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Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

24 Dec

https://twitter.com/LinkeviciusL/status/1474115849581740033

NOTHING PERSONAL? STRICTLY BUSINESS?
1/3: At first glance, these Russian company appointments look like commercial strategy. They, it seems, belong to the PRIVATE life of retired Western politicians who get remunerated for some Russian lobbying at home. Fishy, but understandable.

https://twitter.com/LinkeviciusL/status/1474115849581740033

2/3: Yet, the example of #GerhardSchröder's role for the #Kremlin in Germany indicates that the appointments are part of a Russian GEOPOLITICAL strategy. It would be therefore of interest what position the POLITICAL homes of these Western politicians take.

3/3: Since the companies, the politicians work for are parts or clients of the Russian state, the parties where the politicians remain influential, like the #SPD, #LesRepublicains etc, turn into frameworks of Moscow's foreign affairs. Is that desirable, permissible, tolerable...?

Read 4 tweets

Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

22 Dec

@SCEEUS_UI

Thread with a brief comment on today's #MH17 indictment:
1. Although the four men indicted belong in jail, this charge is absurd: The Russian army as a rent-a-rocket company where you can order complex high-tech arms over the phone? @SCEEUS_UI
military.com/daily-news/202…

@JITMH17

2. Russian soldiers who are taking orders from irregular fighters with no military rank or position, driving on their own into a foreign country, and privately hitting the button to launch a rather expensive, deadly weapon? @JITMH17 @MH17Crime @mh17report @MH17Live @CourtMH17

@raamoprusland

3. A state-of-the-art Russian anti-aircraft missile shooting down an airplane at an altitude of 10 kilometers because a retired Russian war veteran, #IgorGirkin, on unofficial foreign duty simply wished it so?
@raamoprusland @nrc @DutchMFA @ukraine_world @LawUkrainian @Politie

Read 4 tweets

Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

1 Dec

@BILD

1. Kurzkommentar für @BILD: Die beängstigende Lehre früherer russischer #Gebietsexpansionen in #Georgien & der #Ukraine ist, dass der innenpolitische Gewinn solcher Abenteuer hoch ist, während die aussenwirtschaftlichen Kosten sich in Grenzen halten.
bild.de/politik/auslan…

2. Sowohl 2008 bei der faktischen Annexion der georgischen Regionen #Abchasien und #Zchinwali als auch 2014 bei der juristischen #Annexion der #Krim stieg die Ablehnung des Westens bzw. Popularität Putins steil an, und die westlichen Sanktionen waren milde.

3. Die im Sommer 2014 verhängten sektoralen EU-#Sanktionen waren weniger eine Antwort auf die russische verdeckte Intervention in der #Ostukraine, als eine Bestrafung für den Tod von über 200 EU-BürgerInnen, d.h. der Passagiere des Fluges #MH17, über dem #Donezbecken.

Read 7 tweets

Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

26 Nov

1. Sad to watch #Шустер today: While the Kremlin is amassing troops at the border of Ukraine, its political elite is drowning in a scandal around the aborted operation to catch 33 members of the notorious Wagner PMC.

2. The underlying assumption is that:
(a) the arrest of 33 Russian experienced and ruthless #mercenaries in a passenger plane would have been a successful operation with no collateral damage and civilian victims, as well as that

3. (b) such a successful operation would not have had led to a major escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian war, or other negative repercussions, such as a debate about the admissibility of secret operations endangering foreign civilians.
Perhaps.

Read 7 tweets

Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

24 Nov

@SPDbt

1, #Germany's new government's #coalitionagreement of the @SPDbt, @Die_Gruenen and @FDP, on the #EuropeanEunion's #EasternNeighborhood: "We are working together with the #EU and its member states on the further development of the #EasternPartnership.

2. States such as #Ukraine, #Moldova & #Georgia, which are striving to join the EU, should be able to move closer through consistent rule-of-law and market-economy reforms. We will react decisively and reliably to democratic upheavals and be a partner to the democracy movements.

@UkrVerstehen

3. We want to facilitate civil society exchanges through targeted visa facilitation. We will continue to support Ukraine in restoring full territorial integrity and sovereignty. @UkrVerstehen @H__Ukraine @PromoteUkraine @NEC_Ukraine @intercourier_ua @UaPosition @CPD_UA @gazeta_ua

Read 15 tweets

Andreas Umland

@UmlandAndreas

4 Nov

1. Dieser Beitrag von #RolandGoetz zu #NordStream2 ist inzwischen in der #ZfAS erschienen und, wie immer, sehr informativ. In zwei Fragen bin ich anderer Meinung als der Autor: Die psychologische Wirkung möglicher US-Sanktionen ist nicht zu unterschätzten. academia.edu/s/5d4a73959c

2. Es geht hier auf europäischer Seite um kommerzielle Unternehmen, die durch #NordStream2 ankommendes sibirisches #Erdgas transportieren und kaufen sollen. Werden diese Firmen es riskieren, vom US-Markt ausgeschlossen zu werden, wenn sich der Wind in Washington wieder dreht?

3. #NordStream2 scheint inzwischen toxisch zu sein. Viele derzeitige und potentielle Partner #Gazproms werden es sich zweimal überlegen, #Erdgas aus der neuen Leitung zu übernehmen.

Read 13 tweets

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