, 9 tweets, 4 min read
NEW: Boris Johnson's campaign fears an historic NHS winter crisis will dominate the December election

— Tory MPs warned it could be worst for decades
— concerns over Dispatches US trade deal story
— Hancock to meet Simon Stevens weekly during campaign

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Who is running the Tory election campaign?

“Isaac has full grip over the campaign. Dom is in No10 with the Vote Leave team. CCHQ staff are answering to CCHQ not Vote Leave,” a CCHQ insider said

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Two-pronged message you will hear on repeat over the next 43 days:

“Get Brexit done” so the govt can then focus on the things that really matter to voters, be that schools, policing, the NHS, housing, or other issues neglected by Westminster for years

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
The case made to Johnson for a pre- rather than post-Brexit election:

Churchill’s defeat in 1945 election after the Second World War, in which he was not rewarded by voters for delivering victory, and a radical Labour government was elected instead

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Some Tory MPs fear a pre-Brexit election weakens the argument that Parliament blocked Brexit

Johnson passed his Queen's Speech and had majority for WAB but pulled it

Some think voters will see election as a political calculation rather than last resort

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
CCHQ veterans are sceptical whether, despite the vast spending commitments of last few months, the Tories’ new domestic agenda has cut through to the public

“Never has so much been spent on so many policies, noticed by so few”

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Why Johnson decided he will win: Internal Tory polling concluded the public is sick of Brexit dominating the news and, above all else, want it resolved as soon as possible

Tory MPs say the problem is if Corbyn can steer the narrative away from Brexit

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Senior Tories put their chances of forming a govt on Dec 13 at between 50-50 and two-thirds...

— starting well short of a majority
— losing Scottish seats, plus Remain seats to LibDems
— have to gain Labour seats they've never won
— unknown Farage factor

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Logistical concerns

— postal voting likely to be higher, potentially favouring Labour
— Tories will find it harder to mobilise activists, in part because Labour’s activist base is younger and more likely to campaign in the dark and during bad weather

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
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