Big news this week on economic front has been,inclusion of Healthcare sector under @narendramodi govt's ECLGS scheme,which gives collateral free loans to MSMEs
India reporting $20bn Trade surplus with USA,in goods&$8bn in Services,bodes well too
RBI had 25000Cr auction of GSAP
Excellent move by RBI to refuse to sell securities to PDs or even allow devolution--result was,10yr bond yield that shot up to 6.13% on Thursday,on day of GSAP auction,quickly cooled off to 6.07%,by Friday
Short sellers were trapped by RBI,preventing any hardening of yield curve
Fact that economy is on track, endorsed by solid Q4 results from #HDFCBank,with Profit up 18% at Rs 8186Cr&NII up 12% YoY,at 17120Cr
Deposits up 16%
Advances up 14%;Wholesale Loans up 22%
NIM came at a good 4.2%
GrossNPA down to 1.32% from 1.38% QoQ,while NetNPA steady at 0.4%
G
reat results from #HDFCBank were,despite Provisions up 24% YoY,at Rs 4694Cr
Even IT Cos declared solid numbers,with #Wipro's Revenues up 3.9% QoQ at 16334Cr--Wipro's Q4 result is the best ever in last 10yrs
Even #Mindtree reported good results,with Dollar Revenue up 5.1% QoQ
Tech giant TCS with a market cap of over Rs 12 lakh Cr also declared superb results,with Net Profit up 14.9% at 9246Cr
Revenue up 9.4% at 43705Cr
OPM at 26.8%,up 0.2% QoQ& 1.7%,YoY
Constant Currency growth was a solid 4.2% QoQ&5.9%,YoY
Interestingly,MPC voted for status quo unanimously,which is good news
GDP growth projected at 10.5% in FY22,Vs Modi Govt's projection of 11%&IMF's 11.5% #CreditPolicy
Despite a massive Rs 12 lakh Cr of govt borrowings estimated in FY22,the good thing is,weighted average cost of funds has been 5.78%,so @narendramodi govt will be able to borrow at competitive rates
Accommodative Stance by RBI Governor,bodes well
Reserve money rose by 14.5% YoY
Enough #Liquidity there in system,in LAF window,with banks provided addnl liquidity of Rs 1.53 lakh Cr
Hence,#CRR will be hiked back to 3.5% from 27th March 2021&to 4% from 22nd May,2021
For 1HFY22,#Inflation projected at 5-5.2%,from earlier range of 4.6-5.2%
Well,for every rupee in govt coffers, 53paise will come from direct& indirect taxes,36p from borrowings &other liabilities,6p from non-tax revenue like disinvestment&5p from non-debt capital receipts
GST will contribute 15paise in every rupee revenue,corporate tax will contribute 13paise to each rupee earned;8paise for every rupee,will come from union excise duty,3paise from customs duty&income tax will yield 14paise to every rupee collected
Fiscal math has been worked out💪
On #Expenditure side,biggest outlay is for interest payments at 20paise for every rupee,followed by States' share of taxes&duties@16paise
Allocation for #Defence is 8paise &Expense on Central schemes is 14p, while allocation for Central schemes is 9paise
PSU giant #SAIL reported 1468Cr profit in Dec'20 qtr Vs loss of 344Cr in Dec'19 qtr,showcasing strength of #EconomicRecovery,in Construction, Infra,Autos,Manufacturing
Hot Steel&Saleable Steel production rose by 12%&6% YoY,respectively
Ebitda rose by massive 346%,to Rs 5294Cr💪
#Larsen&Toubro's 76% YoY rise in Order Book in Dec'20 qtr,vindicates speed with which Infra projects are scaling up,under @narendramodi govt
Order book of L&T at Rs 3.31 lakh Cr in Dec'20 qtr,is up 9%,Vs March'20 qtr,which means Infra space is doing better than pre-#COVID levels
Despite a global #pandemic, L&T,which is a proxy to how #Infra space in India is doing,saw new order inflows of a massive 73233Cr, in just a single qtr of Dec'20💪
Segment-wise,Infra secured #Orders of 45574Cr,rise of 80% YoY, with receipt of two marquee orders of #HighSpeedRail
IMF today revised India's GDP growth forecast for FY22 from 8.8% to 11.5%,making it fastest growing global economy
#IMF listed India as only major economy of the world to register double-digit growth in FY22,thx to pathbreaking reforms&mega vaccine roll out by @narendramodi govt
For CY21/FY22,while IMF projects 11.5% for India,it says global GDP will grow by only 5.5%
Advanced economies to grow by just 4.3%&EMs by 6.3%
China@ 8%,Spain@5.9%&France with GDP growth of 5.5%,are the other projections
India's rebound under @narendramodi govt,to be fastest
L&T,#EPC behemoth, reported 17% rise in Profit,with margins up 80bps at 12%
Worth noting that L&T's order book at Rs 3.31 lakh Cr,is up a massive 76% YoY&the highest that it has ever reported in a quarter
Strong order inflows despite #COVID19,shows capex cycle is turning around