Ready for the #CFB Analytics Spring Top 40? Here we go. This Power Ranking is derived from a model which utilizes full Coach Staff efficiency metrics, roster talent, & returning production among other metrics. No opinion here, I just regurgitate the numbers. #NoOpinionJustNumbers
40 #Kentucky #BBN #SEC Power Rating: 61.726
Returning Production for the Wildcats may be a problem. At 39.72%, it puts them at 113th in the country. The schedule is manageable tho drawing Ole Miss & Miss State out the West. #CFB
Returning Production for the Wildcats may be a problem. At 39.72%, it puts them at 113th in the country. The schedule is manageable tho drawing Ole Miss & Miss State out the West. #CFB
39 #Washington #PurpleReign #Pac12
Power Rating: 62.271
Really like the new coaching staff in Seattle. Should put them in a better position to win. Roster talent purge from the prev regime will have an early effect (last 2 classes were 39th, 86th) but the ship has been righted.
Power Rating: 62.271
Really like the new coaching staff in Seattle. Should put them in a better position to win. Roster talent purge from the prev regime will have an early effect (last 2 classes were 39th, 86th) but the ship has been righted.
38 #Houston #GoCoogs #AAC
Power Rating: 62.403
After an initial dip in roster talent, the Cougars took a big step forward in '22. Holgorsen & crew also have a total returning production of 57.45% which puts them at 34th. The schedule is friendly as they avoid Cincinnati.
Power Rating: 62.403
After an initial dip in roster talent, the Cougars took a big step forward in '22. Holgorsen & crew also have a total returning production of 57.45% which puts them at 34th. The schedule is friendly as they avoid Cincinnati.
37 #Purdue #BoilerUp #B1G
Power Rating: 62.540
Returning Production on the O side is a bit concerning at 44.8% which comes in at 47th. The def side returns 78.2% but they lose excellent DC Brad Lambert. That loss will be realized as he is an instant impact DC as he showed LY.
Power Rating: 62.540
Returning Production on the O side is a bit concerning at 44.8% which comes in at 47th. The def side returns 78.2% but they lose excellent DC Brad Lambert. That loss will be realized as he is an instant impact DC as he showed LY.
36 #OklahomaState #GoPokes #Big12
Power Rating: 62.556
The fact that the returning production for OSU is at 33.25% (125th) & they are still ranked in the Top 40 says a lot about the coaching staff. One of the Top in the Big 12 & they'll have to find ways to replace what has left.
Power Rating: 62.556
The fact that the returning production for OSU is at 33.25% (125th) & they are still ranked in the Top 40 says a lot about the coaching staff. One of the Top in the Big 12 & they'll have to find ways to replace what has left.
35 #Nebraska #Huskers #B1G
Power Rating: 62.994
W/ the influx of portal talent & a new O staff in Lincoln & O returning production at 10th Nat'ly, the O should improve. Def RP is concerning at 57.73% (81st). If the def staff can hold serve off LY results, a rebound is likely.
Power Rating: 62.994
W/ the influx of portal talent & a new O staff in Lincoln & O returning production at 10th Nat'ly, the O should improve. Def RP is concerning at 57.73% (81st). If the def staff can hold serve off LY results, a rebound is likely.
34 #UCF #ChargeOn #AAC
Power Rating: 63.683
UCF had their first Top 40 class in '22 & will likely see more on the heels of their arrival in the Big12. Total Ret Prod is ok at 54.35% (47th) & they have one of the best coaching staffs in the AAC. Could be a great yr in Orlando.
Power Rating: 63.683
UCF had their first Top 40 class in '22 & will likely see more on the heels of their arrival in the Big12. Total Ret Prod is ok at 54.35% (47th) & they have one of the best coaching staffs in the AAC. Could be a great yr in Orlando.
33 #Stanford #GoStanford #Pac12
Power Rating: 64.156
The Cardinal have one of the highest total returning production #'s at 62.60% (14th) & w/ a good coaching staff it makes this team one to keep an eye on. The schedule is brutal however (SOS is 16th) so 7 Ws may be the target.
Power Rating: 64.156
The Cardinal have one of the highest total returning production #'s at 62.60% (14th) & w/ a good coaching staff it makes this team one to keep an eye on. The schedule is brutal however (SOS is 16th) so 7 Ws may be the target.
