Profile picture
Hurricane Watcher @GodlessNZ
, 51 tweets, 41 min read Read on Twitter
(1) HW's running thread of information and updates about Hurricane #Florence and other less severe storms affecting the US this week. #Olivia #Isaac and potential #Joyce aka #95L in the #Gulf.

Thread #1 was:
(2) Official FEMA PSA on Hurricane Prep, please RT:

(3) The first clouds of #Florence arriving now. Please evacuate this afternoon, it's the last chance to do so safely. Eventually even first responders will stay put until she passes.

(4) Latest #Florence update (11am). She will affect an enormous area with heavy rain and flooding. "The Harvey of the East."
(5) The storm name #Joyce went to the one forming in the North. #95L in the #Gulf has a 70% chance of becoming a tropical storm within 48 hours. The next available Atlantic names are #Kirk #Leslie (female name) and #Michael.

(6) I like to use gendered pronouns for storms because it's more accurate, I like old fashioned things, and it triggers the SJWs.
(7) Summary:
>#Florence heading West, Max sustained winds 120mph, Severe threat to land
>#Joyce SW, 45mph, Too soon to tell
>#Helene N, 85mph, No threat to land
>#Isaac W, 60mph, Some threat to islands incl PR
>#95L (? #Kirk soon) NW, Too soon to tell

Also TS #Olivia HI
(8) The total area of expected #Florence heavy rainfall keeps increasing with each update. The purple area in the middle is forecast to receive >20 inches of rain over days 1-7, with even more in some locations.

Most hurricane deaths are caused by flooding. #TurnAroundDontDrown
(9) #Olivia just made landfall in Hawaii.

(10) Key Twitter accounts and websites during #Florence:

@NHC_Atlantic
@Readygov
@fema

hurricanes.gov
ready.gov
fema.gov
(11) Links to emergency mgmt agencies in some of the #Florence affected states:
>GA: gema.ga.gov
>SC: scemd.org
>NC: readync.org
>VA: vaemergency.gov
>MD: mema.maryland.gov
(12) I'm following two Twitter lists I made:

16 key national info sources for hurricanes & other emergencies:
twitter.com/GodlessNZ/list…

EM agency accounts in 11 Atlantic states from GA to NY and inland:
twitter.com/GodlessNZ/list…

#Florence #Olivia #Isaac
(13) Use the @gasbuddy app to locate stations with gas.

Call, text or visit @distressline, a free 24/7 emotional support line for any1 in the US experiencing distress re current (or past) emergencies of any kind.

Check out @humanityroad, a great network for info.

#Florence
(14) HW's top tips for #Florence:

>If in doubt evacuate now.
>If staying, keep out of the water until all clear given.
>If flooded out, get on roof, with a bedsheet. Attic can trap you.
>Use 911 only for emergency, if busy, stay on line rather than trying again.

More>>
(15) More #Florence tips:

>If staying & you need water rescue, call local non-emergency numbers (or 911) instead of asking publicly on social media, which duplicates & wastes resources.
>Write down your county Sheriff's numbers now.
>Plan for 7 days on your own, not 3 days.
(16) Some great detailed advice for before & after flooding.

While it's too late for new flood insurance plans to cover #Florence #Olivia #Isaac, please consider getting it wherever you live. Most plans kick in after 30 days.

80% of #Harvey flooded homes had no flood cover.
(17) During hurricanes #Harvey #Irma and #Maria there were a lot of #Tornado warnings. Here's what to do if #Florence or other storms come with #Tornadoes:
(18) In major disasters like #Florence, #CashIsKing. The best way to help those affected is by donating CASH to trusted organizations (listed at nvoad.org.)

Donating goods is a real pain for responders (unless they ask 4 specific items.) Beware the #SecondDisaster
(19) Please do not give money to individual gofundme campaigns related to hurricanes.

>The chance of scam is high
>Even if the need is genuine, donating to a trusted charity is fairer & more efficient IMO
>Channeling giving thru trusted charities helps plan for future need.
(20) MANDATORY evacuation orders have been made for the worst affected coastal areas.

If you're foolish enough to try to stay, DO NOT go out on the beach as the eye of the storm passes.

