"A litany of broken climate promises, a file of shame cataloguing empty pledges that put us on fast track to an unlivable world & climate disaster. This is what science tells us will result from our current energy policies." @antonioguterres 👏🔥 #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 1/n
"Government and business leaders are saying one thing and doing another. Simply put, they are lying. Climate scientists warn we are close to tipping points that could lead to irreversible, cascading impacts." @antonioguterres #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 2/n
"Current climate pledges mean 14% increase in emissions. We need 45% cut by 2030. The dangerous radicals are not activists, but countries investing in new fossil fuel infrastructure, which is moral and economic madness." @antonioguterres 💚 #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 3/n
"If you live in a big city or the countryside, if invest in the stock market, if you care about justice, I'm talking to you. Demand renewable energy is introduced now, at speed and scale, & an end to all fossil fuel subsidies." @antonioguterres💚 #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 5/n
We need global efforts for climate mitigation, because Africa, South Africa have had major land use emissions, says Petteri Taalas @WMO #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 6/n
This report completes the full picture of the #ClimateCrisis. #Climate change is here + now, causing huge disruptions. This #ClimateReport tells us we're still not doing enough to cut emissions, says @andersen_inger. Half measures will not halve GHGs by 2030. #IPCC presser 7/n
The #IPCC tells us we have the knowledge + tech to rapidly shift from fossils; from deforestation to restoration; supporting nature; green and clean cities; + behavior change to address the demand side, says @andersen_inger. #ClimateReport presser 8/n
Lead #IPCC author Jim Shea presents the latest #ClimateReport, thanking authors.
"We are definitely not on track to limit warming to 1.5°C. Unless there are immediate and deep reductions across all sectors, 1.5°C will be beyond reach."
9/n
Some good news: Some countries are decreasing emissions at the rate needed to limit warming to 2°C;
solar and wind are growing. Jim Shea #IPCC#ClimateReport 10/n
Current emissions projected to warm 3.2°C. Limit to 1.5°C requires global GHGs peak latest 2025, reduced 43% by 2030. Methane needs to be reduced about 1/3. "almost inevitable we will temporarily exceed 1.5°C of warming", but can return later in century. #IPCC#ClimateReport 11/n
"The temperature will stabilise when we reach net zero carbon dioxide emissions." Must do this by early 2050s for 1.5°C, by early 2070s for 2°C, alongside deep, sustained reductions in other gases. Jim Skea #IPCC#ClimateReport 12/n
"In every sector, there are options available to at least halve GHGs and limit warming to 1.5°C.
Energy sector = 1/3 of all emissions. Decentralize, local energy network, not based on fossils. @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport 13/n
Demand (lifestyle/behavior) can improve health & has "untapped potential to lower GLOBAL emissions by 40-70% by 2050" alongside policy, tech, infrastructure. Biggest levers: switch to walk/cycle; EVs; reduce air travel; plant-based diets. @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport 14/n
Transport: most important is reducing demand. Then, EVs + zero carbon electricity (depends on decarbonising power sector). Aviation + shipping are harder to decarbonise; need low-emissions fuels. @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport presser 16/n
Cities account for 2/3 of consumption-based emissions; need better urban planning, sustainable consumption, electrification, + enhanced carbon storage. Buildings can be net zero 2050 if act now, w/ ambitious policy (efficient design) @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport presser 16/n
Industry: about 1/4 global emissions. Net zero is challenging; must use materials efficiently + innovate. @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport presser 17/n
To counterbalance hard-to-eliminate emissions (ag, aviation, some industrial) requires CO2 removal: remove from atm, store in land, ocean, soil. Will be essential for net zero. Need agreed methods to measure, report, verify. @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport presser 18/n
Protecting & restoring forests, wetlands, ecosystems, can reduce, remove, store CO2. But land storage cannot compensate for delayed reductions in other sectors. Land can only do so much @DianaUrge#IPCC#ClimateReport presser 19/n
Financing must be 3-6x higher by 2030 to limit warming to 1.5-2°C. This is possible w/ existing global capital, but closing the gap is tough for developing countries.
Ramón Pichs-Madruga #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 20/n
Existing policies are effective. WE SHOULD USE THEM. Use economy-wide policy packages, not individual instruments. Govt needs to build consensus among society. Use + develop tech, need benefit/risk analysis + engage public. Ramón Pichs-Madruga #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 21/n
Climate mitigation goes hand-in-hand with achieving #SDGs. #JustTransition can accelerate climate action + co-benefit sustainability. Note sustainability conflicts around land-- manage w/ policies, investments, partnerships. Ramón Pichs-Madruga #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 22/n
"Climate change is result of more than a century of unsustainable energy and land use and consumption. We can create a fairer and more liveable world. we know what to do, how to do, not it's up to us to act." Jim Shea, #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 23/n
What suggests 1.5°C is feasible, asks @adamvaughan_uk. Skea: laws of physics + chemistry tell us it's possible to limit warming to 1.5 or 2°C, as govts have promised to do, but it's clear it won't be biz as usual to get there. #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 24/n
At what date will it become impossible to meet 1.5°C, no matter what we do?