32 #Baylor #SicEm #Big12
Power Rating: 64.219
Love the staff in Waco. The def should be scary as the Ret Prod on that side is at 5th nat'ly. The O is what may hold them back. The O Ret Prod is at 11.65% which is dead last in FBS. Will have to overcome that to match LY results.
Power Rating: 64.219
Love the staff in Waco. The def should be scary as the Ret Prod on that side is at 5th nat'ly. The O is what may hold them back. The O Ret Prod is at 11.65% which is dead last in FBS. Will have to overcome that to match LY results.
31 #IowaState #Cyclones #Big12
Power Rating: 64.335
The Cyclones have the same problem as Baylor. Great coaching staff having to overcome a lot of production losses. ISUs total returning production is 31.93% (126th). That's a lot to overcome, but not impossible for a good staff.
Power Rating: 64.335
The Cyclones have the same problem as Baylor. Great coaching staff having to overcome a lot of production losses. ISUs total returning production is 31.93% (126th). That's a lot to overcome, but not impossible for a good staff.
30 #Pittsburgh #H2P #ACC
Power Rating: 64.359
Pitt has to replace a few key cogs in the coaching staff on the O side of the ball in OC Whipple and WR coach Marion. The def has to improve after LY poor performance but the schedule is manageable drawing UL/Syr out of the Atlantic.
Power Rating: 64.359
Pitt has to replace a few key cogs in the coaching staff on the O side of the ball in OC Whipple and WR coach Marion. The def has to improve after LY poor performance but the schedule is manageable drawing UL/Syr out of the Atlantic.
29 #Arkansas #WPS #SEC
Power Rating: 64.493
The Hogs have a Top 10 coaching staff nationally along w/Top 25 roster talent. That alone would make them a fav in most divisions, but theyre in the SEC West. Ret Prod is low at 70th & the SOS is 2nd. Love what's goin on Fayetteville.
Power Rating: 64.493
The Hogs have a Top 10 coaching staff nationally along w/Top 25 roster talent. That alone would make them a fav in most divisions, but theyre in the SEC West. Ret Prod is low at 70th & the SOS is 2nd. Love what's goin on Fayetteville.
28 #USC #FightOn #Pac12
Power Rating: 64.503
The new staff & new influx of O talent has things trending up in LA. Def may struggle & that is where the focus needs to be here. The Trojans will score points, but can the def make enough stops? Roster Talent went up 6 places in '22.
Power Rating: 64.503
The new staff & new influx of O talent has things trending up in LA. Def may struggle & that is where the focus needs to be here. The Trojans will score points, but can the def make enough stops? Roster Talent went up 6 places in '22.
27 #BYU #GoCougs #CFB
Power Rating: 65.151
Returning Production is the key in Provo this year. They return 71.29% (2nd). That along w/a great staff will make this a perfect leaping point for the Cougars going into the Big12 next year w/ a good shot at a 3rd consecutive 10+ W ssn.
Power Rating: 65.151
Returning Production is the key in Provo this year. They return 71.29% (2nd). That along w/a great staff will make this a perfect leaping point for the Cougars going into the Big12 next year w/ a good shot at a 3rd consecutive 10+ W ssn.
26 #UNC #TarHeels #ACC
Power Rating: 65.298
O returning production is ugly (24.73%, 119th) but the def RP is good (4th nat'ly). Not a fan of the new DC hire in Chapel Hill, we'll see how that goes. They avoid Clemson out of the Atlantic but go to Miami. That game will be key.
Power Rating: 65.298
O returning production is ugly (24.73%, 119th) but the def RP is good (4th nat'ly). Not a fan of the new DC hire in Chapel Hill, we'll see how that goes. They avoid Clemson out of the Atlantic but go to Miami. That game will be key.
25 #UCLA #Bruins #Pac12
Power Rating: 65.561
Big upgrade to the def staff this offssn, that should help get that side of the ball in order after the prev few ssn. Def ret prod is 22nd nat'ly. The O side of the ball has to overcome some losses, but I believe Kelly still has it.
Power Rating: 65.561
Big upgrade to the def staff this offssn, that should help get that side of the ball in order after the prev few ssn. Def ret prod is 22nd nat'ly. The O side of the ball has to overcome some losses, but I believe Kelly still has it.
