I feel deeply humbled by the opportunity that I could participate and talk at this weekend's #FutureofDemocracy Forum, the official side event of the #SummitforDemocracy organized by the @LithuaniaMFA in Vilnius.
A rather long THREAD 1-10.
#FoDVilnius2021
2.
My main message was that a #DemocracyAgenda focusing mostly on the malicious external interference of #authoritarian great powers and #AuthoritarianEncroachment can be easily doomed to fail for a simple reason.
futureofdemocracyforum.com
3.
External #ForeignMeddling is only in a small-part responsible for #autocratization and #illiberal developments in the Western World. The main drivers of autocratization in #EU & #NATO countries are overwhelmingly domestic.
4.
Without identifying the proper, domestic root causes of the #AuthoritarianChallenge, it will be utterly difficult to defend #democracies from it.
5.
The first move necessary to effectively combat authoritarian encroachment and foreign interference is the restoration of the democratic unity of the West, which is long gone.
The West is not a community of democracies any more.
#Hungary #Poland
6.
Certain #EU heads of government pose as much if not more threat to European #democracy and especially the functioning of the EU than Mr. #Putin does.
7.
Especially as the softball played with them undermines Western #democracy credentials much deeper than Russian #InformationWarfare could anytime do.
8.
Leaders behind the #authoritarian projects in #Hungary & #Poland are popular in large segments of the societies not because of their #illiberal credentials, but in spite of them.
The real problem is not on the demand side of politics, but on the supply side.
9.
The 🇭🇺&🇵🇱 authoritarian projects have been able to go that far because of the ineffectiveness of national checks and balances and the lack or impotence of European and international external constrains.
@EU_Commission
10.
Reinforcing checks and balances at national, European and international level is crucial to constrain domestic #autocratization dynamics in EU & NATO member states.
The only thing needed is political will.

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More from @DanielHegedus82

12 Dec 20
Some thoughts on the legality of the #EUCO #RuleofLaw declaration
THREAD 1/5
Partially in contrast to this analysis ... 👇
2/5
IMHO the regulation doesn't have to have retroactive effect, as it comes into force on January 1, 2021. The coming into force is not postponed, just @EU_Commission
refrains from proposing measures under the regulation, which does not exclude the monitoring of situation in MS.
3/5
@EU_Commission isn't legally bound by the declaration, but apparently is part of the political deal. As the Commission has high margin of discretion how it fulfils its task as Guardian of the Treaties, it can hardly be sued for not proposing measures for any reason.
Read 6 tweets
9 Dec 20
Run-up to the #EUCO
#RoL THREAD 1/12

According to information leaked from #Polish diplomatic circles, there is an agreement between the 🇭🇺&🇵🇱 governments & @EU2020DE on the modalities of ending the #BudgetBlockade.
@jancienski @VALERIEin140 @MarkusBecker
444.hu/2020/12/09/kes…
2/12
According to the plan, an #EUCO declaration will explain/limit the scope of the #RuleofLaw conditionality regulation as well as the timeframe of its application. The deal was allegedly sealed by #Orban & #Morawiecki Tuesday evening. @RULEOFLAWpl
rmf24.pl/newsamp-kompro…
3/12
Apparently #EUCO is ready to declare that member states will refrain from the application of the regulation in the Council as long as #CJEU is not ruling about the action for annulment case which will be brought forward against the regulation by 🇵🇱& 🇭🇺.
@PiotrBuras1
Read 16 tweets
8 Dec 20
1/5
Important thread by @PawelZerka on the domestic dimension of the #RuleOfLaw debate in #Poland.
To be honest, I feel optimistic & reassured if the hurdles are so low.
The second and the third point are only face saving measures...
2/5
... not real conditions, and they don't require any substantial concessions.
In case of the government declaration much depends on the content. However, if the #Polish government can be satisfied by emphasizing the tie between the #RoL conditionality instrument and ...
3/5
... the EU's financial interest, which is given anyhow, then this isn't going to be the most difficult deal of the year.
Of course much depends from Hungary, but separating #Poland from #Hungary could be one of the most important results of the #EUCO.
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov 20
Why ending the #Article7 procedures against #Hungary & #Poland as part of the #BudgetDeal grand bargain is an utterly bad idea.
THREAD 1/11

The #Article7 procedure is widely perceived as a completely failed, dysfunctional legal tool to enforce compliance with #EUvalues.
2/11
Therefore many see the closure of the ongoing procedures against #Hungary & #Poland as potential bargaining chips that may convince the EU's two autocratizing member states to withdraw from the blockade of the EUR 1800 bn budget deal
@EU2020DE @MKarnitschnig @meyer_resende
3/11
@ManfredWeber hinted on that option last week and rumours from @EU2020DE confirm the intention of the German Council presidency to please Warsaw and Budapest that way.
standaard.be/cnt/dmf2020112…
Read 12 tweets

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