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The most *amazing* GE constituency online resource is now live, made by @ChristabelCoops !! Here is the link
public.tableau.com/profile/christ…

Below are some highlights of what it contains... I think people like @robfordmancs @anandMenon1 @IanDunt @p_surridge @jburnmurdoch will love it!
Detailed constituency level data on past elections and 2016 referendum, demographics etc 2/5
*very* cool visualisation of marginals 3/5
A look at the Lib Dems and Brexit Parties target seats... 4/5
and a bespoke swingometer to let you see how your guesses at swings between parties might translate into seats... Go check it out!! Read the START page and then check out the tabs :-) 5/5
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More from @chrischirp see all

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Christina Pagel
@chrischirp
Parliament is about to be prorogued & PM is threatening to double down against parliament to
ensure UK exit on 31st Oct – so why not read this thread on 3000 voter survey @ChristabelCoops & I did about PM vs Parliament? (Just published by @IanDunt politics.co.uk/comment-analys… ) 1/8
We asked whether it was OK for PM to suspend parliament or take other measures to ensure a No Deal EU exit against parliament’s wishes – country evenly split, but basically remain / leave driven BUT 2/8
Is it only about what outcome you want? We also asked people about the opposite scenario: a Remain PM ignoring parliament to secure revoke against parliament’s wishes… this time, *both* Remainers and Leavers were against, SO 3/8
Read 8 tweets
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Christina Pagel
@chrischirp
THREAD: New survey results out today in @NewStatesman from me & @christabelcoops (bit.ly/2QT6Oj7)

Take aways:
Leavers do NOT want to leave with any Brexit more than Remainers want to Remain & a quarter of Leavers rank Remain above at least one Brexit option 1/5
The shifts away from Labour and the Tories in the EU elections are going to a problem in a new GE – confirming other recent polls. 88% of people who voted in EU elections say Brexit will be important in their GE vote & 66% of those who didn’t vote say that too. 2/5
The Tories in their leadership election are already moving towards trying to grab back their Brexit Party defectors. Will Labour move? After #PeterboroughByElection , less likely… a dangerous lesson to learn in my opinion 3/5
Read 7 tweets
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Christina Pagel
@chrischirp
Thread: We've done a UCL-YouGov, 5000+ UK voters – asked people to rank outcomes for Brexit. @HuffPostUK article here bit.ly/2UGHgtK

Main pts: OVERALL, No Deal is LEAST preferred outcome (despite what ERG say), but it is the MOST preferred outcome for LEAVE voters. 1/6
People who didn’t vote leave are REALLY WORRIED about the impact of No Deal on the economy. But Leave voters are not only not that worried about No Deal – they are MORE worried about leaving with the Withdrawal Agreement. 2/6
But, among Leave Voters, support for No Deal is driven by those most likely to weather any economic downturn. Financially struggling Leave voters are MUCH MORE worried… it's not the "left behind" who really want No Deal... 3/6
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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Adam Klasfeld
@KlasfeldReports
In 2014, the top five Turkish government-tied lobbyists and subcontractors made $1.7 million.

That figure quadrupled to more than $7.3 million in 2018.

Lobbyists' links to Trump allies look like this.

My latest, in a @CourthouseNews investigation. courthousenews.com/boom-times-for…
@CourthouseNews Here are some interactive charts to help visualize the lobbying trends over those years, with data from Foreign Agents Registration Act filings from those five firms between 2014 and 2018.

Statistics include money paid to subcontractors.

public.tableau.com/profile/adam.k…
@CourthouseNews Just for clarity here:

For the purposes of this analysis, the five firms that I analyzed here are:

* Gephardt Group
* Greenberg Traurig
* Ballard Partners
* Mercury Public Affairs
* Amsterdam & Partners

Plus, their subcontractors. These were major players 2014-2018.
Read 4 tweets
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Tanner Philp
@tannerphilp
1/ Palley: “any complaint that is decently written by a decent lawyer is going to make the reader think: oh no, that’s bad”

With 2 years and 50k+ documents of source material, anyone could paint a disparaging picture by piecing together sentence segments and truncating context.
2/ While the SEC’s complaint paints a picture of a “failing” business, in reality, Kik, like every other messenger (FBM, WA, Telegram, Snapchat) was indeed not profitable yet continued to find a way to innovate when most others have died or been acquired and repurposed.
3/ Today Kik remains one of the most engaging apps, with more time spent per user than Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat. statista.com/statistics/579…
Read 17 tweets
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RVADirt
@RVAdirt
Literally the one time I assume it’s South Side Community Center on Old Warwick.... the meeting is at the community center Southside Plaza. 😂🤷🏻‍♀️

Anyway, at the right place. Rezoning information session thread starts here. 🧜🏻‍♀️
We are about to get started at the public information session. Dr. Shadae Harris, Chief Engagement Officer, is kicking things off.

“We are doing this with you, not to you.”

Additionally says the Office of Community Engagement is open to feedback on engaging the community.
First dude 🗣: Matt Cropper of Cropper GIS Consulting who did the rezoning study.

They have worked with RPS since 2011. He noted that he has walked through the school facilities twice: in 2011 and again this year. Says he almost knows Richmond better than his own community. 🧜🏻‍♀️
Read 41 tweets
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Adam Klasfeld
@KlasfeldReports
ANALYSIS: @NYCMayor de Blasio believes that he should hold Trump to account, but his Green New Deal dramatically undercounted Trump's possible liabilities.

Per city data, de Blasio left out Trump's dirtiest building by far.

Chart here, and thread ahead: public.tableau.com/profile/adam.k…
Here are the buildings that de Blasio included in his calculations of Trump's possible liabilities under his Green New Deal.

One of the buildings NOT on this list: 1290 Avenue of the Americas, described by Forbes as a "Secret Windfall" and "Crown Jewel." forbes.com/sites/danalexa…
Per Forbes, Trump's 30 percent stake in it makes him its largest beneficiary.

To put it in perspective, 1290 Avenue of the Americas produced more than three times in metric tons of carbon as his flagship Trump Tower in 2016.
Read 8 tweets
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Don Burke
@doyendon
My first big @tesla road trip of 2019 is about to begin.

Destination: A ribbon cutting at the Fort Stockton supercharger.
teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/3358…

Grabbing 6th place on the Most Superchargers visited competition is possible by the end of the trip.
public.tableau.com/profile/don.bu…
And we are off. First stop, the just-opened supercharger in Staunton Virginia.
Decided to stop for breakfast at the Strasburg supercharger @DennysDiner, the most picturesque supercharger on the east coast and one of the best in the Continental USA.
Read 45 tweets
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Larry Lowe
@thelarrylowe
One of my 2018 New Year's resolution was to learn Tableau. Waited until Dec., but I did it!

I decided to map DeKalb County, GA's performance for the 2018 governor's race.

Note that precincts moved and there have been county level inaccuracies. Receipt: ajc.com/news/state--re…
Turnout in DeKalb surpassed the 2014 turnout of 53%, reaching 63% in 2018. 2016 turnout was 76%. The precincts with the highest turnout fall in the Decatur/Avondale and Northlake area. Convington Hwy had the lowest turnout at 26%. #gapol #electiontwitter

public.tableau.com/profile/larry.…
No precinct in DeKalb reached 2016 turnout. If so, Stacey Abrams would be governor. Precincts in red are those with the lowest performance compared to 2016. Note that precinct boundaries changed. Stonecrest didn't exist in 2016. #gapol #electiontwitter

public.tableau.com/profile/larry.…
Read 7 tweets

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