24 #Louisville #L1C4 #ACC
Roster Talent is down from the prev few yrs, but returning production is up (63.81%, 11th) & this staff made a great addition in former ND RB coach Lance Taylor. The conf sched is favorable drawing UVA/Pitt out of the coastal, but have to capitalize.
Roster Talent is down from the prev few yrs, but returning production is up (63.81%, 11th) & this staff made a great addition in former ND RB coach Lance Taylor. The conf sched is favorable drawing UVA/Pitt out of the coastal, but have to capitalize.
23 #Miami #Canes #ACC
Power Rating: 66.732
Massive culture shift w/the new staff here. Love the direction of Miami football. Ret Prod is at 59.34% (29th) & the new staff ranks among the best in the country. Talent is there, this could be the beginning of the return of the U.
Power Rating: 66.732
Massive culture shift w/the new staff here. Love the direction of Miami football. Ret Prod is at 59.34% (29th) & the new staff ranks among the best in the country. Talent is there, this could be the beginning of the return of the U.
22 #NCState #1Pack1Goal #ACC
Power Rating: 67.066
Everything is there for a special run in Raleigh. Top 40 Ret Prod on both sides of the ball. Great staff. Roster Talent took a hit in LY cycle, but shouldnt affect this ssn. Have to travel to Clemson in one of ACCs biggest games.
Power Rating: 67.066
Everything is there for a special run in Raleigh. Top 40 Ret Prod on both sides of the ball. Great staff. Roster Talent took a hit in LY cycle, but shouldnt affect this ssn. Have to travel to Clemson in one of ACCs biggest games.
21 #Oregon #GoDucks #Pac12
Power Rating: 67.387
Ducks hired a very inexperienced staff, but theyll still have a big talent adv to play w/this ssn in the Pac12. Ret Prod is down on the O side, but good on the def side (11th). Sched is favorable getting UW/Utah/UCLA at home.
Power Rating: 67.387
Ducks hired a very inexperienced staff, but theyll still have a big talent adv to play w/this ssn in the Pac12. Ret Prod is down on the O side, but good on the def side (11th). Sched is favorable getting UW/Utah/UCLA at home.
20 #NotreDame #GoIrish #CFB
Power Rating: 67.476
Irish return much of the O staff including former ND OL coach Hiestand. This'll help a roster which only returns 22.86% O production (121st). Retaining Freeman should help the def side transition, but alot of ?s on that def staff.
Power Rating: 67.476
Irish return much of the O staff including former ND OL coach Hiestand. This'll help a roster which only returns 22.86% O production (121st). Retaining Freeman should help the def side transition, but alot of ?s on that def staff.
19 #FSU #Noles #ACC
Power Rating: 68.173
Its a case of 'if not now, when?' in Tallahassee. Roster returns 65.54% (9th) production & talent is still Top 20. Travel to UL/NCState/Miami in key ACC games. HC Norvell is taking playcalling back which is huge. Can the def keep up?
Power Rating: 68.173
Its a case of 'if not now, when?' in Tallahassee. Roster returns 65.54% (9th) production & talent is still Top 20. Travel to UL/NCState/Miami in key ACC games. HC Norvell is taking playcalling back which is huge. Can the def keep up?
18 #Wisconsin #Badgers #B1G
Power Rating: 68.207
Top 5 staff Nat'ly in Madison. Theyll have to prove that again this yr w/a roster that returns only 37.63% production (116th). Theylll make trips to tOSU/MSU out of the East this year which will make each div game more impactful.
Power Rating: 68.207
Top 5 staff Nat'ly in Madison. Theyll have to prove that again this yr w/a roster that returns only 37.63% production (116th). Theylll make trips to tOSU/MSU out of the East this year which will make each div game more impactful.
17 #MichiganState #Spartans #B1G
Power Rating: 68.244
If the Spartans are to prove LY wasnt a one hit wonder, theyll have to do it behind their def. Def returns 84.85% production (9th) vs 33.71% production on O (94th). Roster Talent has taken leaps since the arrival of Tucker.
Power Rating: 68.244
If the Spartans are to prove LY wasnt a one hit wonder, theyll have to do it behind their def. Def returns 84.85% production (9th) vs 33.71% production on O (94th). Roster Talent has taken leaps since the arrival of Tucker.
