Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Liquidity

Most recents (22)

#WelspunCorp- Soon out of the Woods

#CMP - 60
#MarketCap - 1,565 cr
#Industry - Pipes & Plates
Biggest #COVID19 casualty

Post Jan2020, the #crudeoil prices collapsed 60-70%. The company has major dependence on global oil & gas players for its order book.
However, we feel Welspun Corp’s strong cash & investment position in the #balancesheet and very low #longtermdebt will help the company withstand the current turmoil and bounce back stronger.
Read 25 tweets
#RBI cut by 40bps each of these👇
#Repo rate to 4%
#ReverseRepo to 3.35%
#BankRate to 4.25%

Decision was reached after 5:1 vote,with #ChetanGhate,lone voice calling for 25 bps cut

#MPC meet was held ahead of schedule from 3rd-5th,June

#EMI #moratoroum extended by 3 more months
Moratorium extension till 31st August 2020,is both timely &reflective of @narendramodi govt's alacrity--Big relief to #MiddleClass

Measure to convert #moratorium interest payment into #TermLoan payable in FY21,is helpful

This will reduce #NPAs &stress on banks' balance sheets
#RBI's cut in #Repo will reduce cost of funds&extension of #moratorium will be supportive of financial stability;#Rates across #YieldCurve will move lower from current levels

Fall in #ReverseRepo rate will disincentivise banks from #hoarding #liquidity&coax them to lend

#Covid
Read 10 tweets
@FinMinIndia @nsitharaman hon minister Can we change laws to make consuming business in B2B transactions to pay GST on behalf of supplier on the GSTN? @rahuldeodhar @TheSwamy @TheOliveKnife @PMOIndia @nitin_gadkari @Dev_Fadnavis
#aatmanirbhardesh #msmes #liquidity #swadeshi
This can bring immediate benefits to all the stakeholders increase liquidity for MSME, will eliminate the scope of fraudulent claims, fake invoices, hopefully buyers may get additional discounts. #aatmanirbhardesh #msmes #liquidity #swadeshi @beingarun28 @ashwani_mahajan
This could be something similar to TDS laws. Wherein consuming business deduct TDS from the payments to their suppliers and deposit directly. #aatmanirbhardesh #msmes #liquidity #swadeshi @gaurav168 @TeamIndiaFirst @NandanNilekani @Infosys
Read 4 tweets
#AatmaNirbharBharatAbhiyan
Based on 👇

Land,Labour,Liquidity&Laws that are not isolationist but inclusive

Ease of Doing Business

DBT,JanDhan,Aadhar, Micro Insurance,Ujjwala Yojana, Ayushman Bharat, PM Awaas Yojana,PM FasalBima Yojana,Krishi Sinchai,Swachh Bharat--Key Landmarks
GST,IBC&PSU Bank Recapitalisation in last 6 yrs,have been big reforms

52606Cr given via #DBT to 41Cr #JanDhan holders

Free wheat&rice to 69Cr ration card holders

18000Cr tax refunds given

Free cylinders to 8Cr #Ujjwala holders

#20lakhcrores #COVIDー19
#atmanirbharbharat
Project DevelopmentCells,working for Promotion of Champion Sectors,in States

#MakeInIndia&Upgradation of Industrial Infra,a success&more will be done to #Decongest economy

3376 SEZs&IndustrialParks with 5 lakhhectares,to be ranked& mapped,in terms of readiness for competition
Read 20 tweets
RBI has announced Rs 50000 Cr #SpecialLiquidityFacility for #mutualfunds,to ease redemption pressures

#RBI will conduct #Repo operations of 90 days tenor at fixed repo rate

This Special Facility is on-tap,open-ended&will particularly help #DebtSchemes of MFs,witnessing outflows
#SpecialLiquidityFacility for #mutualfunds is available from today,April 27,2020 till May 11, 2020,or up to utilization of allocated amount of Rs 50000Cr whichever is earlier

@narendramodi govt's calibrated approach to calm down frayed nerves,is timely&noteworthy

#coronavirus
Funds availed under this facility shall be used by banks solely for meeting #liquidity requirements of #mutualfunds by 👇

Extending loans

Outright purchase of #Repos

Or against collateral of corporate bonds,commercial papers, debentures&certificate of deposits,held by #MFs👍
Read 6 tweets
There is an old saying that goes
"Don't fight the Fed."

