, 11 tweets, 4 min read
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Remember:

1. eventual warming for 407ppm CO2 will be ~3.5°C

2. We hit 415ppm in 2019

3. Both ecosystems & organised human society will crash if we hit 3.5°C rapidly (most species would die)

4. Current trajectory

~1.5°C by 2025
~2.5°C by 2045
~3.5°C by 2065

Climate 'change'.
1. 'James Hansen’s “Climate Change in a Nutshell: The Gathering Storm,” written in December 2018 and known as the Nutshell document, is, in our opinion, the single most important analysis currently available for general readers'👇
monthlyreview.org/2019/02/01/mr-…

2. Carbon dioxide levels just hit 415 ppm.

grist.org/article/carbon…
3. 'On our current trajectory, he said, “the effects of the destruction we are wreaking on the ecosystem could cause humans to go extinct, the ultimate Seneca Collapse.” But if we change course, even if we do not avoid serious crises, we might lessen the..'vice.com/en_us/article/…
3. 'human civilization could end by 2050 due to the destabilizing societal and environmental factors caused by a rapidly warming planet.' cbsnews.com/news/new-clima…
3. Most species would be wiped out even if 3.5°C were delayed until the 22nd century.

Thread:👇
3. 'for the MAJORITY of animals and plants, 3.2°C of warming would mean having most of their habitat wiped out entirely.'

We'll most likely go over 3°C at some point between 2045 and 2145. I suspect this will happen before 2070, but of course I can't know.qz.com/1280872/keepin…
4. Current trajectory:

Explore this long thread of threads:👇
4. Current trajectory:

We could even hit 4°C before 2060.

4. Current trajectory:

This thread contains remarkable peer-reviewed science which says we could conceivably go over 4°C by the 2040s. That rate of change would pretty much wipe out us out I would imagine. Few scientists say this is possible/likely...
Thanks to @fragmansixty9 for the ongoing threads exploring scientific papers ignored by the media and educational establishments, but well understood by the world's corporations, militaries and many government officials/planners, banks, etc:

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