was a blowout.
That margin in Union spread to appx. 20 points, which was Bishop's target, and that early vote was bigger for him than we thought, per my first tweet.

Close race. Not close enough. I suspect that was Ds best shot post-2018. It's likely to get uglier moving forward for them there
Dan McCready was a great candidate for the Ninth District in NC. Like @Gingrich_of_PA said, he's been running there forever and it's a district VERY friendly to servicemen and women.

He outspent Bishop, an unknown, like crazy. Let's not get stupid w/ sore loser "analysis".
Read 4 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Mark Sanford "lost his way" hiking the Appalachian Trail. He was so lost he ended up in Buenos Aires, Argentina, with a woman with whom he was having an extramarital affair.

Thing about Donald Trump. He never pretended to be something he's not. That goes a long way w/ Americans.
That said, debt & deficits are only a problem for Republicans when Democrats are in power.

Americans hate that kind of hypocrisy.

But they hated it first under George W. Bush. The Bush Republican Party destroyed itself, spent $ like drunks.

Why do they think they can fix it?
Bill Kristol and his 1% aren't going to mount a challenge against Donald Trump.

They definitely won't do it backing self-proclaimed evangelicals who cheat on their wives, or dead-beat dads with ethics violations as long as Donald Trump's tax returns.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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John Morales
@JohnMoralesNBC6
Ever since I interviewed Kerry Emanuel at the onset of the 2018 #hurricane season, I've been showing some of the results of his team's downscaling approach that, combined with model simulations, can yield projected return periods for outlier cyclone events.

1/
At my public outreach and educational presentations, I've shown how a hurricane like Irma at 180 MPH approaching Barbuda, a 1-in-800 year event, could have its return period reduced to 1-in-80 years by the end of this century. Similarly ...

2/
A hurricane like María at 155 MPH approaching Puerto Rico, a 1-in-200 year event, could have a return period of 1-in-20 years by late this century.

I'm sure some of my followers that have seen my presentations in person recall me showing these slides.

3/
Read 10 tweets
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#UnRedactedCopy Lori
@LJT_is_me
Jim thinks leaving Camp David at 9:45 AM and returning at 3:05 PM is the same thing as going to Europe. Hurricane Dorian was upgraded to a CAT 5 sustained winds of 180 MPH and gusting up to 220 MPH.
Bahamas
Catastrophic Storm Surge of 18 to 23 feet from #Dorian will affect the Abaco Islands during the next several hours. SEEK ELEVATED SHELTER IMMEDIATELY! Take action now to protect your life! hurricanes.gov

Read 7 tweets
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MSNBC
@MSNBC
BREAKING UPDATE: NHC: Hurricane Dorian has become the strongest hurricane in modern records for the northwestern Bahamas, and "catastrophic conditions" are occurring in the Abacos Islands. on.msnbc.com/2zEt6gC
NHC: "On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to move over Great Abaco and move near or over Grand Bahama Island later tonight and Monday. The hurricane should move closer to the Florida east coast late Monday through Tuesday night."
UPDATE: Dorian makes landfall with estimated sustained surface winds of 185 mph in Elbow Cay, Abacos, NWS reports. nbcnews.com/news/us-news/h…
Read 4 tweets
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DocRock1007 🇺🇸
@DocRock1007
Dorian was upgraded to Category 5 status on 8 a.m. advisory Sunday. The storm is showing maximum sustained winds of 160 mph. Dorian made a very slight shift west overnight.
SC's governor has ordered a mandatory evacuation of his state's entire coast as #HurricaneDorian threatens.

Ga Mandatory evac Co's east of I-95 & I-16 will only go WB 8am Tues

Fla Mandatory: Brevard, Duval, Martin, Nassau, Palm Beach, St. Johns, St. Lucie, Volusia
"CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5" #HurricaneDorian
Wind Gusts over 220 mph
Max Sustained Winds 185 mph
Storm Surge 18-23 ft with higher destructive waves
915 MB pressure nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M…
Read 49 tweets
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Eric Holthaus
@EricHolthaus
NHC Update, 8am:

Hurricane #Dorian is a powerful Category 4 and has strengthened even more this morning. Sustained winds are now 145 mph, with catastrophic potential for deadly storm surge and heavy rain.

The good news is Dorian should not strengthen further.
Overnight forecast models have continued the trend of stalling the center of #Dorian offshore South Florida, but still close enough to cause destructive coastal flooding.

It's still unknown (unknowable?) if Dorian will make landfall in the United States.
This is not necessarily a reason to cheer. People in the northern Bahamas will get a direct hit.

Everyone from South Florida to the Carolinas should be closely monitoring Dorian and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Now is the time to ask your neighbors if they need help.
Read 3 tweets
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Hurricane Watcher
@GodlessNZ
(1) HW's running thread of information and updates about Hurricane #Florence and other less severe storms affecting the US this week. #Olivia #Isaac and potential #Joyce aka #95L in the #Gulf.

Thread #1 was:
(2) Official FEMA PSA on Hurricane Prep, please RT:

(3) The first clouds of #Florence arriving now. Please evacuate this afternoon, it's the last chance to do so safely. Eventually even first responders will stay put until she passes.

Read 51 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Flooding #Harvey #Hurricane #Dorian #MacronDemission #USVirginIslands #Helene #Infografia #Unconscionable #PuertoRico #ClimateChange #Maria #Florida #NASA #LaRocheSurYon #ChampsElysees #Lille #Kirk #Vaugirard #giletgialli #Infographic #PuertoRicoRelief #TopsailBeach #BestPresidentEver #Rouen
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