Maybe now, this one holds true as well. Consider the following:

*Thread* 1/n
#USA #Economy #Liquidity #MonetaryPolicy #DontFightTheFed #Covid_19
2/ Data-wise, we all know that March & April 2020 have turned out to be a catastrophe so far. Just think of initial claims, regional manufacturing PMIs, Flash PMIs etc. etc. Nonetheless, there seems to be light at the end of the tunnel. A data point which has clearly surprised...
3/ to the upside were ZEW Expectations in April 2020. Expectations have increased strongly in all regions including the US, Europe & Japan. At the same time, the assessment of the current situation has collapsed to 2008 lows. A typical pattern at the beginning of new cycles. Image
Read 10 tweets
Dear all. #Deflation is here as forecasted. #Oil and #Commodities etc. are declining rapidly towards targets I have put up here in #HZupdates. We are still to see the major fall-outs. The situation is dire! CBs are fully committed to sacrifice the currencies to save the economy!
#Oil has reach the target of ~20 USD. But - I don't think we have seen the bottom yet! Why? Technical. I think we will see a triangle forming as wave iv - before Oil plunges towards its final target ~10 USD. Deflation not done despite massive CB and fiscal intervention! Image
#CRB has also reached the target area. Still, I expect further lows - following some sideways consolidation. Throw-over is to be expected for a Ending Diagonal. The significance of the bottom cannot be over-emphasized. This is a SECULAR BOTTOM - and the final low for inflation! Image
Read 20 tweets
Lets talk about the #FED's #Outlook on #US & #Global #Growth & where it sees #MonetaryPolicy #Regulation & #Supervision going given the #Zero / #EffectiveLowerBound...
Yesterday, 6th February 2020, the #FederalReserve (FED) Vice Chair for #Supervision addressed the #Money Marketeers of #NewYorkUniversity in #NewYork. His address, in the form of a speech, was coined "The #Economic Outlook, #MonetaryPolicy, and the Demand for #Reserves"...
Considering that the #FED is one of the most influential #CentralBanks in the world, it pays to get as much information from them as possible, especially when it comes to #monetarypolicy conduct and the #Global impacts thereof...
Read 11 tweets
#ES_F if you look price action, the herd is being over ruled by 1-2 players. The herd is ‘valuing it’ down, while 1-2 are trying to prop it up. That’s why your seeing high ZiG Zag patterns.
#ES_F 1-2 are stepping away letting herd get short and 1-2 is using low volume periods to prop it back up.
The ‘herd’ is valuing at 3280 and 1-2 valuing at 3290 or greater.. #ES_F that’s why your seeing fall down when most market participants have a say. The actual equities look quite fragile in terms of patterns being exhibited.
Read 10 tweets
...@bancaditalia CODADEPAJA
I prestiti TLTRO di #PopBari dal bilancio 2015..."anche a nome delle nuove controllate" chiesti ulteriori 516 milioni in 3 mesi...
Evento in stile
#ECB/@bancaditalia 's Ponzi Scheme... 👏👏
Read 317 tweets
MT GLOBAL MARKETS Momentum & Sentiment as of 08Nov19 wk45

1/n

• RiskON 5th wk as China talk hope and FED 3rd cut (and 44 cumulative global CB cuts) fuel momentum
• Cyclicals outperform Defensives esp Auto sector comeback
• Bonds in massive bear-steepening
• FED = oxygen
2/n Global Markets Momentum/Trend/Exhaustion scores wk45
3/n Global Yields wk45

• this is how RiskONOFF looks like in bond land: EM outperforming while DM being sold off
• general massive bear-steepening
• BoT cut 25bp
• UK downgraded by Moodys to neg outlook
Read 17 tweets
Today’s #employment report was considerably stronger than anticipated, allowing for manufacturing-sector strike activity and with the substantial upward revisions to #job numbers over the past two months. Yet, clearly, employment growth is slowing some.
Still, the demand for #labor exceeds historically moderate levels of new entrants into the workforce, which has helped to bring the #unemployment rate down persistently over the past 10 years, to 3.56% today.
The question now is whether a moderating #employment cycle, alongside of an #economy faced with great uncertainty over the past few months, will see some bottoming and improvement from here, or not?
Read 4 tweets
As expected, the #FOMC cut policy rates a quarter-point, Chair #Powell referenced the Committee’s reliance on data dependency and provided a nuanced view of #economic conditions. Still, just because all that was “expected,” doesn’t take away from the fact it was also good policy.
Indeed, today’s announcement represents an important moment for the #Fed, in which policy rates were moved to appropriate levels, alongside significant liquidity provision, which is precisely the right combination in our view: this is a big positive for #markets.
Specifically, we think the #Fed moved to the lower end of what we believe should be the equilibrium rate of interest in an #economy that’s facing aging demographic trends, and which benefits from still positive interest rates.
Read 5 tweets
Okay sooo I’m going to run some numbers / breakdown on this (mortgaged) house vs REIT something. I’m not letting it go.
Lets go:

So you + lil family need somewhere to live. Your options are:

(1) Buy a £500k 3-bed home with a £50k deposit and a 30 year mortgage at 1.5% interest. The monthly payments are £750

