Indeed. The fisheries issue is a red herring, if you'll pardon the pun.

If there is #NoDealBrexit it will not be because of a dispute over fish, as the UK media is suggesting, but because of UK's refusal to follow some LPF rules in exchange for tariff-free access to EU market.
There is a reason the UK briefs as if fisheries is the main stumbling bloc. It's a very small (though very emotional) part of the economy and the EU's stance is not very sympathetic. But it's a side issue.

LPF and governance goes to the heart of what #Brexit will and won't be.
The UK side doesn't want to talk about LPF because it highlights the lack of thinking that went into the #Brexit plan before the referendum.

#Norway & #Switzerland were used as examples, but then after the vote their models were immediately ruled out because they're rule-takers.
UK is asking to be 1st European country given access to the EU's single market without aligning to EU rules.

In 1990s 🇳🇴🇮🇸&🇨🇭 couldn't negotiate such an arrangement. UK thought it could.

UK asking for much less access than them, so EU is asking for proportionally less alignment
Any degree of access was always going to entail a proportional degree of regulatory alignment guarantees.

The Leave campaign wasn't honest with the British people about this. That miscalculation is now having consequences.

🐟 is a distraction from that.

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More from @DaveKeating

29 Nov
In the 1970s, #Italy was one of the most advanced countries for feminism. Then came Berlusconi. Since then it's been three decades of regression.

Wondery's #BungaBunga podcast provides a good English explainer of how we got here. wondery.com/shows/bunga-bu…
theguardian.com/world/2020/nov…
People note similarities between #Berlusoni & #Trump in the @WonderyMedia podcast.

But I found the similarities (and concurrence) between the rise of Berlusconi's #MediaSet & #FoxNews more unnerving.

Both became so powerful they set the tone & agenda for the main broadcasters.
Berlusconi's #MediaSet managed to transform the content of Italian public broadcaster RAI just as #FoxNews managed to transform the news content of the main US networks. Both were coarsened.

The 'sexy shopping' segment aired on RAI 2, not Mediaset.
Read 4 tweets
28 Nov
Anybody saying the GSA starting the @JoeBiden transition shows "the guardrails of American democracy are strong" is delusional.

It looks like we will make it to 20 January without US democracy collapsing. But Europeans need to remember how close we came.
"The problem with the plan—the thing that stopped it—wasn't so much the institutions. It's just that #Trump lost the election by too much to really pull his plan off,” notes @ChrislHayes.

Where would we be right now if it had come down to just one state?
What the US has just gone through has "revealed craters in the foundation of our democracy" says @JNelsonLDF.

"If we want to be a country based on the #RuleOfLaw, we need stronger laws. We can't rely on norms that can be disregarded when it's in someone's political interest".
Read 4 tweets
16 Oct
Even countries most exposed to #NoDealBrexit dangers are saying EU shouldn't back down on #Brexit.

Belgium is the 2nd most exposed, but PM @AlexanderDeCroo says in late-night presser that "it would be crazy not to have a deal but it would be even more crazy to have a bad deal".
De Croo says this resolve is hardening "more and more" on EU side.

"Granting access of the UK to the European market, if you want to that, then we need assurances on the way the UK is going to play the game".
Because trust is low (especially after UK made plans to renege on withdrawal treaty), a sanctions mechanism need to be in place if UK violates FTA.

The UK could “possibly have some predatory behaviour which could be very negative for the European economy"
Read 6 tweets
15 Oct
My take: no leader wants to be the first one to say publicly that #Brexit talks have failed.

Neither side wants to be blamed for the no-deal chaos coming in 75 days.

And so, most likely, @BorisJohnson will decide tomorrow to blow through his deadline and continue talks.
But the talks will be just a charade.

There will be a long gap between when leaders decide for themselves no-deal is inevitable, and when they say it to the public.

For as long as they're afraid to say it out loud, businesses aren't getting the message to prepare for no deal.
1/3 of UK businesses apparently think that there will be an extension of the #Brexit transition period - something legally impossible at this point.

It's clear governments on both sides of the channel aren't communicating the facts to business.
ft.com/content/7dedbc…
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
There is no prospect that leaders at today's #EUCO will somehow agree a post-#Brexit FTA in time for @BorisJohnson's 15 October deadline

But now the UK side is walking back his threat, saying tomorrow he will merely assess whether there has been enough progress to continue talks
But the elephant in the room is #CoronaVirus.

It's looking like this may be the last in-person #EUCO this year. If #Brexit talks do continue, they will likely have to be virtual.

Hard to see how a deal can be reached in these circumstances.
President @EmmanuelMacron entering #EUCO: "It is possible that there will be no [#Brexit FTA] agreement…we are prepared for it.”

“Our fishermen should not be the ones being sacrificed because of Brexit...we have not chosen Brexit, it is the British peoples' choice."
Read 13 tweets
14 Oct
As we get to the home stretch of #Brexit negotiations, the UK side is questioning whether the FTA deal on offer from the EU is really worth signing.

The complaint: EU isn't giving the same level of market access as other FTAs it's signed, for instance with Canada and Japan.
So what people will be keenly watching from the #EUCO tomorrow is whether EU27 prime ministers and presidents flesh out the meat on the bone in terms of what's actually on offer.

But EU says it's already spelled out what's on offer quite clearly.
The big question: Will Johnson stick to his 15 October deal-or-no-deal deadline?

Probably not, it appears. UK side now saying it will assess whether there's been sufficient progress to continue talks.

But practical reality is a deal needed now to be ratified in time for 31 Dec.
Read 4 tweets

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