Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 22 14 tweets 9 min read
NEW: #Russian forces still stalled in #Ukraine

"Not a whole lot of changes...no real changes by the #Russia|ns on the ground near #Kyiv" per a senior US defense official, who says #Moscow's advanced force still 15km to the north, 30km to the east of the capital city
US seeing some fighting in #Izyum, #Ukraine forces trying to take back territory from the #Russia|n forces, per a senior US defense official
NEW: #Russia now firing on #Mariupol from several ships in the #SeaofAzov, per a senior US defense official

Russian forces also inside the city, including separatists forces but still a tough fight, per official
#Odesa - "still see that naval activity in the northern #BlackSea" per a senior US defense official

But says no shelling over the last 24 hours & no signs of any amphibious assault as of now
NEW: #Russia combat power "slightly below" 90% for the 1st time during the #Ukraine invasion, per a senior US defense official

Says assessment applies to pre-staged combat power
Still no #foreignfighters imported by #Russia BUT #Wagner Group mercenaries are in #Ukraine, mostly in #Donbas, per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n forces trying to move on #Kyiv "haven't moved in a long, long time" per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n forces in #Mykolaiv forced to reposition due to pushback by #Ukraine forces, per a senior US defense official

US seeing broad effort by Ukrainian forces to reclaim territory
#Belarus - no update on possible movement by Belarusian forces to join war in #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official
"It's clearly notable" senior US defense official says of pushback by #Ukraine forces vs #Russia in key areas
#Russia|n resupply? "We continue to see them have fuel problems, food problems...inventory issues specifically in respect to precision guided munitions" per a senior US defense official

"They were having logistic & sustainment issues less than a week in...they have struggled"
Russian reinforcements in #Ukraine? If it happens US believes #Russia would pull from forces outside Russia before it pulls from inside the country - "but that's an assumption" per a senior US defense official
#Russia and chemical/biological weapons-"We haven't seen any imminent indications" per sr US def official

But says @DeptofDefense agrees w/assessment by @POTUS that Russia's rhetoric on the topic worrisome, part of #Moscow's playbook to accuse others of what it plans to do
#Russia|n logistical nightmare goes beyond, food, fuel, per a sr US defense official

"We picked up some indications that some of their soldiers are suffering form frostbite bcs they lack the appropriate cold weather gear...troops have actually suffered & taken out of the fight"

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jeff Seldin

Jeff Seldin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jseldin

Mar 23
NEW: US now assesses #Russia has launched +1,200 missiles, per a senior US defense official

Adds some Russian forces moving on #Kyiv are digging in, creating defensive positions

NEW- #Ukraine has pushed back Russian forces moving on #Kyiv from the east
MORE: #Russia|n advance on #Chernihiv stalled & "in some places ... they are ceding ground" per a senior US defense official
#Donbas, eastern #Ukraine becoming focus of #Russia's military ops, per a senior US defense official

"There's been a lot of fighting...what we're seeing now is indications that Russia is really starting to prioritize" that front
Read 16 tweets
Mar 23
BREAKING: 7,000-15,000 #Russia|n troops likely killed in #Ukraine, per a @NATO official briefing reporters on condition of anonymity

Total losses -including wounded, captured or missing- could be in the 30,000-40,000 range

Estimates based on #Ukraine intel, observations
"The estimate we have is based on what the #Ukrainians tell us, what the #Russia|ns let us know intentionally or by mistake" per the @NATO official
#Ukraine fighting #Russia almost to a stalemate, per a @NATO official

"I don't know if you can go as far [as to say] stalemate but its clear that after 1 months Russia has achieved almost none of their strategic objectives"
Read 12 tweets
Mar 23
Happening now: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg briefing before extraordinary Summit of NATO Heads of State Image
NEW: @NATO's @jensstoltenberg calls for beefed-up defense

"Major reinforcements to our security will require major investments in defense" he says. citing a "new sense of urgency bcs we cannot take peace for granted"
"There is a need to also address the long term consequences" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"There is a need to reset our deterrence & defense...we wil do what is necessary to defend & protect all allies"
Read 21 tweets
Mar 23
NEW: US-#cyber-#Russia-#Ukraine-"My sense is that [US cyber efforts] they've been extremely important in informing the Ukrainians...and in disrupting attacks" by #Russia, @SenJackReed tells @GWUPMNS
Any chance US might feel compelled to intervene in #Ukraine?

@SenJackReed says possibly IF #Russia uses nuclear/chemical/biological weapons in a way that is seen as an attack on @NATO

"This is a NATO decision" he says of the scenario "It's going to be a very difficult call"
#Ukraine - "The quality of their fighting personnel is superb" per @SenJackReed

#Russia-"Their younger soldiers are not informed of what they're doing, where they are" or what to if commanders are eliminated, he says
Read 8 tweets
Mar 22
Happening now: @PentagonPresSec briefs reporters at the Pentagon Image
#Ukraine increasingly taking the fight to #Russia - "We have seen indications that the #Ukrainians are going a bit more on the offense now...particularly in the south, near #Kherson" per @PentagonPresSec
#Russia's nuclear posture - "We haven't seen anything that would lead us to conclude that we need to change our strategic deterrent posture" per @PentagonPresSec

Calls #Kremlin's nuclear rhetoric "dangerous...It's not the way a responsible nuclear power should act"
Read 13 tweets
Mar 22
"Peace is something that we need urgently. Justice is something we will need always" #Ukraine Amb @OMarkarova tells @USIP in remarks abt #Russia|n atrocities during the current war Image
"History repeats itself" per @OMarkarova, after noting anniversary of the creation of Nazi #Germany's 1st concentration camp

"We are talking abt atrocities, abt genocide, abt war crimes & crimes against humanity"
"These actions have no military objectives" per Amb @OMarkarova on #Russia|n bombardment of Ukrainian cities
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(