(2) Rent that same 3-bed home. You get to keep your £50k and the monthly rent is £1,750
You decide that a mortgage is the ghetto and you want “LiQuIdiTy”. You put your £50k straight into a REIT.
Read 16 tweets
l'impulso dalla creazione di quasi 3Trilioni di $ di riserve non spinge in maniera coerente e costante l'elargizione di nuovo credito da parte delle banche US👉NON C'E' DOMANDA
la moneta creata non "gira" come potrebbe/dovrebbe e lo vedi su
-Linea Nera:Inflazione attesa 5y FWD
...perché accade tutto questo?
perché da oltre 10 anno l'unico intento delle CBs è quello di salvaguardare il sistema finanziario come l'abbiamo sempre "conosciuto"...ma che è morto esattamente 11 anni fa...NON SIAMO MAI USCITI DALLA GFC 2008/09 e non usciremo mai in questo modo
...ed oggi vedremo quanto @potus è ricattabile...ha in mano il jolly per affondare EZ e lo DEVE giocare adesso...👽
ansa.it/europa/notizie…
Read 210 tweets
Government, on August 13, issued a 'Scheme to provide a one-time partial credit guarantee to PSBs for purchase of pooled assets of financially sound NBFCs'. This scheme is a step in right direction towards solving the liquidity crunch that NBFCs are faced with. Thread (1/12)
It may be recalled that the Finance Minister, in her budget speech, had made an announcement to this effect. Thid scheme attempts to address temporary asset liability mismatches of NBFCs/HFCs so that they don't have to resort to distress sale owing to paucity of liquidity. 2/12
The major features of this scheme are:
A) It is a one time guarantee provided by GoI, for a period of 24 months.
B) The schemes is only applicable to PSU banks for first loss of up to 10%
C) Guarantee can be invoked if the credit rating of the pool goes to 'D' (default). 3/12
Read 16 tweets
Hi #fintwit 😎 We are approaching a watershed moment in markets. Final deflationary phase of Kondratiev's winter is about to play out. Huge implications for #EUR, #Gold, #SP500, #DXY etc. I have some new interesting followers - hence something extra in this week's #HZupdates
#Kondratiev's winter is a period where #Velocity of Money drops which creates a disinflationary economic environment, where growth is subdued due to #debt levels. Since ~2000 we have been in this winter - and are still to see a range of "major economic events" unfold #HZupdates
In fact, we have never left the #Financial #Crisis. We have only been bouncing in the great "Financial and Sovereign Debt Crisis" of this #Kondratiev's winter. This can be observed from the #Deflation Gauges #Copper, #XAU, AUD, EUR. We are about to see wave C develop #HZupdates
Read 21 tweets
#GrowthSlowing #inflation
In the 12 months through January, the CPI rose 1.6 percent, the smallest gain since June 2017. The CPI increased 1.9 percent on a year-on-year basis in December.
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
#GrowthSlowing #fundflows
Money market funds recorded $21.38 billion in inflows to $3.040 trillion in the week ended Feb. 12. That was the highest level since the week of March 9, 2010, when assets totaled $3.067 trillion, according to data firm iMoneyNet.
reuters.com/article/us-fun…
Read 26 tweets
$USD #liquidity
1/ While the US Dollar has pulled back in January it was not unexpected looking at net issuance by the US Treasury and the rate of change in excess reserves. Using a 3 month adv. on net issuance and excess reserves their may be further upside to the US Dollar.
$USD #liquidity
2/ There was a small uptick in global liquidity in December 2018 in rate of change terms. This has supported many markets that were oversold. However, there has been no sizeable change in trend. Will know more once January data is released.
#equities #liquidity
3/ If we have a closer look at the rate of change in the major central bank balance sheets we can see the contraction throughout 2018. The rate of change in the MSCI All World Index tracks it closely. Again notice the slight uptick in December 2018.
Read 59 tweets
#inflation #bonds $TLT
Charts from last night Australian time. Not updated for most recent ISM number.
1/
YoY% for average gasoline prices falling with the US 10 year yield YoY% and CPI YoY% following.
#USA #growthslowing
2/
US leading economic index YoY%, GS US financial conditions, and the St. @stlouisfed financial stress index all pointing to lower real gdp numbers for the US economy.
#USA #growthslowing
3/
If we advance GS financial conditions forward by 3 months it is likely that real GDP growth and leading economic indicators continue to track lower.
Read 12 tweets
#HZupdates Let me put some narratives on my charts for a change. When Fed hikes and performs QT, it is pulling LIQUIDITY out of the system. That means tighter financial conditions. We see that by rates moving up
That would be fine IF it was not for the fact, that the economy and the "recovery" is solely based on the inflow of #liquidity. If the recovery was self-sustaining - then this rate increase would be right. Problem is - prices have been distorted beyond recognition in all markets
#HZupdates ....and valuations of #equities and all risk assets have no connect to the earth. This has been the true nature of the recovery. Driven be the "balance"-side - NOT by the "income"-side. So - now you start hiking....
Read 9 tweets
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets

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