16 #Oklahoma #Sooners #Big12
Power Rating: 68.509
Sooners took massive losses in the portal this ssn only returning 25.21% of O production (118th). The def will improve w/this staff as it is def heavy making some of the best Def coach hires in this cycle. The O is still a big ?.
Power Rating: 68.509
Sooners took massive losses in the portal this ssn only returning 25.21% of O production (118th). The def will improve w/this staff as it is def heavy making some of the best Def coach hires in this cycle. The O is still a big ?.
15 #Tennessee #Vols #SEC
Power Rating: 68.757
If UT is to add to the momentum started LY, theyll have to retool on O quickly. O Ret Prod is 30.66% (101st) & total team Ret Prod is 48.55% (74th). Even w/ those numbers things look promising in Knoxville long term.
Power Rating: 68.757
If UT is to add to the momentum started LY, theyll have to retool on O quickly. O Ret Prod is 30.66% (101st) & total team Ret Prod is 48.55% (74th). Even w/ those numbers things look promising in Knoxville long term.
14 #Florida #Gators #SEC
Power Rating: 68.918
UF made the best total new staff hire in LYs cycle. The talent is still there, although the production is ⬇️(35.77%, 122nd). The sched is a bit rough. (SOS is 6th). Long term it appears this program has everything in place to rebound
Power Rating: 68.918
UF made the best total new staff hire in LYs cycle. The talent is still there, although the production is ⬇️(35.77%, 122nd). The sched is a bit rough. (SOS is 6th). Long term it appears this program has everything in place to rebound
13 #LSU #GeauxTigers #SEC
Power Rating: 69.215
Despite some cringey rec videos posted of the coaching staff this offssn, they managed to hire a solid staff & retain a good amount of talent. Did take some production losses (47.57%, 79th) which will be felt. Draw UF/UT out of East
Power Rating: 69.215
Despite some cringey rec videos posted of the coaching staff this offssn, they managed to hire a solid staff & retain a good amount of talent. Did take some production losses (47.57%, 79th) which will be felt. Draw UF/UT out of East
12 #OleMiss #HottyToddy #SEC
Power Rating: 69.830
One of biggest portal winners this offssn Kiffin & Co took what wouldve been a big production loss & turned it into a Top 40 Ret Prod unit (58.10%, 33rd). Def improve LY will have 2 carryover w/new DC. Draw UC/Vandy from the East
Power Rating: 69.830
One of biggest portal winners this offssn Kiffin & Co took what wouldve been a big production loss & turned it into a Top 40 Ret Prod unit (58.10%, 33rd). Def improve LY will have 2 carryover w/new DC. Draw UC/Vandy from the East
11 #Cincinnati #Bearcats #AAC
Power Rating: 70.197
Despite losing QB Ritter, the rest of the total team returning production looks good from a good squad (59.53%, 26th). SOS is very favorable (81st) & should set the Bearcats up for another run at an AAC title in their final yr.
Power Rating: 70.197
Despite losing QB Ritter, the rest of the total team returning production looks good from a good squad (59.53%, 26th). SOS is very favorable (81st) & should set the Bearcats up for another run at an AAC title in their final yr.
10 #Iowa #Hawkeyes #B1G
Power Rating: 70.875
O loses a few key cogs but does return enough (46th nat'ly) esp when paired w/a def roster that returns 74.76% (29th). This team wins w/ def & w/ those numbers & this staff, u have to like what is coming in Iowa City if ur a Hawk fan.
Power Rating: 70.875
O loses a few key cogs but does return enough (46th nat'ly) esp when paired w/a def roster that returns 74.76% (29th). This team wins w/ def & w/ those numbers & this staff, u have to like what is coming in Iowa City if ur a Hawk fan.
9 #Texas #Longhorns #Big12
Power Rating: 71.476
Remember when I said these arent my opinion, I just regurgitate #'s? Keep that in mind here. The talent is there, its Top 10 nat'ly. The staff in place has been successful other places & is Top 15. Eventually gonna click right?
Power Rating: 71.476
Remember when I said these arent my opinion, I just regurgitate #'s? Keep that in mind here. The talent is there, its Top 10 nat'ly. The staff in place has been successful other places & is Top 15. Eventually gonna click right?
