I saw Maine had the same type of occurrence, can anyone share the Maine Primary screen grab here, please?
I'd like to make a thread to share with Election integrity organizations!
#MIPrimary #MEPrimary
#NHPrimary
Buttigieg saw a 12%⬆️of his exit poll projection w/ machine counts gaining ~8K more votes than predicted by exit poll, at expense of mainly Klobuchar + Biden
tdmsresearch.com/2020/02/17/new…
Biden’s vote count showed largest disparity from his exit poll projection. His unverified machine tallies showed an 8.3%⬆️of his projected exit poll share. Given the 528,776 voters in this election, he gained ~19,700 more votes than projected
tdmsresearch.com/2020/03/02/sou…
The discrepancies between exit poll + vote count for Sanders + Biden = 8.4%— 2x the 4.0% MOE (95% CI) for their exit poll differences. Warren’s + Biden’s discrepancies also = 8.4%, again 2x the MOE (95% CI) for their exit poll differences.
Sanders saw largest change between exit poll +machine tallies. His projected vote proportion⬇️4% in vote counts—a 12%⬇️from exit poll. The combo changes between exit poll +vote count for Sanders +Biden at 4.4% significantly >2.9% MOE for exit poll diff. between them.
Sanders=most change betwn exit poll+machine tallies w/projected vote proportion⬇️6.3% —an 11%⬇️from exit poll. Biden w/exit poll of 17%+in danger of getting 0 delegates outperformed by 4.5% —a 26.1%⬆️The combo changes betwn exit poll+vote count at 10.8%=2x 5.4% MOE
The combo changes between exit poll + the vote count for Sanders + Biden currently totals 7.7%; >2x the 3.1% MOE for exit poll difference between them. Warren’s +Biden’s discrepancies = 5.6%, 2x the 2.5% MOE. All MOEs calculated at 95% confidence interval.