One of the most prevalent failings in finmarkets is that you take a batch of data with which you're presented, turn it into a graph, and imagine you've uncovered some unheralded, Absolute Truth...
1/x
The first thing any competent practitioner learns is that the data itself is often selectively - if not indeed subjectively - compiled; that cet. par. only rarely holds; that it's the Unkown Unknowns & the unasked questions that ruin you... 2/x #pandemic
That, for every cute chart you draw -whether intentionally or unthinkingly misleading- there'll be no shortage of those approvingly Oohing and Aahing at it & eagerly relaying it to others as a mark of their own elevated sagacity (the #WEF Agit-prop Dept are masters at this) 3/x
That there are 'lies damned lies and statistics' and that a (graphical) 'picture paints a thousand words' - none of them necessarily representative of any underlying reality.
Anyone active in the #COVID19 Twitter Wars care to comment?
4/x
#UK#employment no.s show the horrendous cost of #lockdown leapfrog and all the other government stupidity during this pan(dem)ic.
Toll on self-employed getting on for 1 in 10
Total, economy-wide hours worked off 9.1% 1/x
“As a biddable ignoramus who has somehow jockeyed his way into becoming your elected representative, I do not consider it my duty to keep abreast of what world leaders or their guiding Technocrats are openly declaring to be their mission”
Let’s fix that for him: 1/x #GreatReset
I’m an MP, but. I don’t follow what international bodies and policy makers around the world are discussing - or even what my friends in the Other Place are saying. 1/x #GreatReset l
The UK has so far suffered ~50k excess deaths ‘with #COVID19 mentioned on the death certificate’ - 6 out of 7 aged 65+, 1/3 in care homes, 1/5 in hospitals where many were 1st infected.
At the same time, government has borrowed almost £150 billion more than in 2019... 1/3
... that works out at almost £3 million per death and counting.
Do you suppose better management could have lowered both the death toll AND the cost? EG by protecting the vulnerable, treating the sick -with or w/out #COVID19(84) - setting everyone else free!! 2/3
FYI projections for full FY20-21 borrowing were already almost double the current tab, at £372bln - imagine what they look like now that the #BorisJohnson Junta, Nicola Maduro #Sturgeon, et al, have swung the Camp #Covid gates shut again on the Flu-lag Archipelago! 3/3
'Pulling #consumption forward' is an unhelpful euphemism for 'engaging in #capital consumption': more graphically, 'writing cheques the people can't cash'.
Self-sustaining #growth requires coherence between consumption & production not just today, but over time. 1/x #centralbanks
That latter is difficult enough to achieve without #centralbankers & policy-makers in general trying to impose their own vision of the balance (one always narrowly biased to the present) on a system composed of billions of interacting needs & preferences. 2/x #bankofenfgland
The unavoidable (Rumsfeldian) uncertainty -as well as the calculable risks- is made much greater when every fluctuation today -itself a direct result of IN-coherence, largely inflicted from above- is greeted with yet another blunt-force trauma assault on the capital structure
3/x
This must END! It is beyond all logic and utterly out of proportion to the immense harm it is causing, economically, socially, and politically.
NO #Lockdown2
Here are the EU no.s for the UK. These 'Z-scores' are basically a statistcial means of detrending the raw numbers and to provide measures of normal variation from the trend.
Death rates in the UK are UNDER not just the average, but the expected divergence below it!