8 #Utah #Utes #Pac12
Power Rating: 71.569
Love the staff in SLC. Give these guys a roster returning Top 40 production (56.98%, 37th) & Top 40 talent in the Pac 12 & I'll show you a team ready to go on a tear. Road games @ UF early and @ UCLA & Oregon will be vital.
Power Rating: 71.569
Love the staff in SLC. Give these guys a roster returning Top 40 production (56.98%, 37th) & Top 40 talent in the Pac 12 & I'll show you a team ready to go on a tear. Road games @ UF early and @ UCLA & Oregon will be vital.
7 #PennState #WeAre #B1G
Power Rating: 71.591
Good +s to the staff in the offssn bringing in Diaz to run the def. Roster talent is up & is now Top 10. Love the Yurcich/Diaz combo prob is the returning team production is low (36.62%, 118th). Game early at Aub will set the stage.
Power Rating: 71.591
Good +s to the staff in the offssn bringing in Diaz to run the def. Roster talent is up & is now Top 10. Love the Yurcich/Diaz combo prob is the returning team production is low (36.62%, 118th). Game early at Aub will set the stage.
6 #Michigan #GoBlue #B1G
Power Rating: 72.220
Heavy losses on the coaching staff along w/ big production losses on def to overcome here (36.84%, 121st). Schedule is manageable at 57th though and the talent on the schedule has taken strides to the point they are now Top 10.
Power Rating: 72.220
Heavy losses on the coaching staff along w/ big production losses on def to overcome here (36.84%, 121st). Schedule is manageable at 57th though and the talent on the schedule has taken strides to the point they are now Top 10.
5 #TAMU #GigEm #SEC
Power Rating: 76.313
Aggies lost excellent DC Elko and also suffer heavy def losses on that side (94th Ret Prod). That will need to be overcome or theyll have 2 get more out of the O than theyve had in the last few yrs. Talent influx has them Top 5 in talent.
Power Rating: 76.313
Aggies lost excellent DC Elko and also suffer heavy def losses on that side (94th Ret Prod). That will need to be overcome or theyll have 2 get more out of the O than theyve had in the last few yrs. Talent influx has them Top 5 in talent.
4 #Clemson #ALLIN
Power Rating: 80.359
Tigers lost both coordinators & replaced them w/ in-house guys. Talent is still elite & they return 70.11% of the total team production (4th). They get NCSt & Miami at home. Don't sleep on the Tigers to make another run in a favorable ACC.
Power Rating: 80.359
Tigers lost both coordinators & replaced them w/ in-house guys. Talent is still elite & they return 70.11% of the total team production (4th). They get NCSt & Miami at home. Don't sleep on the Tigers to make another run in a favorable ACC.
3 #Georgia #GoDawgs #SEC
Power Rating: 80.394
Dawgs suffer heavy losses on the def side of the ball (37.48%, 118th) as well as DC Lanning. Dont let that fool u tho, theyll be restocked. They still have the 2nd most talented roster in the country w/ a good staff behind it.
Power Rating: 80.394
Dawgs suffer heavy losses on the def side of the ball (37.48%, 118th) as well as DC Lanning. Dont let that fool u tho, theyll be restocked. They still have the 2nd most talented roster in the country w/ a good staff behind it.
2 #Alabama #RTR #SEC
Power Rating: 85.616
Team total returning production for the Tide is 51.46% (56th). For most teams thats ok, for a team w/ this staff that's excellent. A Top 10 staff behind the most talented roster in the country & be ready to see more of the same in AL.
Power Rating: 85.616
Team total returning production for the Tide is 51.46% (56th). For most teams thats ok, for a team w/ this staff that's excellent. A Top 10 staff behind the most talented roster in the country & be ready to see more of the same in AL.
1 #OhioState #Buckeyes #B1G
Power Rating: 87.190
Returning Production for Bama was impressive. Its scary for tOSU. The Buckeyes return a whopping 60.49% (21st) & still hold the 3rd most talented roster in the country behind a Top 5 coaching staff. All this tOSU the model's fave.
Power Rating: 87.190
Returning Production for Bama was impressive. Its scary for tOSU. The Buckeyes return a whopping 60.49% (21st) & still hold the 3rd most talented roster in the country behind a Top 5 coaching staff. All this tOSU the model's fave.
If you like this Top 40, there's much MUCH more here. Like 175 pages more. Each team has a full sheet analytics breakdown of their 2022 team/season.
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