We have another large #ArabianStorm which was not anticipated by the global weather models. And like those before it, it is fueled by the #WestAfricaMonsoon and a #WestAfricaWaterPlume. This time across the Red Sea in the vicinity of #Makkah.
Today's rainfall forecasts follow.
This animation shows the current state of a weather event that has been a few days in coming. #ArabianStorms
The origin of this event is very similar to that which caused several days of extremely severe thunderstorms in #Oman earlier in the month. This animation is from May 18th shortly after it first appeared in the @zoom_earth satellite imagery.
Current precipitable water model observations for the #MiddleEast. The flow of water vapor from central Africa into northern #SaudiArabia is continuing.
10 Day Rainfall forecasts for 20 May follow:
First North Africa where a spectacular #DesertRain Western Sahara rain event is forecast.
It’s clear from the latest forecasts that the @NOAA GFS and @ECMWF models are still struggling to model the significantly more complex Middle East weather situation & its African Monsoon origins. Neither model is showing any Levant and Northern #ArabianPeninsula rainfall.
None of this is a criticism of the leading GFS and ECMWF global models. They remain preeminent among supercomputer model. Their forecasts for Cyclone #Tauktae were spot on. Both models are now predicting a tropical storm in the Bay of Bengal.
MLSP forecasts showing a tropical storm making landfall near Calcutta mid next week.
Long range 10, 12 and 16 day rainfall forecasts for the Indian sub-continent and it’s attendant increasingly active adjacent seas, #ArabianSea#BayOfBengal
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This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.
I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
:
Netanyahu’s Desperate PANIC & Massive Cover-Up Exposed via @YouTube
FWIW Max I think the next step is to look more closely at the Magdeburg and New Orléans terror attacks…. The Magdeburg one is especially suspicious abd the new Orléans one accompanied by Elon musk’s cyber car explosion are both linked to Elon.
He tweeted “only AFD can save germany” both before and after the Magdeburg attack
And the New Orleans attack modus operandi was almost identical to the attack in New Orleans
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.
And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3