Water gets sucked out, then the danger resumes without warning.

#Florence
(21) During every storm I cover, people always say "we're used to them, we'll be fine." That's great.

Some in the affected areas will not be fine, though. Those new to the area, the less well educated etc.

My approach to a mega storm like #Florence is: #BetterSafeThanSorry.
(22) Please support first & second responders in whatever way you can.

LEOs, ambulance/medical, firefighters/rescue/USAR crews, @USCG @NationalGuard @DeptofDefense @USACEHQ @DHSgov @fema & county & state govt workers & leaders & more.

THANK YOU

#Florence #Olivia #Isaac
(23) #Florence is #Catastrophic. I have no hesitation in saying anyone still in the mandatory evacuation areas should be afraid. Then get out.

(24) This time please, may no first responders lose their lives trying to help others during or after #Florence. RIP Officer Perez, who drowned in #Harvey floodwaters in Houston just over one yr ago.

"Put on your own oxygen mask first."

#EvacuateNow

chron.com/news/houston-t…
(25) A great example of how volunteers can help no matter where we are. Complete list & status of hurricane #Florence shelters in North Carolina. Retweeted by @HumanityRoad:

(26) It's too late for the slower wind speeds in now Cat 2 #Florence to reduce the harm she will bring, because all that water that's been scooped up has to come down sometime. Read the 5am key messages: They're not good. #TurnAroundDontDrown #Flooding
(27) South Carolina's emergency managment agency is encouraging people to call if they have questions about shelters, evacuation and so on.

Other states' websites appear in a tweet upthread. Write down key numbers now in case you need them later. #Florence
(28) Wind and Pressure Components of Hurricane Storm Surge via @VDEM (Virginia dept of emergency mgmt.)

More than 50% of hurricane deaths are caused by storm surge. #TurnAroundDontDrown #EvacuateNow #Florence
(29) "Do not focus on the wind speed category of #Hurricane #Florence! Life-threatening storm surge flooding, catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding are still expected. More: hurricanes.gov " - @NHC_Atlantic
(30) "The track that #Florence takes after landfall is still questionable. Anyone in the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic should continue to monitor this dangerous, life-threatening storm into the weekend." @NWSMARFC (NWS Mid Atlantic River Forecast Center).
(31) Beware the "Second Disaster" of donated goods...

(32) Darn, It's past midnight in my hurricane watching lair in NZ. See you in a few hours and please, stay safe! My #Florence Watch continues then.

Landfall expected Friday 2am, with increasingly severe weather before hand.
(33) Hurricane #Florence grew in size considerably in less than 24 hours. Rain, rain, and more rain.

(34) The FEMA-endorsed National Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster "has launched donation & volunteer forms on our website. Please visit nvoad.org/howtohelp/curr… for more info on how u can help those affected by #Florence & other storm systems around the country." #NVOAD
(35) Watch this live briefing on #Florence by the Governor of NC at 5pm:

(36) NC has a live interactive map of river gages so you can see where and how bad the flooding is. An excellent service.

fiman.nc.gov/fiman/Map.aspx#
(37) Pretty much the only storm system risking US land now is #Florence. #Olivia passed thru Hawaii as a TS, did some damage. #Isaac passed well to the South of Puerto Rico. #Joyce and #Helene are meandering towards Europe. #95L in Gulf prob stay as is.

(38) "The updated rainfall forecast from @NWSWPC now expands the area that can expect 20+ inches, which includes southeastern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina. The risk for flooding spans as far west as the Appalachian Mountains. #Florence" - @hurrtrackerapp
(39) Not wanting to alarm anyone, but there's always something brewing in the Atlantic at this time of year.

A new tropical low is forecast next week near Bermuda, travelling Westward. I check the nhc.noaa.gov page daily bc I hate being the last to know.
(40) US Dept of Energy: ▶Over 40,000 workers from 17 states have been mobilized to support power restoration efforts after #Florence.

(41) US Dept of Health and Human Services provides for self-contained mobile medical units after major hurricanes like #Florence:

(42) There's ALWAYS someone who dies of CO (Carbon Monoxide) poisoning from using a generator indoors after a major hurricane.

