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For 7 years now, I’ve only written for the Epsilon Theory website. But I made an exception for ⁦@clairlemon⁩ and ⁦@Quillette⁩.

#DontTestDontTell is not just a public health policy fiasco for the US. It’s a global tragedy.

And it must stop. quillette.com/2020/03/06/don…
#DontTestDontTell

#DontTestDontTell

#DontTestDontTell

#DontTestDontTell

South Carolina’s website today.

#DontTestDontTell

Also, bullshit.

#DontTestDontTell

“Nearly 17 people have been tested.”

You mean ... like, 16 people?

#DontTestDontTell

#DontTestDontTell

Florida continues to limit testing for fear that state labs will be “overwhelmed”.

sun-sentinel.com/coronavirus/fl…
#DontTestDontTell

It’s March 7, and only today is testing *capability* available nationwide.

#DontTestDontTell

It’s March 8, and there have been zero CV19 tests performed in the state of Ohio.

Zero.

This is 12th post in the #DontTestDontTell thread.

Kentucky

courier-journal.com/story/news/202…
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More from @EpsilonTheory see all

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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Oil is trading 20% down. From Friday.
US 10-yr trading at 55 bps.
We hit the limit-down circuit breaker on S&P minis. Oil off 25%, 10-yr at 49 bps.

I mean ... this is nuts. It's all coming home to roost.

epsilontheory.com/the-mozilo-mar…
Read 3 tweets
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Please read.

There have been 11 deaths at Kirkland Life Care Center since Feb. 19 that were not transferred to a hospital before dying. None of them were tested for the CV19 virus.

What is #DontTestDontTell?

This.
How is it possible that I’m doing more investigative reporting on what’s happening in the Seattle and Nor Cal healthcare systems from my effin’ Twitter account than I’ve seen from any MSM outlet?

Where the hell are our newspapers?

Where the hell are our journalists?
Another reader DM on the reality of #DontTestDontTell.

Not testing for CV-19 over the weekend in Arizona. Because ... weekend.
Read 4 tweets
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Things are breaking down today. Italy and Iran in particular. Not just infected #s, but healthcare system overload and death #s. Gov’ts are desperate.

Govs and mayors and DOD need to step up and protect/insulate/resource tertiary hospitals like UCSF Med Ctr. They’re the key IMO.
Honestly I think federal gov’t ex-DOD is just a distraction right now. That’s obviously WH, but includes HHS and DHS, too.

State and local govts, in coordination with DOD, need to establish regional C3I thru tertiary med ctrs. That’s how we get a handle on this.
I’m done arguing w/Trumpkins and buh-buh-the-flu doofs. I’m done with focusing on Dear Leader. We’re past that.

Some govs and mayors and base commanders and tertiary hospital docs are going to step up now and establish effective C3I locally. And that’s where this battle turns.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Dr. Barry J. Cooke
@barryjcooke1
Your're not going to be testing millions of people for virus. It's just not going to happen. Stop asking for things that are not possible. Stop building peoples' expectations up to Hollywood movie levels of sci-fi.
Whether you test 7 000 or 70 000 or 700 000 people - that is not going to alter the course of this pandemic. What *can* alter its course is whether you behave like an incubator and whether you hang out in incubators. So don't.
Listen. In any pandemic things are going to go "wrong". This constant navel-gazing of "if only we'd ...." is crazy-making. Remember when Kim Campbell said that "governments don't run economies"? She got lambasted. But she was right. And this is like that.
Read 9 tweets
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Chris Masterjohn
@ChrisMasterjohn
I’m 20 minutes into the @joerogan debate with @chriskresser and @lightningwilks.

All this time spent on whether Kresser was misleading for grouping 71% no association and 13% inverse into 84% no or inverse is ridiculous.
If the claim is dairy causes cancer, there’s nothing misleading about grouping the figures together to say 84% of the meta-analyses of the observational evidence contradicts it.
And if you has no effect, you’d expect some to find increased risk and some to find decreased risk. If most find nothing and 10-15% find increased and decreased on each end, that’s consistent with no effect.
Read 81 tweets
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Barb Chamberlain
@barbchamberlain
At @AASHTOSpeaks Joint Policy Conference of Committee on Design and Council on Active Transportation (I'm a member of that). Flexible design workshop to kick it off. #infrastructure #RoadSafety
Joyce Taylor, Maine DOT Chief Engineerb Over the years people have debated names for different approaches to streets that serve people. Let's call it GOOD DESIGN. #AASHTO #infrastructure #RoadSafety #PeopleStreets #HealthyStreets
Shari Schaftlein, FHWA Office of Human Environment, on context sensitive solutions/design. Case studies/resources fhwa.dot.gov/planning/css/. #AASHTO #infrastructure #RoadSafety #PeopleStreets
Read 149 tweets
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Adam Briggs
@ADMBriggs
Thread/
Today, @BorisJohnson has said that taxes on unhealthy foods should be reviewed citing a lack of evidence. The only such UK tax is the soft drinks industry levy, or #sugartax, so please let me take you through that 'lack of evidence'.

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
1/
Randomised-controlled trials show sugary drinks cause weight gain in children and adults. E.g.

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
academic.oup.com/ajcn/article/9…
bmj.com/content/346/bm…
2/
 Sugary drinks are also associated with increased risk of diabetes, over and above any effect through weight gain. Over 10 years, they are estimated to directly cause 79,000 cases of diabetes in the UK, and 124,000 cases when including weight gain.

bmj.com/content/351/bm…
Read 24 tweets
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Sean Harrison
@Sean_Harrison2
I’ve now read the article by Christopher Snowdon:

“The campaign to make alcohol ‘the new tobacco’”

Summary: The article cherry-picks data, conflates observational epidemiology with causal inference, and misunderstands basic statistics.

bit.ly/2JVAKeK

1/100
Preface: I don’t care whether people drink or not.

I’d prefer it if people drank in moderation, but I’m not an advocate for teetotalism.

I do, however, think people should be informed of the risks of anything they do, if they want to be.

2/100
The piece starts out by saying that there is a drive to treat drinkers like smokers.

That seems to conflate saying that alcohol can be harmful with saying people shouldn’t drink alcohol.

They aren’t the same.

I also don’t know which organisation runs this campaign…

3/100
Read 100 tweets

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