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One thing I love about having writing on the Internet is that I can look back and see how I did on predictions.

10 years after this one: I think I'd still endorse virtually everything I said here. (Though Facebook closed gap with Google much more than was apparent.)
Facebook is one of my all-time misses, btw; I have a number of comments from 2004 to 2009 where I comprehensively misunderstood their plans. (Overindexed on them starting with college students, thought ads to college students couldn't possibly be worth enough money to justify it)
"What about Bitcoin?"

I acknowledge that when Bitcoin was $17 I said it had no use case, should be worthless, and likely would be at some point in the future.

No evidence has come up which would make me change my view. (Though *my* is it taking a while.)
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