Please note these safety tips. #Florence

(43) Now she's STRENGTHENED again. Hurricane #Florence is very changeable. If you're in or near an area of risk, please follow her throughout each day so you know what's happening.

(44) 40 minutes ago the number in NC without power was 66,000. It could be ten times higher by tomorrow. Then there's SC, GA, TN, WV and VA as well.
(45) It's just gone midnight Eastern. The 11pm update showed #Florence 60 miles East of Wilmington, NC, moving at 6 mph. Not good! Will make the already severe predicted flooding even worse.

My thoughts are with everyone affected by this storm.
(46) Hurricane #Florence making landfall in NC about now.

(47) She's a most unusually shaped hurricane, #Florence. Constantly changing.

Not especially strong wind speeds but A LOT of rain, over a long period of time.
(48) "#Florence is making landfall between #TopsailBeach and #WrightsvilleBeach. Wind speeds are at 90 mph, storm is slowly moving WNW 6 mph. Catastrophic freshwater flooding expected with another 20 to 25 inches of rain in SE NC." - @SCETV
(49) Another satellite image of #Florence, 4.39am Friday. The dot is Myrtle Beach, SC.

>300,000 customers without power in North Carolina.

Hang in there folks.
(50) During #Florence you can listen to the Weather Channel for free on Sirius XM. siriusxm.com
(51) I'm used to a hurricane making landfall within about 30 minutes of people starting to talk about it. #Florence is very slow. By the sounds of it, Eastern NC is getting absolutely pummeled.

Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Hurricane Watcher
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Related hashtags

#Florence #Olivia #Isaac #Joyce #95L #Gulf #Kirk #Leslie #Michael #Helene #TurnAroundDontDrown #Harvey #Irma #Maria #Tornado #Tornadoes #CashIsKing #SecondDisaster #BetterSafeThanSorry #Catastrophic #EvacuateNow #Flooding #Hurricane #NVOAD #TopsailBeach #WrightsvilleBeach

More from @GodlessNZ see all

Profile picture
(1) Officer Ronil Singh was a Fijian-Indian who migrated legally to the US & become a police officer. There has been a brain drain of Fijian-Indians over the past 30 years bc of racism & repeated coups. Many came to NZ... they are welcomed here, usually pillars of the community.
(2) The most recent coup in Fiji was in 2006. Naval Commodore Frank Bainimarama overthrow the lawfully elected govt at the barrel of a gun. Despite murder and repression, the international community "forgot" all about it & even gave him a UN role. Of course.
(3) In fact, Fiji's violent dictator, Frank Bainimarama, was head of the UN's climate change conference for 2017. How nice.
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
(1) Secretary Mattis' resignation letter of December 20, 2018.

Source: an ABC reporter at the Pentagon. Hopefully this is the real letter.

Assuming it is, here are my thoughts on it:
(2) I love, love, love General James Mattis and always have, from the moment I first learned who he is. That will never change.

I have two possible explanations for why he chose to mention "respect for allies" & being harder on adversaries in this letter.
(3) Two MAIN possible explanations. Sure, there will be others.

It could be 4D chess kabuki theater, he's certainly capable of it.

Or, it could be his genuine feelings and desire to distance himself from some of Trump's actions. Sad.
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
(1) "I got tired of hearing from people who can’t see what I see. It’s just a phase. I’ll be more charitable at some point. Right now I prefer the company of old postcards."

quodverum.com/2018/12/354/th…
(2) WWI flamethrower expert Thomas Wictor bowed out of social media and is now writing at thomaswictor.com and quodverum.com. I'm writing at QV, too, but at a ratio of about 1:10 TW articles.

His above quote resonated with me so I want to "unpack it" a little.
(3) Firstly, I am keenly looking forward to the day when we can all converse at QV, bc the feedback loop is vital to my process of learning, reflecting, and writing about politics. Your replies to my threads make a huge difference to the final product.
Read 11 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
FAKE NEWS

This is so brilliant I just had to show it to you.

