Possible outcomes and why McConnell wants to deep-six a trial.
💠Enough GOP Senators vote against Trump and remove him from office.
If this happens, it will be the first time in American history that a president is removed by this means.
The GOP will resist because if they remove Trump—no matter how guilty he is—they know what will happen to their party.
The only way Trump’s removal holds the GOP together is if Trump leaves voluntarily and throws his support behind Pence.
Do you think Trump would do that?
Me, neither. He's not the type.
💠A handful of Senators vote against Trump, but not enough to remove him from office
This too will enrage Trump’s supporters. They'll turn on the Senators who voted to convict.
💠The GOP sticks together and all GOP Senators line up behind Trump.
This is the GOP’s best chance for survival: They hold their minority party together and try to create chaos to splinter the opposition.
Also, remember, more evidence will come out later.
Voting to acquit can be dangerous because vulnerable GOP Senators run for reelection tightly linked to Trump.
(The albatross theory)
I can’t see how this is any better for the GOP.
Censure is a finding of guilt. How can they censure him, and then support him for re-election?
In the movies, trials are thrilling. In real life, not so much.
Hollywood movies give us, well, Hollywood endings.
This, in contrast, will be an ongoing saga.
That's how about 35% of the population is controlling all of us.
Without Trump's base, they will have an extremely difficult time winning election.
What happened in a nutshell: Conservatives welcomed right wing authoritarians into their party so they could achieve national electoral victories. . . .
Authoritarians have always exerted power beyond their numbers⤵️
The GOP base is shrinking. Their long term prospects are poor. That's why they're desperate.
That's what all the lying is about. They lie because they know the lies destroy.
We win by holding onto our ideals and not giving into cynicism (see earlier thread today)
I can't see how they can do that because the evidence of guilt is overwhelming (see my timeline)