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, 5 tweets, 2 min read
This is incorrect, and would be giving the Queen wrong advice (not of course for the first time) which she could and should ignore.
I explained the rules here. prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/how-c…
Essentially, if within 14 days after a vote of no confidence in Johnson it becomes clear that X is better placed than Johnson to command confidence, then the Queen must send for X. And if Johnson refuses to resign the Queen can and should sack him.
On this point, I think I am in essential agreement with @RobertCraig3 (a very knowledgeable and thoughtful constitutional lawyer but one with whom I disagree on various issues - so a useful cross-check). blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2019/08…
And as @sundersays points out, since my piece the Supreme Court has said something rather important.
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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
A thread on what (under the Benn Act (BA) and Fixed Term Parliament Act (FTPA)) happens and should happen next if there is an agreement between the EU27 and the UK government as to the terms of withdrawal at the 17-18 October EU Council.
I’ll assume the key vote(s) take(s) place on 19 October.
On 19 October, the HoC would then have to vote on a motion approving the agreement under s.1(1)(a) BA approving the agreement.
Read 33 tweets
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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
I’ve read two pieces today on why the Brexit debate became polarised.
@freddiesayers blames Blair, for plotting from the start against Brexit. unherd.com/2019/10/how-to…
@AdrianYalland blames hard Brexiters, for pushing an extreme form of Brexit. independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-…
Read 6 tweets
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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
Nick is right that Hammond’s plan looks similar to the EEA/Common Market 2.0 proposal.
An issue Hammond doesn’t address is how the agreement he suggests would be governed (arrangements for U.K. say; dispute resolution). The obvious ready made model - or answer - here is the EEA. Indeed taking that model is, I think, the only way of achieving the Jan 2020 target.
There is no doubt that the EEA governance model could be improved. If we wanted to improve it before signing up to such an arrangement, that would take time (Jan 20 would look unrealistic). Otherwise we’d have to rely on reforming it from within.
Read 4 tweets

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Jo Maugham QC
@JolyonMaugham
The parameters of what the EU would agree are pretty well known - and have been since 2016 - so I don't think there's much in this point.

But a referendum pre-GE would be tough for the Tories. They've failed for three years to do a deal - so what option would they campaign for?
Similarly, a General Election pre referendum would be incredibly tough for Labour. How can they take on Johnson if they won't take on Brexit?
I make the argument for a referendum and then a General Election here prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/mps-d…
Read 3 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) the fate of the country on #Brexit relies on one man doing the right thing

What this informed article tells us is that the sure fire way of stopping no deal is a specific vote of no confidence followed by an alternative government within 14 days

prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/how-c…
2) not to be overdramatic but all other routes are risky and could be blocked. But constitutionally the primary defence against a rogue government remains in place, vote no confidence, bring Johnson down, form a new government around an alternative PM and pass legislation
3) So there is only one actual blocker - Corbyn. Either insufficient MPs believe he can command the confidence of the house or insufficient (Tory mostly but not exclusively) would support him.

But if he is forced out, insufficient left Labour MPs would support anyone else
Read 9 tweets
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Adam Wagner
@AdamWagner1
Raab, Patel and Cummings are the new holy trinity of undermining human rights laws, now at the centre of government with a PM who will go whichever way the wind blows. Be afraid.
Here’s a thread on Raab
On Cummings
Read 5 tweets
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Robert Saunders
@redhistorian
Corbyn has always favoured leaving the EU. The question for Labour members, as I wrote in @prospect_uk last month, is why they cared so little: prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/brexi…
From prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/brexi…
Read 5 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Lots of fuss about tweets today from @MartinSelmayr @Mina_Andreeva but MUCH more important is tweets from @WeyandSabine killing tech fixes.

That's a big mistake. Here's why 1/Thread
@MartinSelmayr @Mina_Andreeva @WeyandSabine To recap, over the week @WeyandSabine intervened to say that "technology fixes" won't work any time soon. /2

@MartinSelmayr @Mina_Andreeva @WeyandSabine And then, she retweets a report of @simoncoveney saying that tech fixes won't work - "they haven't stood up to scrutiny" which is just-about-polite speak for unicorns. /3

Read 13 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Even at its reduced growth rate, China's GDP is growing so fast that it will add the equivalent of the UK's entire GDP in just over 3 years. That's why we need the EU. We are minnows swimming with sharks when it comes to post-Brexit trade negotiations!
Even after Brexit, the EU will be at the top table of trade negotiations. We'll be sat at the little child's picnic table in a draft near the door.
Worth also noting that the legal wording of the recent trade deals signed by the EU effectively prohibits better trade deals being offered to any other country. So we literally can't better the trade terms the EU's getting, no matter how long or hard we try!
Read 4 tweets

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