People making audition tapes for fake news.
I hope this becomes a trend. I would love to see more videos like this for the next two months. Please around your family and friends together and make one of these. The more ridiculous to the better!
FakeWeather
Read 31 tweets
Profile picture
NHC Update, 11am:

Hurricane #Florence continues on track for a history-making landfall in North Carolina -- with potential simultaneous new all-time East Coast records for wind, rainfall, and storm surge.

A word on each of those three main threats:

/1
grist.org/article/north-…
The main threat to life from Hurricane #Florence is storm surge—the reason for the mandatory coastal evacuations.

Historically, storm surge accounts for half of all hurricane deaths.

#Florence could bring 10-20 feet of storm surge, among the highest ever on the East Coast.

/2
The current East Coast storm surge record is 18ft, set by Hazel (1954) and Hugo (1989) -- both hit the Carolinas.

The @UNC is also helping maintain a real-time prediction of #Florence's storm surge here: adcirc.org Follow @NHC_Surge, too.

wunderground.com/cat6/Expect-St…
/3
Read 10 tweets
Profile picture
Well, poop. Amtrak is already preemptively cancelling trains along the east coast for later this week & the weekend. Hurricane #Florence.
That's not really a complaint. The last time a hurricane came ashore & stalled over Virginia, 153 people died in flooding & mudslides in Nelson County, just south of Charlottesville. 👉🏾 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nelson_Co…
And the forecast is no joke. 👇🏾
This rainfall-potential map from the @NWS is enough to scare anyone who remembers the 153 deaths in Nelson County from Hurricane Camille. Nelson is in the bullseye this time, too. So is Charlottesville. cc @cvillenewscom
Read 5 tweets
Profile picture
OK you guys, my intention is not to scare anyone with this message.

But Hurricane #Florence—the storm bound for North Carolina—is going to be about the size of North Carolina when it arrives.

This is what it will look like, according to the latest high-res model prediction:
And it will likely arrive as a Category 4 -- and potentially become the strongest East Coast hurricane landfall in recorded history, with sustained winds of >140mph.

Here's what that will do:
"Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months."
nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php
*After* that, the latest weather models predict #Florence will stall out for four days -- similar to what happened to Hurricane Harvey last year in Texas.

Much of North Carolina & Virginia could be dealing with their worst flood in history.

Again, this is the current forecast.
Read 6 tweets
Profile picture
Hurricane #Florence Update, 4pm:

Mid-day models continue to be unanimous: Florence is on track to landfall in the Carolinas on Thursday, likely as a Cat 4.

Longer-range models are still hinting at Florence stalling for 3+ days—creating a potentially catastrophic flood in NC/VA.
Where exactly #Florence makes landfall (and how far inland it goes after landfall) will determine the area most at risk of heavy rain and extreme inland flooding.

We're talking a multi-state region—potentially as far north as West Virginia, DC, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania.
Hurricanes rotate counter-clockwise, so the northern edge of the storm is always rainier -- with air supplied straight from the ocean.

That's why Virginia is at a much greater risk of flooding right now than South Carolina.

Keep watch this storm—even if you're not in the cone.
Read 6 tweets
Profile picture
NHC Update, 11am:

#Florence is once again a hurricane -- and expected to rapidly strengthen today and tomorrow.

The forecast is as it has been: A Cat 4 landfall near Wilmington NC.

It would be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls north of Florida in history. Catastrophic.
This latest statement from @NHC_Atlantic is pretty technical, but I think it's important to read to get a sense of just how rare and how serious Hurricane #Florence is.
Not only are we dealing with a landfalling Category 4 hurricane -- the same strength as Hugo in 1989 --but maybe also a multi-day heavy rainfall event which could produce catastrophic inland flooding.

All signs are that #Florence could be one of the worst storms in U.S. history.
Read 3 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Bahamas #mentalhealth #Florida #chômage #Florence #TGVAtlantique #1erDecembre #TrumpIsUnfit #TyphoonMangkhut #ProjectLoon #Jose #TogetherWeWin #PanicInDC #911NeverForgive #WeWillNeverForget #MagicWand #PuertoRicansAreAmericans #multiplicateur #fakenews #ChefsForPuertoRico #PuertoRicoIsAmerica #Sales #JesusIsComingSoon #CDS #Moscovici

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!