Skea: report is very clear we need to take action now, or 1.5°C may be physically impossible. We need to get on with this now, or 1.5 will slip beyond reach. #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 25/n
.@KateAronoff: are #fossilfuel infrastructure expansions in line w/ 1.5 or 2°C? @DianaUrge: $1-4 TRILLION is already stranded in fossil assets that must shut down to meet 1.5 or 2°C. More fossils will either break climate or break the bank. #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 26/n
Emissions would have been 3-10% higher than today without existing climate policies. We're slowing the growth of GHG emissions. Challenge is now to step up the pace of action. Skea, #IPCC#ClimateReport presser 27/n
what about misinformation and greenwashing, asks @amywestervelt at #IPCC#ClimateReport presser @DianaUrge: climate promises haven't been kept, emissions not on track, but we see increased political will. Need transparency, monitoring, verification. (Did not address misinfo)
28/n
How does pandemic emissions drop of 5-6% compare to what's needed for 1.5°C? @DianaUrge says #IPCC#ClimateReport shows options to improve our lives + health while decreasing emissions- not austerity like lockdowns. But pandemic increased inequality, debt- barrier to action.29/n
"The currently rising oil prices will be just a blip. Oil prices will be independent of a net-zero path, our data support that," says #IPCC chair Lee. #ClimateReport presser 30/n
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What does the new #IPCC#ClimateReport say in plain language?
I'll try to highlight what the Summary for Policymakers means with zero jargon in this THREAD. ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/
If I slip or something is still unclear, let me know & I'll try to explain better!
Here goes 1/n
Scientists are certain: #ClimateChange threatens people and life on planet Earth. If humans fail to rapidly reduce emissions "we will miss a brief and rapidly closing window to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all." #IPCC#ClimateReport D.5 2/n
#ClimateChange has already harmed people and nature around the world. The most hurt are poor people, and places that feel climate impacts strongly because of their physical settings, like mountains, deserts, coasts, small islands, polar regions. #IPCC#ClimateReport B.1,B.2 3/n
Live-tweeting from #IPCC#ClimateReport launch now. @antonioguterres calls it "An atlas of human suffering and a damning indictment. Nearly half of humanity are living in the danger zone, many ecosystems are at the point of new return, NOW. The global energy mix is broken." 1/n
"#FossilFuels are a dead end" for planet, economy. Adaptation investments work, should be 50% of climate finance. "Delay means death, now is the time to turn rage into action" says @antonioguterres.
From #IPCC#ClimateReport press conference here
2/n.
"We are on course to reach 1.5°C w/i next 2 decades. Temps will continue to rise unless world takes much bolder action. Severe #climatechange impacts are already happening. Adaptation can be effective but there are limits for us and other spp" #IPCC chair Lee. #ClimateReport 3/n
Sustainability science is still defining itself, argues Vasna Ramsar. Concepts like #foodsovereignty drawn from Indigenous knowledge are gaining ground as part of #decolonizing the field. #SustainabilityFrontiers /3
I have so many thoughts on climate motivations and framings that I wrote an inadvertent thread. I work to help people find their climate agency through identifying their leverage points for high-impact climate action (personal, collective, systemic). "Guilt" is the wrong framing.
Hypothesis: The focus on "guilt/shame" frame in climate debates is related to high prevalence of "purity" values in the US (Moral Foundations Theory), whereas more secular Europe centers values of care/harm and fairness/cheating.
(thread ☝️)
Would love to hear expert views (or better, data!) on plausibility of my hypothesis on climate guilt (previous tweet)-- @KirstiJylhae, @kristiansn89, @Zlevo, @WynesSeth, @brittwray, @DoctorVive ... also does this imply guilt works for those NOT centering the value of "purity"??
Interesting to see @fstockman essay in @nytopinion out the same week as our study of the #flightfree movement. It shows the discourse we identified in Sweden is indeed spreading- though I find Americans persistently mislabel moral responsibility as guilt.
At my 2017 @oredev keynote, I asked @googlemaps to show CO2 emissions along w/ time as a metric to inform trip choice & help “maximize meaning, minimize carbon”. This tool has become a reality! Which is good! Bc people are bad at estimating climate impact:nytimes.com/interactive/20…
3/ In particular, @WynesSeth & co have shown that people underestimate the climate impact of flying (and overestimate the climate benefit of recycling).
Consumption is not the only role where we can make a climate difference, but high emitters do need to tackle overconsumption.