1/7 Putin clearly wants to make use of the chance offered by Biden: he remains sure of his diplomatic charisma and his ability to find mutual ground. My take of recent escalation and deescalation carnegie.ru/commentary/844…
2/7 n addition, the Kremlin is confident that the United States and the West in general have no other option but to engage in dialogue with Russia bit.ly/3xCGYVh
3/7 Moscow has put forward arms control, the pandemic, and climate change as possible areas of cooperation, and refusal to cooperate on these issues would undermine the idea of a U.S. foreign policy built on principles and global responsibility bit.ly/3xCGYVh
4/7 There is no guarantee, however, that the meeting will be a success. A swift retreat from the escalation over red lines and sensitive issues doesn’t mean that those issues have suddenly been resolved or that the lines have disappeared bit.ly/3xCGYVh
5/7 The problems that gave rise to the recent escalation have gone nowhere, and it’s by no means certain that a new U.S.-Russian summit will solve them. Logic suggests that there will be no breakthrough bit.ly/3xCGYVh
6/7 In that case, all the current gestures of peace could easily be undone in a fresh attempt to make the other side change its behavior bit.ly/3xCGYVh
7/7 The deliberate stoking of tensions to enable a show of strength followed by an equally deliberate retreat could become an everyday tool used in foreign policy: a regular swing of the pendulum between escalation and de-escalation bit.ly/3xCGYVh
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