#TweetStorm - A Quick take on the new #SEBI circular. 1) The new rule states that a Multicap Fund needs to have 25% in #LargeCaps, 25% in #Midcaps. 25% in #Smallcaps. This needs to be aligned before January 2021.
Data Source - MoneyControl 2) The Total AUM of the Multi-Cap Funds is 1.53 lakh crores. 25% allocation to #Smallcap =38300 crores. Current Allocation= 11240 Crores. Potential Buying or Difference to be Aligned = 27062 crores.
3) Why is everyone going mad about it in #Whatsapp and #Twitter. Total Market Cap of 251st to 500th Company is 9 lakh crores. 27000 Cr implies 3% of Equity. In many of smallcaps promoters own 50-75%. That's like 10% of float buying theoretically. Source - AMFI.
4) The Largest Multi-Cap Fund for example needs to re-align 7000 cr to #Smallcaps. The Largest #Smallcap by Market Cap is 7000 Crores. !! 5) Lot of things can happen. Earlier a simple switch was to change made of fund which is not possible as only one #fund in one #category.
6) At the first level, it looks like there will be outflows from #MutliCap Funds to #LargeCap Funds by #Investors. There will be some re-alignment towards #Smallcaps. All this provided current definitions of #Smallcaps #Midcaps #Largecaps remain same.

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More from @nooreshtech

3 Mar
#TweetStorm - #RSI hits 23 on #Nifty. Converting this long post on nooreshtech.co.in/2020/03/what-h… into a #tweetstorm. Let us see whenever #RSI hits the 20-25 band on #Nifty what has been the market movement in last 10-12 years.
#RSI 23. #Nifty 10782 on 5th August 2019
Nifty 10637 on 23rd August 2019 . Positive Divergence
A higher bottom on 19th September at 10670.
1.3% lower and major rally started after 1.5 months.
breaks the sloping trendline and short term bottom . Support at previous bottoms 10600
#RSI 22. #Nifty 10261 on 5th October 2018
10138 on 11th October. Positive Divergence.
3rd Bottom at 10004 on 26th October 2018. Triple Positive Divergence.
2.5 % lower on the bottom and the rally after 3 weeks.
trendline and 2 lows got taken out. Support at previous major bottoms
Read 11 tweets
4 Feb
#MythBuster - A thread - Yesterday, when markets were up and are up today, have seen numerous messages as to how #LIC has been put to work to prop up the markets and also how #LIC Ipo is a risk as their investments need to be sold or they will have to be independent ...
Lets take it through the numbers as to how relevance of #LIC in the #Equity Markets has detoriated. 1) #LIC puts in a net of 50-60k crores a year on an average. #MutualFunds in last few months hold 25-40k crores of cash and 8000 crores of monthly inflow through #SIP.
2) Total Value of #MutualFunds in #Equity has surpassed #LIC value quite some time back. 3) #SIP at almost 90-100k crore is double the money #LIC can deploy. 4) #EPFO averages 25000-30000 cr will soon cross #LIC. Thanks to it #SBI Nifty 50 ETF is now 66000 cr and largest #MF sch
Read 6 tweets
3 Oct 19
#TweetStorm - Expensive or deserves to be Expensive ? 1)One thumb rule for screening expensive companies is Market Cap to Sales or Enterprise Value to Sales. A 10x or more is generally expensive unless the company can grow sales rapidly or has extremely high Net Profit Margins.
2)Another way to look at expensive is if the Market Cap is equal to the Total Sales of the Addressable Market Size. This would lead to company having to launch different products in the future.
3)May not be the approach to take a Sell Decision or a Short Sell Decision. Very few companies can command such high valuations. Thumb Rule is just to review the investment thesis and the quality of the business. If doubts on quality , get out.
Read 9 tweets
31 Jul 19
#TweetStorm -#LTCG Tax on Equity - Taxing Genuine Investors to get a best case 3000-5000 cr of Tax Revenue and losing 15 lakh crore Market Cap but not catching and penalizing Tax Evaders/Money Launderers does not seem Morally or Revenue Right. #Tweetstorm.
The Big Statement in #Budget2018

3.67 Lakh Crores of Exempted #LTCG Tax in A Y 2017-2018 and 20k crores expected in tax revenue in 2019 and 40k crores in 2020.
Matching the 3.67 lakh crore number with Income Tax Website.

incometaxindia.gov.in/Pages/Direct-T…

Looks like 5 years data added as per Income Tax Website.

All Tax Payers – Range of Long Term Capital Gains Tax
Read 15 tweets
8 Jun 19
#TweetStorm
In 2015-2017 A lot of people wanted to become Full Time #Investors via #Smallcaps seeing #Multibaggers shown by #Advisers #Investors. In 2018-2019 a lot of people want to become Full Time #Traders via #OptionWriting, #Futures seeing #M2M shown by #Trainers #Traders
We used to earlier get influenced by people succeeding in your #social circle where you would know people over the years but now we get influenced by #SocialMedia successes that may or may not be true. #Tweetstorm on questions on approach to #FullTime #Trading
In 2018 we got a crash in #Smallcaps and #portfolios are down 10-50%. This will test out people who became #fulltime #investors without thinking or preparation. Now in 2019 if you want to be a #FullTime #Trader this #tweetstorm gives you only questions to help you think!.
Read 17 tweets
19 Apr 19
#RetailInvestor Behaviour - A quick thread and post -Do read this older post - Why do Traders Go Bust and Investors Get Lost !! nooreshtech.co.in/2018/04/why-do…
Deja Vu #JetAirways and #KingfisherAirles - From 4.29% of equity to 11.42% of Equity now with Retail Shareholders in #JetAirways!! A total of 1,37,524. ( less than 2 lakh share capital.)
The sad part is we had 2.3 lakh retail shareholders in Kingfisher but a company like Kotak Mahindra Bank has 2.23 lakh retail shareholders !!
Read 4 tweets

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