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Thread: We've done a UCL-YouGov, 5000+ UK voters – asked people to rank outcomes for Brexit. @HuffPostUK article here bit.ly/2UGHgtK
Main pts: OVERALL, No Deal is LEAST preferred outcome (despite what ERG say), but it is the MOST preferred outcome for LEAVE voters. 1/6
Main pts: OVERALL, No Deal is LEAST preferred outcome (despite what ERG say), but it is the MOST preferred outcome for LEAVE voters. 1/6
People who didn’t vote leave are REALLY WORRIED about the impact of No Deal on the economy. But Leave voters are not only not that worried about No Deal – they are MORE worried about leaving with the Withdrawal Agreement. 2/6
But, among Leave Voters, support for No Deal is driven by those most likely to weather any economic downturn. Financially struggling Leave voters are MUCH MORE worried… it's not the "left behind" who really want No Deal... 3/6
Why might Leave voters want No Deal? In our question on priorities, Leave voters cared most about UK control over laws & independent trade – these were both more important than the economy. But May failed to sell the WA on these priorities. And then there's the backstop... 4/6
Govt & business warnings about No Deal are contradicted by leading Brexiteers; May’s “No deal is better than a bad deal” mantra can't have helped & govt has failed to be honest about the trade-offs inherent in ANY Brexit. All have helped make No Deal a legitimate outcome 5/6
Ruling out No De al IS what the country wants as a whole, but the deep divisions between Leave and Remain voters will likely continue to create major problems for political parties and make any Brexit outcome divisive 6/6 PS done with awesome @ChristabelCoops & @UCL_EI
PS - here is a handy gif made by @ChristabelCoops on the overall numbers for top ranked Brexit options.
