The East Africa Monsoon gets a big boost with the arrival of Cyclone Jobo (a 15km high tower of water) in Tanzania on Saturday. The water heads north supercharging rains in the Horn of Africa & Sudan.
For all those following the #GERD in #Ethiopia#Sudan & #Egypt active and increasing rains across the Nile Basin may provide more than ample water for the planned filling of the dam this rainy season.
Over 10 days rain is forecast for all the Nile Basin south of Egypt.
This article from from @afitz3105 Director, Balsillie School of Int’lAffairs - Sr Security & Justice Adviser, UK, Horn of Africa & en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugh_Segal is well worth reading by anyone interested in the #GERD and the #Tigray war.
"If Western powers have legitimate concerns about regional stability they should not rush to judgement on the Tigray conflict. ... they should make efforts to engage with the democratic federal Ethiopian state. This offers the best chance for the Horn of Africa to prosper."
"Failure to do this could see a resurgence of instability, which may not exclude Al-Shabaab-led incursions and the rise of new demagogues across the region."
The thread begins with the mother of all deserts the astonishing Sahara. Here you see an April rain event currently underway in Algeria and Libya. #Sahara#DesertRain#EarthDay21
Here are close up images of the Libya/Algeria #DesertRain now traversing the dryest parts of the Sahara. The 1st image (zoom.earth/#view=30.2,17.…) shows rainfall signatures. The 2nd tracks the tail of this rain event back to the Atlantic coast 4500 kms to the West. #EarthDayAfrica
21st April 2021 - Middle East #ArabianStorms rainfall forecast update:
10 day forecasts from the GFS, CMC, KMA and GEFS models. /1
21st April 2021 - 3 day rainfall forecasts from the same models - to midnight Friday.
21st April 2021 - long range rainfall forecasts into next week (16 days to midnight Thursday) from the GFS, GEFS (ensemble) and KMA (12 days to midnight Sunday) models. #ArabianStorms